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[Rumor] Model X Launch Party

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Given the beta making an appearance at long last, I've rethought my expected timetable and have come up with the following Model X release schedule.

Early/Mid April - Production Reveal
This allows Tesla all of Q1 to sell Model S without the distraction of Model X looming on the horizon. The P85D was revealed shortly after the end of a quarter, so this seems like a timing Tesla is comfortable with. With the amount of work they did to camouflage the beta, they can comfortably test in public for a couple more months without needing to do a full reveal.

Early/Mid May - Design Studio Release
Timed to coincide with the Q1 earnings release and conference call, Tesla announces this milestone in Model X development as a further sign it remains on schedule.

Early/Mid August - Production Begins
After several months of testing their production line, the first customer ordered Model Xes roll down the production line. Production starts out at about 100 units the first week and adds an additional 100 units each week over the course of a month so that all 1,200 U.S. Signatures are built by the end of Q3.

September - Signature Deliveries
Customer deliveries start around Labor Day and a push is made to get as many of the U.S. Signatures as possible delivered by the end of September.

October-December - Production Continues
Over the last 3 months of the year, Model X production gradually increases from 500 to 1000 units a week. LHD European Signatures are built for delivery by the end of 2015, but the bulk of the remaining units are U.S. production models. Approximately 8,000 U.S. production units are built and delivered by the end of 2015.

I admit the production numbers may sound a bit aggressive to some, but Tesla has indicated they will be ramping up much faster with Model X than they did with Model S. Between their desire to reach an annualized production rate of 100,000 units by the end of 2015 and the backlog of higher valued Model X orders to work through, these numbers seem reasonable to me.
Do you really think that they would have the design studio in May and I could finalize by the end of May but not take possession of my Model X until January 2016.
 
(Did you mean the Bolt not Volt?)
I do mean the Volt as I said. The Bolt is still nothing more than a concept so it hasn't gone through the test process yet.


Do you really think that they would have the design studio in May and I could finalize by the end of May but not take possession of my Model X until January 2016.
No, you won't be able to finalize your order until your reservation number is called. Only Signatures would be allowed to at first, then everyone else would be let in over several months based on reservation number. This all assuming it works the same as the Model S.
 
*whistle* from Facebook:

Screen Shot 2015-01-30 at 10.43.59 PM.png
 
He's not Sig #1 or #2 ... and I haven't gotten a phone call. If he was a Founder, he'd not be sharing information publicly (and he'd know he was a Founder Series).

My guess? Whoever called him wants to talk him into a Model S.

I'll feed information to here if the thread reveals anything. What was interesting was the "delivery June" comment. :shrug:
 
I'll feed information to here if the thread reveals anything. What was interesting was the "delivery June" comment. :shrug:
How many people have come here all excited because they learned something from their local store/service center? June delivery? Nope.

(And I'd love to be proven wrong. Because I'd like my X. But there's a certain level of reality I need to keep in my life. "June delivery" just throws it all out of whack.)
 
Also be aware that someone might be purposely start rumors, to get everyone excited prior to earning release so people make bets and drive stock price up in anticipation... and get hammered afterwards when the rumor turns out falls. I'm not saying this guy did this, but it is a strategy by some bears that has worked in the past.

I don't short the stock, ever. So for me, I always prefer to go into an ER with lowered expectations.
 

It's this guy: https://www.facebook.com/dansteelesfl?fref=ts&ref=br_tf

Profile photo matches the photo of his post in the group.

- - - Updated - - -

For what it's worth, I think you're all giving far too much importance to this guy's post about his delivery. Think about it. How many people have come onto the forum and announced the delivery of the X would be "soon| start next month | some other date"? Right. He's another one. He didn't even know his reservation number, said he'd post the next day. Anyone here NOT know their reservation number? No? Did he post it? Not yet.

I guarantee that when Tesla calls to talk to me about my reservation, it will not require going into the store first to talk with a delivery specialist. Why would they have done that with him?

I'm sure he has an X on order, not saying that. Just saying that sometimes our need for information causes us to park reality. If he was a Founder Series, he would know better than to jump the gun and announce before Tesla does.

 
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That's my story, and I'm stickin' to it! :)

I can't say I wasn't a bit more hopeful that others, too, were being contacted. We're all hoping to see more news appear. You have the distinction of being one of the first and of course you'd be the first person I'd trust when it comes to news on the X. But hey -- sticking to it here -- "just sharing". :)