Zero. They have only certified a different model for construct there initially and ramp up even of that will be slow. Most think they’ll start building MYLR there later in the year. Probably. Maybe. And most think we’ll hear more on or by the opening part there April 7.
We pretty much knew that already re: structural packs... there have been various shots of bottomless chassis inside and outside the building and these battery-pack-seat assemblies on the production line for a month or two now and no evidence whatsoever of other types.
Nobody knows if Austin will even be producing a MYLR at this time. Could be a new SR AWD that got an EPA certificate of Conformity last month. Hopefully we will know more by April 7th Grand Opening Event
I'm East of TX. Got it, I'll be anxiously waiting for Apr. 7th. Thanks to you and others who responded!
Depends on your location - but probably will all be clear on April 7
We all get to speculate until Tesla reveals what they're doing.
While your guess on MY SR is reasonable, there's never been any discussion of a structural battery pack using LFP cells.
Elon has many months back mentioned an alternative structural pack not using 4680 as an option. I never said LFP, and would be surprised if it were. The Austin cars clearly are structural pack in multiple photos over time, and zero evidence otherwise. So we’re looking at either a 4680 pack with not a ton of batteries to yield 280 miles, or alternative structural pack, probably with the same batteries now in MYLR. The 280-mile-range EPA test car has an Austin VIN. That’s what is being built there now.
I totally agree with this. I’m certain they would love to eat into the backlog of MYLR which now stretches well into 2023, but probably are constrained first by ramp-up speed and prob also to a degree by other parts.
Let me throw in one more (complete) speculation. There was a statement that FSD HW4 was coming soon. You could put that in Austin with the 4680s and then justify sending those to people who bought FSD. This would effectively allow them to charge a (huge) premium if there's any 4680 benefit during ramp up, and address fremont/austin issues. (To be clear, I don't actually think this will happen, but it's not *totally* crazy.)
Type your question here, it's just as knowable and likely to be as accurate as any response you get: Original Magic 8 Ball
much much much discussed on this thread... scroll up and look for the images of the car’s screen and the EPA paperwork etc. This is one of the rare things about all this that isn’t even faintly in question....
It is the only car submitted for testing out of Austin. One of the sharpest regulars here sleuthed it all out and dissected it a couple dozen pages above. Two sets of paperwork were submitted and the internet hype machine swallowed its disappointment at 280-mile range and made like there was a mystery and the other shoe waiting to could be the super-range, super-fast 4680 they had been selling us on.
Sorry if I lost the plot somewhere. I saw the blue MY Austin VIN pic but I didn't see the EPA paperwork that had that VIN on it. Any chance you could point me to the EPA VIN source so I don't have to scroll through all 140 pages. .
Here you go, leave a nickle in the tip jar. Post 2375 on page 119 (for me).
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