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Model 3 waiters in California - please post here
- Thread starter jonquiljo
- Start date
skydreamerjae
Goldmember
I think you're right. So far, according to tezz.la, a bunch of LR rejected deliveries are in the east coast. Probably making its way west.
Not sure if this still applies but Elon said it couple of months ago that they are making cars for overseas in the first month of the quarter. Second month goes to East Coast. Third month goes to West Coast.
Assuming its all based on distance from the mothership, NorCal would be last.
dandrewk
Active Member
Most likely depends on order date. Unless you pick it up in Fremont. It’s one day delivery to the SF delivery center, and probably only a day to SoCal, including the ~8 hour drive.
All the gossip would assume that SoCal would be first and NorCal be last. But that makes little sense logistically. And Tesla is not stupid. Add to that the fact that a good 1/4 of all U.S. Tesla's are going to California locations - it makes even less sense.
We have the very logistical issue of sending ALL cars to one place at a time. It makes no sense to sequentially flood certain areas of the country with Teslas. The delivery centers will be overloaded and then have nothing to do in "off" times. Not very efficient.
The most sensible thing to do would be to concentrate on the East coast first, then move westward - but faster. Start delivering in the west coast in 2-3 weeks and continue the trickle all over the country until the end of year. End of quarter rush should be left for late orders. This way, most delivery centers have a short hiatus - and then continually deliver cars. Lots of cars!
I mean - look at the SF Bay Area. How many cars in the Bay Area can Tesla possibly deliver per day? Not nearly as many as it probably needs to if Tesla waits until the last minute to send cars to Bay Area delivery centers.
Conversely, do you flood the East coast - saturate the delivery centers with Teslas packed on top of each other - then let them be idle most of December? No, it wouldn't be smart to do that either.
Let me pose this as a question. If you had 50,000 Teslas to deliver all over the US (and the backlog must be that high by now), how would you space them to allow all these little delivery centers to be best utilized? East first then move west does not make sense. Any better ideas?
appskon
10/1 SR+ Blue/Black, 19" Fremont,CA, VIN 11/16
I have no words to express my frustration. Everyone who is not living in California and have ordered the vehicles even 2-3 weeks later than us are receiving the deliveries and we are just waiting to appear the vin in source code... what the hell...!
TheUmp
Member
Apologies for crossing over to chime in here! Ordered a MS on 10/5 but thought you all would find this response interesting... email from my sales associate today stating:
'Thank you for being so patient about this and understanding. The latest news I've heard about this is that Tesla will officially begin to build all vehicles for the United States starting December 15th. There may be a chance they start sooner. You are one of my clients that ordered the earliest, you should definitely be getting your vehicle before EOY and eligible for the Federal Tax Credit.'
Considering the movement of M3s from the East to the Midwest at the moment, I found the sentence 'Tesla will officially begin to build all vehicles for the United States starting December 15th' rather funny. Just thought I share that with those waiting in California as well. Maybe you get a chuckle out of it.
'Thank you for being so patient about this and understanding. The latest news I've heard about this is that Tesla will officially begin to build all vehicles for the United States starting December 15th. There may be a chance they start sooner. You are one of my clients that ordered the earliest, you should definitely be getting your vehicle before EOY and eligible for the Federal Tax Credit.'
Considering the movement of M3s from the East to the Midwest at the moment, I found the sentence 'Tesla will officially begin to build all vehicles for the United States starting December 15th' rather funny. Just thought I share that with those waiting in California as well. Maybe you get a chuckle out of it.
dandrewk
Active Member
Worse than clueless. If Tesla started December 15th with US production, it could build 10,000-14,000 cars by the end of the year. Even if Tesla could use their "transporters" to get the cars to customers - it would leave about 30,000 backorders in the US at end of year.
Yes, Tesla would make their numbers (they have that much foreign backlog), but they will have totally decimated the US market. Yes, they use 2 1/2 months of (a 3 month) quarter to build cars for overseas?!
This is why I say we need to stop listening to these idiots that they call sales/delivery associates. They open their mouth and total crap falls out. I don't think they are intentionally lying. I think they are that stupid!
We are all in this soup together. I think Tesla will deliver all (of at least October) orders. It is frustrating for those of us in the Bay area. We're last and can just go to Fremont and get keys for new cars from Elon Musk dressed in a Santa suit? Yeah, right!
OverEZPZ
Member
I don't know about everyone else but I'd be willing to donate a Saturday to help build someone else's car. I think I've watched enough Youtube videos to know how to piece together some of the car. 
dandrewk
Active Member
There was at least one 2020 LR/AW, 4 miles odo. in Kansas City on Tez.la today. Another poster from St. Louis got a VIN as well.
I'm telling you that the logistics is likely far more complex than east to west. I'm surprised that they can get that many cars out of Fremont - let alone to their destinations. And no, it's not like they are going to dealerships that can hold many hundreds of vehicles at a time.
It probably looks simple -- east to west now -- but soon it will be an issue of not overloading all the delivery centers. This would be to start east to west then continue a steady flow to all locations as cars are made. To swamp a geographical region all at once would be nuts!
It probably looks simple -- east to west now -- but soon it will be an issue of not overloading all the delivery centers. This would be to start east to west then continue a steady flow to all locations as cars are made. To swamp a geographical region all at once would be nuts!
appskon
10/1 SR+ Blue/Black, 19" Fremont,CA, VIN 11/16
ucmndd
Well-Known Member
You keep saying this, despite all available evidence and history demonstrating this is more or less exactly how it works.
You’re right it’s “slightly” more complex than that, but not much. As I said upthread, the only real rule is “if the car built right now can be transported and delivered to a customer far away before the end of the year, and there’s still time to build a new car for the nearby customer, the person far away wins.” Every time. They’ll figure out the logistics later.
That's why they got caught end of quarter (Q3) with 3000 cars in their inventory. That's serious cash that are unrealized sales. I'm sure they have lots of nerdy accountants who constantly remind production that if they build a car, then need to get rid of it ASAP.
I just don't see how they could possibly get all the California cars delivered in the last 2 weeks of December. And there are more cars going to California destinations than anywhere else.
We've surmised they'll deliver the lr awd in Cali soon, then the sr a few weeks later, then the performance last few weeks of the year.
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