Was literally told, just yesterday, that I've been soft matched with a car M3P that is supposed to be arriving in Las Vegas around 12/24. Both cannot be true. We will know soon enough.
The scheduling system knows what cars are being built. The fact that it took away the vague "X to Y weeks" and returned many of us to a specific estimated delivery window is an indication that based on production it has a better idea of when vehicles are going to be delivered to us individually. I'm going to put more faith in that than, "rando SA says stuff that's inconsistent with everything Tesla is telling its customers generally, is I'n direct conflict with its stated goals and is also completely inconsistent with past behavior."
Also, as my SA mentioned yesterday, "obviously it's going to be tight but we're doing the promotion to get additional people to accept deliveries because we have the capacity."
Again, we shall see.