I only have my -180C opened earlier in the week. 99% it won't be ITM. However, I'll need to see how the stock reacts to 167.
So what is 167? It's the 0.381 retracement of the 190-152.3 down leg.
IF the big leg down from 208 is going to be a 5 wave impulse which can take the stock down to 146, then 166-167 should be a formidable resistance as most wave 4's terminate below this level. Statistics. Not voodoo.
"I'll need to see how the stock reacts to 167." It first tapped 165 on Friday before pulling back to 160, gathered some momentum to get to 165.6 today. That's not what a breakout should look like. The evidence is bearish divergences on the RSI and MACD (red arrows), telling us momentum was fizzling out. Momentum running out at a strong resistance = close my short puts.
While I don't know exactly where the stock going to be at 4pm on Friday, I knew that 166 167 will be tested at some point this week and so short puts were opened. At 165.6 and seeing double bearish divergences, I closed my short puts, letting my calls run. This is how I use TA to gauge direction, momentum and levels in order to profit. Don't need to know the weekly closing price. Never did. That's not the primary purpose of TA.
At 155-157, I will again see how the stock reacts & what momentum looks like. If it's unclear, I will not open new short calls as downside potential is $8-10 (to 146) but upside potential can be $25 (to 180). Risk : Reward analysis. Not voodoo.