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Russia/Ukraine conflict

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There is no advantage to rule out nuclear retaliation beforehand.

Especially when you don't have the conventional forces to make a difference.

It is almost inviting Putin to nuke Ukraine.

There are no "spokespeople" from the US Government commenting on the matter. The ones that have issued threats of what we would do are retired soldiers and spooks. Plausible deniability.

The first reaction would be conventional and a cyber attack. But the US wisely doesn't rule out nuking Moscow. Make them worry about it.
Agreed and given Macron’s actions to date his comments don’t surprise me. If Paris was bombed or had fallout would he be so sanguine?
 
The world needs to cage the (already existing) nuclear weapons into a defensive use only for a mutually assured destruction scenario as this is the best possible way to prevent them from ever being used (short of destroying them).

The best way to accomplish this is for every other actor to make it perfectly clear that any party that uses "tactical" nuclear weapons, or any other concept of limited use, will be financially and physically isolated. Think N. Korea without China or Russia. This is the coalition that I hope we are building. Europe, US, China, India, Saudis and the like may never agree on anything apart from this but we should be able to agree on this one point. It is a shame there is not a United body of Nations that existed to do such things.
 
Agreed and given Macron’s actions to date his comments don’t surprise me. If Paris was bombed or had fallout would he be so sanguine?

If Paris was bombed, the issue would be completely different because Article 5 would be invoked. he was commenting on something happening to a country that is not a NATO member, though France is supporting them in the war.
 
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If Paris was bombed, the issue would be completely different because Article 5 would be invoked. he was commenting on something happening to a country that is not a NATO member, though France is supporting them in the war.
Yup. And besides, a nuclear response isn't required if NATO wanted to completely destroy Russia's military assets. Conventional weapons can be extremely destructive without the fallout...
 
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Lots of the open source guys have been reporting it all day. Defmon3, NLWartracker, and their colleagues. UKR have pushed within 8km of svatove and are pushing from east, southeast and northeast. They have also captured towns north of Svatove closer to Russian border. The massing of supplies and such just east of Kup sp? was noticed by the same russians that noticed the Izium buildup. Svatove being key because it's really the only good route to Starbolisk which allows a deep encirclement of Luansk and cuts all the north south logistic routes in Luhansk. It's also the site of Lapins HQ (used to be), etc etc. Starbolisk is the real goal or at least a strategic interest that, if threatened, forces a response and it is mostly undefended. Moving around Svatove is not simplistic but easy enough compared to the other challenges they've faced. Weather works with them for the next week. If they move to encircle Starbolisk then the entire force structure in Luhansk is threatened and it's time to abandon most of the province or face a real encirclement, a catastrophic one. If they do deal with Svatove then ..I think.. guessing here. It's time to hurry to Starbolisk, a week to regroup then hit again. Not sure what minefields they've setup in Starbolisk but all the town could be in 155mm range within hours of Svatove falling or being bypassed.

We know Russia setup artillery batteries between the two towns in the forests, that's been passed on already by the open source folks. Tomorrow could see significant uptick in artillery duels.
 
There's a lot strange info regarding the war being posted today where observers are saying that the Ukrainian advance has slowed because they have to wait for the Russians to abandon their vehicles, run away from the front and tell other Russians to abandon their vehicles and run away. It seems like a massive relay race in reverse.
 
I have not seen a single credible source site that, not one.
There's a lot strange info regarding the war being posted today where observers are saying that the Ukrainian advance has slowed because they have to wait for the Russians to abandon their vehicles, run away from the front and tell other Russians to abandon their vehicles and run away. It seems like a massive relay race in reverse.
 
There's a lot strange info regarding the war being posted today where observers are saying that the Ukrainian advance has slowed because they have to wait for the Russians to abandon their vehicles, run away from the front and tell other Russians to abandon their vehicles and run away. It seems like a massive relay race in reverse.
So it's just the lazy slow Russians who get encircled and captured?
 
As reported before Russia kidnap children and "lied to them that they weren’t wanted by their parents"...
 
Lots of the open source guys have been reporting it all day. Defmon3, NLWartracker, and their colleagues. UKR have pushed within 8km of svatove and are pushing from east, southeast and northeast. They have also captured towns north of Svatove closer to Russian border. The massing of supplies and such just east of Kup sp? was noticed by the same russians that noticed the Izium buildup. Svatove being key because it's really the only good route to Starbolisk which allows a deep encirclement of Luansk and cuts all the north south logistic routes in Luhansk. It's also the site of Lapins HQ (used to be), etc etc. Starbolisk is the real goal or at least a strategic interest that, if threatened, forces a response and it is mostly undefended. Moving around Svatove is not simplistic but easy enough compared to the other challenges they've faced. Weather works with them for the next week. If they move to encircle Starbolisk then the entire force structure in Luhansk is threatened and it's time to abandon most of the province or face a real encirclement, a catastrophic one. If they do deal with Svatove then ..I think.. guessing here. It's time to hurry to Starbolisk, a week to regroup then hit again. Not sure what minefields they've setup in Starbolisk but all the town could be in 155mm range within hours of Svatove falling or being bypassed.

We know Russia setup artillery batteries between the two towns in the forests, that's been passed on already by the open source folks. Tomorrow could see significant uptick in artillery duels.

There is a disconnect between the info you relay and the latest mapset from one of them. (I agree with your assessment of objectives mind you.)

 
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