Reservation Numbers are RANDOM and have no relevance

[vcor]

It seems this keeps being misunderstood, but the reservation numbers are randomly generated and have no relevance to your order in the queue. It's your time of order that matters.

That said, Tesla has stated orders from Texas and California will be first. This is likely due to meeting those state requirements (and testing they have been doing over the last several months in those states). I expect Tesla is working hard to get all other state approvals on the Cybertruck, and I'd expect that will happen in the next 30-60 days. It may also be that they have trained the service personnel in Texas and California first on the Cybertruck, and need to train personnel in other states before deliveries are made. I doubt this will be much of a delay.

In addition, Tesla is likely to ship Cyberbeast orders first, and Cybertruck AWD second, so those buying the Cyberbeast are likely to get priority at first. So far it appears when they do ask people to order, you get your choice - just be aware AWD orders may be processed later than Cyberbeast. It's unclear what happens if you decline to order (i.e. you don't want the foundation option and/or want the RWD). My guess is you will be notified again in reservation time order when those variants are available.

 

[Art138]

Hmmm,there are members (at the other site) announcing their Foundation model orders from States other than Tx & Cali…..one even from Florida. Very confusing.

 

[beewang]

... This is likely due to meeting those state requirements (and testing they have been doing over the last several months in those states). I expect Tesla is working hard to get all other state approvals on the Cybertruck, and I'd expect that will happen in the next 30-60 days. It may also be that they have trained the service personnel in Texas and California first on the Cybertruck, and need to train personnel in other states before deliveries are made. I doubt this will be much of a delay.

So I am going to disagree with you for the following reasons:
1) 12/31/2023 is the 4th Qtr and Year-end Push. As such tesla is going to try and sell everything that is salable. This means the last car rolled-off the assembly line in Austin, TX on 11:59 PM12/31/2023 will be sold and delivered in Austin, TX, This is why Texas is one of the 2.
CA is the #1 Tesla Market and as such all Cybertruck up to 48 hours out of Giga TX before stroke of midnight 12/31 will be trucked to CA (probably SoCal).
2) Tesla Typically will want to load up the West Coast first (if you have been on the waitlist last couple years on Model Y, you will know this). And at the current production level, I wouldn't hold your breath if you are in a state outside of the West Coast and (South) East Coast for at least the next 8 months.

In addition, Tesla is likely to ship Cyberbeast orders first, and Cybertruck AWD second, so those buying the Cyberbeast are likely to get priority at first. So far it appears when they do ask people to order, you get your choice - just be aware AWD orders may be processed later than Cyberbeast. It's unclear what happens if you decline to order (i.e. you don't want the foundation option and/or want the RWD). My guess is you will be notified again in reservation time order when those variants are available.

So when you get the invite, it states that the expected delivery dates for Dual Motor is Dec 23~3/24 and the Tri-Motor is Early 2024. Most would interpret this as Dual Motor first (probably less battery used so you can spread out to more units produced/delivered). If you decline to accept Foundation, the you will wait until all Foundation orders are delivered, whenever that is.

 

[bjhinkle]

So I am going to disagree with you for the following reasons:
1) 12/31/2023 is the 4th Qtr and Year-end Push. As such tesla is going to try and sell everything that is salable. This means the last car rolled-off the assembly line in Austin, TX on 11:59 PM12/31/2023 will be sold and delivered in Austin, TX, This is why Texas is one of the 2.
CA is the #1 Tesla Market and as such all Cybertruck up to 48 hours out of Giga TX before stroke of midnight 12/31 will be trucked to CA (probably SoCal).
2) Tesla Typically will want to load up the West Coast first (if you have been on the waitlist last couple years on Model Y, you will know this). And at the current production level, I wouldn't hold your breath if you are in a state outside of the West Coast and (South) East Coast for at least the next 8 months.


So when you get the invite, it states that the expected delivery dates for Dual Motor is Dec 23~3/24 and the Tri-Motor is Early 2024. Most would interpret this as Dual Motor first (probably less battery used so you can spread out to more units produced/delivered). If you decline to accept Foundation, the you will wait until all Foundation orders are delivered, whenever that is.

The 2 trims have the same 123 kWh battery.

I would expect the beast first too, so not sure why the lower margin AWD would be first.

 

[Celledral]

I went with the AWD purely on the basis that it would deliver first.

 

[Regaj]

Of the increasingly numerous CA/TX reservation holders who have received invitations to configure their Cybertruck orders, we've seen none that were not in the 112xxxx range. That suggests that reservation numbers are anything but random.

More likely is that Tesla reservation numbers, issued sequentially, span the range of their products, hence the opaqueness that might sometimes seem to present.

Building a database order system that issued random order numbers would be highly unusual, with no apparent benefit.

 

[Atomadam]

I went with the AWD purely on the basis that it would deliver first.

me too

 

[vcor]

Hmmm,there are members (at the other site) announcing their Foundation model orders from States other than Tx & Cali…..one even from Florida. Very confusing.

