That attitude (ie improvements in battery tech) shows how challenging it all is. Why invest money if every car in 5 years has a 1000 mile battery?
It is really too bad, because if charging was ubiquitous, nearly everyone could drive a Leaf except on road trips. Road trips could be Tesla rentals.
Right. I see similar problems holding back CNG.
$100/kWh => $3,600
$200/kWh => $7,200
The rental idea depends on the incremental costs, vehicle design, driving patterns and rental cost. I think the biggest blocker for rental is the franchise system, so I think Tesla has posibilities for Gen 4 and beyond, and that's also where the hybrid battery comes in.
As a personal example of driving pattern:
- We drive 105 miles round trip on the majority of weekends, with a stop of about 2 hours. Over 95 miles of that is 65mph highway. We'd likely have climate control on. Rental would be expensive and inconvenient.
- When flying on vacation we drive over 75 Interstate miles to link to public transportation. That's beyond range and we wouldn't rent just to drive there.
- I have a 41.4 mile round-trip commute. If/when my position becomes redundant it's very possible my commute would need to be 150 mile round trip, at least until we'd be able to relocate somewhere between our work locations. That wouldn't work in a Leaf.
The fundamental problem I think the Leaf has is that Nissan hasn't designed it for high-speed travel and as a result its efficiency and range at highway speeds is severely affected. With the cost of rental being high, that limitation means you end up with PHEV+BEV and a Catch 22 for ubiquitous charging to add to the future risk of cheaper long-range BEV or more efficient HEV and PHEV.