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[Rumor] Model X Launch Party
- Thread starter Roverconvert
- Start date
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- Model X
bonnie
I play a nice person on twitter.
Why does Bonnie always have to bring facts to light that squashes our wishful thinking? 
Bad habit. I'm working on it.
NigelM
Recovering Member
Folks need to realize that the chances of stumbling over a telling piece of inside information are about as good as really stumbling on a pot of gold at the end of a rainbow. Most employees don't get knowledge of this type of stuff more than 24hrs in advance so they don't have to lie to us all; those in the know don't tell because the boss likes to announce these things himself. Friends of friends, brother-in-laws-sisters-wife, assorted strangers and acquaintances all have no better idea of the real date than any of us can guess at. Sorry.
bonnie
I play a nice person on twitter.
^^. Additionally, "those in the know" get into the positions they have by knowing better than to share information that they're not supposed to share.
Trev Page
Member
Loose lips sinks ships as they used to say during the war. Tesla uses at lot of things from Apple's playbook: announce things when you're ready and always at your own events in order to maximize media exposure
There are plenty of examples of Tesla announcing things way before they are ready. Model X (in early prototype form) was one. Also CHAdeMO adapter, battery swap, center console... you get the idea. Perhaps they are trying to be better about this, but they certainly haven't been in the past.
Heh. I think the comment meant to announce when they're ready... for the announcement. Not so much when the product is ready. I definitely think they're working on how communication and timing go together. Elon made a comment about his issue with timing recently. I foresee that getting better as the company matures.
NigelM
Recovering Member
There was a Model S party/event with test rides in beta cars BUT the reservation list was much shorter than that of the X. Assuming that Tesla starts at reservation #1 the number of folks receiving invites will depend on capacity and how many acceptances they get. There are currently ~24,000 tallied reservations and previous calculations indicate there might be an assumed >15% drop out rate so that still suggests there are a potential ~20,000 live reservations; Tesla couldn't manage a single hands-on event with 40,000 people (think reservation holders plus S.O.) so it's likely that if a launch party takes place* then it'll fill up with the earliest reservation numbers first, unless Tesla decides to do a multi-day event.
*We're all assuming that an event will take place but it's not guaranteed.
roblab
Active Member
Burning Man drew 66,000 people. Then they went away. The desert is still there, and this is the best time of year. Hmmmmmm. Potential.
bonnie
I play a nice person on twitter.
That's what I want to do. Take my cherry MS to a lakebed to get coated with 3" of fine silt. Pass.
I have a strong hunch that the X reveal will be almost exactly 6 months after their D launch party. Just seems to make most sense to me for a lot of reasons
Trev Page
Member
Perhaps they are learning. I think the D introduction was a good example. They said deliveries would start in December and they delivered on that, quite well it seems judging by the amount of Ds on the road right now
NigelM
Recovering Member
A few reasons why there may not be a X reveal party at all:
Why put on an expensive, time-consuming party when everyone already wants your product anyway?
- They already had a launch party
- There's too many reservation holders already
- All the people who can't make it will feel frustrated
- All those who don't get invited will be ticked off
- A number of us would burn a ton of fossil fuel flying in
- It's expensive
- It's a management distraction
- None of us will cancel if they don't hold a party
- A press release with photos will give us something to happily chew on
- We'll all be delirious if they just put up the design studio
Why put on an expensive, time-consuming party when everyone already wants your product anyway?
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I think this could be a time for them to shift and do more region-based parties. That way they could have a couple very large parties (SF, LA, NY, Europe) and max those out at a reasonable number. For other, less populated areas, have the various galleries/service centers host. Then, have a live-stream going from wherever the actual reveal is to all the various party locations. Still not easy by any means, but at least it'll keep the attendees at a more reasonable number per location, people don't have to fly around to get to the event, and hopefully they can satisfy more reservation holders than if they just had one big one.
Of course, Signature reservation holders (no matter where they live) should be invited to wherever the main event is and be given a noticeably more special experience (first ones to drive it, etc.).
Of course, Signature reservation holders (no matter where they live) should be invited to wherever the main event is and be given a noticeably more special experience (first ones to drive it, etc.).
Nigel, I agree that those are all good reasons for not holding an X launch event. But I still think Tesla will do it because the production version of the X is clearly going to be much better than the earlier prototype version we have seen to date (the white X) based on Elon repeatedly stating it will be, and that will attract significant media coverage which will be a positive for Tesla.
And revealing the final production-ready version of the X will simply make us all feel a lot better, even those like me who have no intention of ordering an X but as a TSLA shareholder would like to see the stock start rising again.
And revealing the final production-ready version of the X will simply make us all feel a lot better, even those like me who have no intention of ordering an X but as a TSLA shareholder would like to see the stock start rising again.
gg_got_a_tesla
Model S: VIN 65513, Model 3: VIN 1913
A party will happen for sure; that's just Elon's style - he's a bit of a showman. Yes, it'll generate tons of "free" publicity and awareness for people who haven't paid attention thus far. Will help with the stock price too.
Agree with some of Nigel's points though; it's going to be a very tricky business to come up with a list of invitees and such a party is not "green", all things considered.
Agree with some of Nigel's points though; it's going to be a very tricky business to come up with a list of invitees and such a party is not "green", all things considered.
