AWD, 10 months old today. (this is my 5th EV, and I have about 300k of EV driving experience)
OK, I'm finally jumping into the thread. Most of the conversation here is about reported range. While my loss of reported range concerns me, my loss of REAL range (battery capacity) concerns me even more. Tesla checked my battery using their mysterious CAC Fleet Checker, and they plotted my car on their curve of "average" battery degradation across cars of similar age and mileage. My car sits on the bad side of the curve. Tesla says that my capacity does not reside in their "concerning bounds." They won't say what those bounds are. For the record, Tesla claims that the average battery capacity of similar vehicles to mine is 211.9 Ah. (What Voltage are they assuming? What's the Ah rating of the new pack? If we can assume 350V, then new is 214 Ah?)
Can we all agree that 242 Wh/mi is the magic number to hit ~310 miles in a car that has a 75 kWh pack? For me, that's my benchmark. A fresh LR battery should return 310 miles by driving an average of 242 Wh/mi, regardless of any other factor (Tesla loves to tell me that my driving style can affect range... sigh).
So what am I seeing with actual driving? 295 miles of real range when I drive at 225 Wh/mi average. At that efficiency with a new battery, I should see 333 miles of range. So to me, this is a REAL range loss of ~ 38 miles.
In the meantime, my friends, family and neighbors who have Model 3's are *not seeing* this drop in range. At most they've lost one or two miles of range in about the same time as I have. And the difference? I'm the only one who takes care of my pack. Others have driven below 0% SOC... and that same driver also charges to 100% quite often... and leaves it sitting at full charge for days. In the heat. And he supercharges regularly. Me? I keep it in the sweet spot. I've been down to 10% twice. I've been to 100% twice. I've never super-charged. I charge at 40A at home and generally keep the car at 75-90% SOC. I drive very gently at low SOC the few times I do it. In short, those who are abusing their packs seem to be doing much better than I am.
Here's my latest Tesla Stats chart. Too bad I didn't have this app from the first day. It doesn't indicate that the graph was pretty flat until about 5,000 miles, and then it has seen a consistent decline.