I never said battery technology followed Moore's Law. I said it will be enough to get ICE buyers to switch.
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I never said battery technology followed Moore's Law. I said it will be enough to get ICE buyers to switch.
Fair point. His actions didn't match his rhetoric. But he certainly didn't embrace it.
Obama Fracking Rule Is Struck Down by Court
Possibly. But if we really have a catastrophe coming, I wouldn't want to ignore any possible solution.
I think this is the biggest problem in politics today. Too often, we choose solutions based on party affiliation or what is perceived to please a certain audience instead of doing what is practical or what will work.
That is why I keep using Silicon Valley as an example of how to get things done. 95% of people here are liberals but very rarely do politics or partisanship ideas come into play when trying to solve a problem.
Many try to put me into the Trump camp because of this line of thinking but I don't agree with all of his policies blindly like the MAGA crowd might or hate his policies like liberals do.
Elizabeth Warren wants to meet Bill Gates to discuss her wealth tax.
Elizabeth Warren on Twitter
Personally, I don't see any chance of a wealth tax being passed even with a supermajority in the Senate.
It will require a constitutional amendment and 36 states to agree to it.
Given all her policies depend on it, her policies are not feasible.
Elizabeth Warren on Twitter
Personally, I don't see any chance of a wealth tax being passed even with a supermajority in the Senate.
It will require a constitutional amendment and 36 states to agree to it.
Given all her policies depend on it, her policies are not feasible.
JRP3
Hyperactive Member
You definitely want to ignore anything which has no possibility of achieving anything in the needed time frame, i.e. before the catastrophe. That diverts energy, resources, time, and money away from actions which would make a difference. I've always objected to the "try everything" approach, that's how we've wasted billions on fuel cells, which would have been better spent on EV and batteries.
JRP3
Hyperactive Member
It's no where near Moore's law because it's completely wrong. That graph is nonsense.
This is a terrible way of thinking. How do you know your way is the only way and the best way? That's an opinion of yours and maybe many others. France has shown nuclear (older than Gen4) to work very well. You can't rule it out completely. Solar, wind, and other renewables are definitely important but how certain are you that it will be enough? Most of the hard work on Gen4 has been done.
Your example of fuel cells explains this line of thinking. Fuel cells and EVs got similar investment but EVs won because of the execution by Elon Musk. Without him, would it have won the war? Again, a good VC spreads his investments around to ensure success. Only politicians speak in absolutes.
JRP3
Hyperactive Member
Elon speaks in absolutes, because he works from first principles. Fuel cells never made sense from a basic physics standpoint, (as Elon knew), no amount of research or funding would change that. Same with nuclear, it can't scale quickly enough and cost effectively enough to work in time.
Here's another one.
A Behind the Scenes Take on Lithium-ion Battery Prices | BloombergNEF
There are plenty out there. If you don't think the declining prices and increased range of EVs over the last 10 years is the single most important factor in the success of EVS, you're missing something. Elon Musk's only goal is to reduce the price of EVs to bring it to the masses. Roadster->S/X->3 transition was all about lowering costs and increasing volumes.
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And he should. But there are plenty of examples of the best technology failing in the marketplace. As an investor (public or private), I have to place my bets.
Is all of your net worth in TSLA?
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JRP3
Hyperactive Member
Most of it
Go big or go homeless is my motto. As Mark Cuban said "Diversification is for idiots".Most of it
Congratulations! I envy you on that for sure. I have a mortgage and kid's college coming up.
JRP3
Hyperactive Member
I'm not missing anything, just telling you that the energy density graph you said "is not too far from Moore's Law" is completely wrong, as you can tell by the minimal improvement in Tesla pack density since the first Model S. When graphs don't reflect reality don't trust the graphs.
Bill Gates replies to Warren:
Bill Gates on Twitter
Again, I don't see how any kind of wealth tax can happen in this country without a constitutional amendment. The income tax required one in 1913.
bkp_duke
Well-Known Member
Agreed. That attempt to tax is dead on arrival. Which means the only possible way Medicare-for-All could be paid for is a substantial income tax hike on the middle class. I will try to dig up the reference, but I heard an interesting point today: if you were to confiscate ALL the wealth of the top 1% of the US, it would only cover the cost of Medicare-for-All for just 3 years.
That's just nucking futs expensive.
Actually, the right way to pay for M4A is a VAT. This is what most European countries do. They've all abandoned the wealth tax because it doesn't work.
bkp_duke
Well-Known Member
A VAT would destroy the US economy. It is 65+ % consumer driven.
The resulting downturn would make the Great Recession look like a walk in the park.
The resulting downturn would make the Great Recession look like a walk in the park.
StealthP3D
Well-Known Member
That inside "info" is just misinformation to try to get another concession or two out of China. If China has been playing the game right, they held back a couple of concessions so they can feed Donny's egotistical need to feel like he's winning at something. You don't get to where the Chinese leaders are without understanding human nature intimately. My only fear is they have never met anyone like Trump before.
Donny will settle with them before Thanksgiving/Christmas so when American families get together for holiday meals his minions can tell the rest of their family how great Donny is.
Joe F
Disruption is hard.
And that's when they get shown the door.Donny will settle with them before Thanksgiving/Christmas so when American families get together for holiday meals his minions can tell the rest of their family how great Donny is.
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