Gov’ts Synchronize for 2015 Commercial FC Vehicle Launch, GM Paper Says
DETROIT, May 8 - Governments are globally synchronizing policies to start commercialization of fuel cell vehicles by 2015, according to an internal General Motors paper compiled in April and made available to The Hydrogen & Fuel Cell Letter.
It is one of several Key Takeaway statements in the 84-page document, “Global Fuel Cell and Hydrogen Infrastructure Competitive Analysis.” According to a senior automotive industry source who did not want to be identified, it’s not just something carmakers want but “it’s a done deal.”
The paper also says other countries and foreign carmakers are outpacing the United States in these areas: “Germany, Japan and OEMs based in these countries continue to execute their fuel cell and hydrogen plans for 2015,” says another such statement, and “Competitors have more vehicular/engineering/manufacturing cycles of learning.” Also, the “US NAS (National Academy of Science) addressed ‘valley of death’, low volume/immature technology, proposing price buy-down for customers” (H&FCL Feb. 07, Aug. 08).
The paper was prepared to “document the Automotive Fuel Cell and Hydrogen Infrastructure programs in both the US and foreign countries; Determine reasons for foreign nations focus on Hydrogen for Future;” and “Develop a clear understanding of the gap between the US and the rest of the world relative to these initiatives.” It was compiled primarily from publicly available resources.
The paper summarizes earlier announcements by Daimler and Toyota to start building small fleets this year and in 2015, respectively (H&FCL Feb., March 09). It also says the current global fleet of fuel cell vehicles stands at 318, with GM contributing more than one third (115). Hyundai has announced plans for another 100 cars and Honda plans to have 200 leases over the next three years.
Germany’s main goal, the paper says, is to “develop and implement a strategy for a long term, nationwide market introduction of hydrogen as a fuel for transport” via its Transport Energy Strategy launched 11 years ago and, so far, scheduled to run through 2016. In Asia, “‘Japan Inc.’ is alive and well in advanced technologies,” and “They intend to win.”
The U.S. Energy Department has funded many programs for auto fuel cells, but “there is still much work to be done to match the German/Asian Partnerships.” The United States needs to do a better job to “link industries together as well as the public-private sector to insure National Competitiveness and match countries like Japan and Germany.” The problems in creating a US hydrogen fueling infrastructure include “regional, fragmented, inconsistent” efforts; “multiple, convoluted funding sources,” and “fuel providers have been inconsistent in their support (H&FCL April 09).
(A more detailed version will be published in the upcoming June 2009 issue of “The Hydrogen & Fuel Cell Letter”).