All I can say is Texas and CA orders are being fulfilled first according to Tesla. That doesn't mean there will be a huge delay, and there is no reason for Tesla not to take orders everywhere in the USA - they would be delivered a little after Texas and CA - perhaps in January or February.

Tesla has always delivered the highest-end versions first. Even back in 2012 with the Model S, the high-end versions were delivered 6 months before the next tier, followed by the last tier 2 months later. With high-demand items, this makes a lot of sense for Tesla.

 

[beewang]

I went with the AWD purely on the basis that it would deliver first.

Same here, but If I dont get the CT by 12/31 , then I will change it to Cerberus on 1/1/2024.

 

[355rockit]

Of the increasingly numerous CA/TX reservation holders who have received invitations to configure their Cybertruck orders, we've seen none that were not in the 112xxxx range. That suggests that reservation numbers are anything but random.

More likely is that Tesla reservation numbers, issued sequentially, span the range of their products, hence the opaqueness that might sometimes seem to present.

Building a database order system that issued random order numbers would be highly unusual, with no apparent benefit.

I have 11274XXXX and haven't received an invite, but a coworker with a later reservation in the 112XXX range received an invite and configured. I did change my configuration a few weeks after my initial reservation from single to dual motor. Not sure if that affected things. It didn't change my order #, but wonder if it may have affected the reservation date/time.

 

[beewang]

I have 11274XXXX and haven't received an invite, but a coworker with a later reservation in the 112XXX range received an invite and configured. I did change my configuration a few weeks after my initial reservation from single to dual motor. Not sure if that affected things. It didn't change my order #, but wonder if it may have affected the reservation date/time.

Are you an existing Tesla owner? If so how many?
Is your friend and existing Tesla Owner? If so how many?

I am trying to prove out my theory...
I think Tesla is trying to avoid potential "bicker" and "bad/poor social media press" and as such, is prioritizing existing multiple Tesla owners and arent suing them...

If my theory doesn't pan out... then its just a lottery

beewang

 

[355rockit]

Are you an existing Tesla owner? If so how many?
Is your friend and existing Tesla Owner? If so how many?

I am trying to prove out my theory...
I think Tesla is trying to avoid potential "bicker" and "bad/poor social media press" and as such, is prioritizing existing multiple Tesla owners and arent suing them...

If my theory doesn't pan out... then its just a lottery

beewang

Existing owner?
Me - Yes (Model 3)
Friend - No

 

[bjhinkle]

Are you an existing Tesla owner? If so how many?
Is your friend and existing Tesla Owner? If so how many?

I am trying to prove out my theory...
I think Tesla is trying to avoid potential "bicker" and "bad/poor social media press" and as such, is prioritizing existing multiple Tesla owners and arent suing them...

If my theory doesn't pan out... then its just a lottery

beewang

I’ve owned 4.
RN112744…
Invited and configured on 12/20.
Waiting for VIN.
KY

Hope that helps your theory.

 

[EVNow]

It seems this keeps being misunderstood, but the reservation numbers are randomly generated and have no relevance to your order in the queue. It's your time of order that matters.

Wrong. There is a direct correlation between time of order, reservation number and invites.

That doesn’t mean
- spot in line = difference between first reservation and yours
- invites will be exactly in the reservation sequence.

Just see the spread sheet on CTO site. Almost all orders are 1281**** or below. That is not random.

 

[Kobe8]

Recently, pre-ordered a base cybertruck, which notes delivery in 2025.

For the all wheel drive and cyber beast, the delivery estimates are 2024.

I just spoke to a sales rep, who said that irrespective of which spec you choose, you have a place in line and one ready you will be able to configure your car and even switch specs. Is that true? Or if I reserve an all-wheel-drive or cyber beast, would I be able to configure sooner, and take delivery sooner?

 

[Regaj]

Yes, when your Reservation Number comes up in the queue, you will have an opportunity to configure your truck to whatever you want. If that config is available then, they'll build it for you.

No, choosing some other build config (like an AWD or CyberBeast) when inputting your Reservation will not move you further up in the queue.

 

[Kobe8]

Great, thank you that’s exactly the response I was looking for.

 

[smrtasp84]

Curious to see how this plays out. I have a ~6 month old reservation (way back of the line compared to the million plus reservations Tesla talked about) and own 3 Teslas as of now, and last night I saw that either of the AWD Cybertruck versions can be "ordered" with a 2024 delivery. I've also read that Tesla is looking to ramp production to 250K a year so I'm wondering how there are 1+ million reservations out there already, with no option at the time to choose a specific model, but an order today for either AWD version is supposed to be delivered this year. Not to mention that it will probably be 1-2 years before Tesla could sustainably produce 250K per year.

 

[davelv]

Most people believe the order number is in sequence. I find it hard to believe they are random.

 

[!igs]

Pretty sure RNs are sequential.