Fantasies like this guy's is precisely why Elon wants 25% control of Tesla.Imo very likely FPV with a human nearby. But soon there will be enough training data and enough embedded compute to do it autonomously.
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Fantasies like this guy's is precisely why Elon wants 25% control of Tesla.Imo very likely FPV with a human nearby. But soon there will be enough training data and enough embedded compute to do it autonomously.
Imo very likely FPV with a human nearby. But soon there will be enough training data and enough embedded compute to do it autonomously.
Future warfare will be scary... It's all about mass production and cost effective solutions and small drones with explosives are very cost effective... I guess all that's needed to take out most of the population/infrastructure of a country is getting a few million drones there. So how to get them there without getting shot down easily? Submarines could be one way, but I wonder if SpaceX could just launch a few starships filled with a few million drones and a few thousand heat shields and parachutes and let them fall down over the major cities.
To determine how many DJI drones could fit in a SpaceX Starship, we'll need the dimensions and volume of both the Starship and a DJI drone. Let's use the DJI Mavic 2 Pro as a representative drone, given its popularity and typical size.
Dimensions and Volume
SpaceX Starship:
DJI Mavic 2 Pro:
- Diameter: 9 meters
- Height: 50 meters
- Usable volume (payload bay): approximately 1,000 cubic meters
- Dimensions (folded): 214 x 91 x 84 mm (0.214 x 0.091 x 0.084 meters)
- Volume (folded): 0.214 * 0.091 * 0.084 = 0.001637244 cubic meters
Calculation
First, we need to convert the dimensions to the same units and then calculate how many DJI Mavic 2 Pro drones can fit into the payload bay of the Starship by volume.
Volume of Starship payload bay:
Volume of one DJI Mavic 2 Pro:
- Volume: 1,000 cubic meters
Number of DJI Mavic 2 Pro drones: Number of drones=Volume of StarshipVolume of one DJI Mavic 2 ProNumber of drones=Volume of one DJI Mavic 2 ProVolume of Starship Number of drones=1,000 cubic meters0.001637244 cubic metersNumber of drones=0.001637244 cubic meters1,000 cubic meters Number of drones≈610,800Number of drones≈610,800
- Volume: 0.001637244 cubic meters
So, approximately 610,800 DJI Mavic 2 Pro drones could fit into the payload bay of a SpaceX Starship, assuming perfect packing efficiency and no space lost to structural or other components.
The calculation was for DJI Mavic drones, the videos in the warning video were some futuristic much smaller drone, let's say 1/10 of the mass of a DJI. And you don't need to take out every human in Moscow, taking out all men 18-65 will incapacitate their defensive capability a lot.Moscow does allegedly have a population of some 13 Million people... So you'd need what – 21-22 Starships just to take out Moscow?... And that's not accounting for all the drones that would be needed to breach windows. Or the drones that would get stuck in window blinds... And what if the people of Moscow were to have covered their windows with a simple welded wire mesh screen? How are the drones going to get through that? And how many drones would run out of battery before they could find 'a target'? And even if you send like ~30(?) Starships and manage to take out Moscow, the rest of Russia would still be completely unscathed...
The calculation was for DJI Mavic drones, the videos in the warning video were some futuristic much smaller drone, let's say 1/10 of the mass of a DJI. And you don't need to take out every human in Moscow, taking out all men 18-65 will incapacitate their defensive capability a lot.
As for battery, a few large batteries, some solar panel, some drones to ferry around batteries for the smaller drones etc. It's not hard to imagine this being solved 5-10 years after we have AGI which metaculus seems to believe we will have in 2027.
And it's not like China will pause their development of this:
Even assuming that this would one day work – what you basically have is another 'version' of a Nuclear Weapon. Any use of this 'mass swarm drone weapon thingy' [on the scale that you laid out in our first post with "a few million drones"] against a nuclear power would guaranteed trigger a nuclear response. Any use of such a weapon by The Russian Dictator or the Military Dictatorship that is China [against a country that doesn't have nuclear weapons] would trigger a massive response by the Democratic world very similar to what has been clearly communicated to the Russian Dictator if he ever were to use a Nuke in Ukraine.
As someone whose family lost many thousands of acres in Cuba after 1959
What war? Everything is fine and the SMO is proceeding as planned, I've been told.
Why do these idiots go vacationing in an active war zone? Is the beach really that nice?
Why do these idiots go vacationing in an active war zone? Is the beach really that nice?
And as always, stay away from open windows above the ground floor.What war? Everything is fine and the SMO is proceeding as planned, I've been told.
And stick to bottled water. Definitely no tea.And as always, stay away from open windows above the ground floor.
Preferably bottled in a country that doesn't have that pesky polonium pollution problem.And stick to bottled water. Definitely no tea.
In response to that Pyongyang announced early this week that it will be sending troops in the form of a military engineering unit to support Russian forces on the ground in the Donetsk region. The troops are expected to arrive on the battlefield as soon as next month.