Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2013

[Twiddler]

Wow I thought you guys were joking about $200, u did put that to test?

To go after this kind of Otm calls, you have to be impeccable in timing, and incredibly lucky, or truly know something that nobody else know.

I do know someone bought $.14 call in Q1, and ride it all the way up to $14. He must be . reading this.

But if that is your goal, You're bound to lose all your money. Those feats can not be repeated.

Placed with a stock price of 135 yesterday. Still down huge today despite a 15% gain. Very small position, more of an experiment. As with most, did not end very well, but lessons learned :0)

 

[GJMcManus]

One thing I have learned about this stock, company and Elon. If someone say "it can't be done", they end up doing just that..

 

[johnnydop]

Could be a good thing. It removes the temptation of selling them before they're in the money .

True, all it needs to do now is bust out of that 152/153 range.

 

[austinEV]

Comparing the two day-afters again. we are doing fine in comparison:

 

[kevin99]

Short-Term TSLA Price Movements

AustinEV, is the past hourly chart available stockschart.com?

I used to have td's strategydesk. It has all 1 minute quote for the last 2 years. But the tool is being replaced.

I am using thinkorswim. Anyone know they have 1 minute quote for the last year, not just daily quote?

 

[Johan]

Looking good. Manage to get a good chunk of those inflated call premiums for the Aug 165, Sept 170 and 180 in the first 15 min. Made a deal with myself to set a good chunk of cash aside (can't keep going all-in forever) but as I saw the price holding steady above 150 and with the Aug OTM time-values dwindling took up new positions in the 170 and 190 strikes. Can't look back now!

 

[DonPedro]

Still trying to comprehend this - just 6% up from the ATHs a few days ago, after that ER, the second consecutive profitable quarter, etc, etc. I am sorry, but I will be buying here

There was a runup that priced in a pretty good quarter. There was generally a very bullish sentiment (regardless of analysts' tempered expectations). I'm not saying it won't pop more, but you already got a good serving of cake before yesterday's announcement. ;-)

 

[deonb]

More comparisons:

May 6th: Close: 60
May 7th: Close: 55
May 8th: Close: 55
May 9th: Low 63, High 75, Close 69.

So:
May 9th low compared to May 8th close was up 14%, but compared to May 6th was only up 5%.
August 8th low compared to August 7th close is up 13%, but compared to August 6th is only up 6%.

Do keep in mind that Elon started doing a bunch of announcements soon after, not the least was the tease of "Faster than a gas station" tweet that day, as well as the consumer reports article that came out.


So we need some significant Elon announcement and a good article rating Model S number 1 at something...

 

[Johan]

Hyperloop plans Monday??? Could be a catalyst, esp. if somehow connected to Tesla.

BTW guys: we've already spent too long in the 150's, right

 

[Norse]

Hangout with Elon Musk and Richard Branson - People Planet - Virgin.com

well, he might say something today. Also tmrw some short will have to end their run.

 

[imherkimer]

So we need some significant Elon announcement and a good article rating Model S number 1 at something...[/QUOTE]

Right on que, NHTSA crash tests, give Model S 5 star ratings all around! Monday Elon puts out Hyperloop proposal. While not directly related to Tesla, likely to create a publicity pop!

 

[Norse]

Lol, what the hell was that? Straight down to 134, then up again.

 

[Larken]

For what it is worth, my guess is that it will slowly work its way up to 160ish today as the news sinks in and then continue working up to 165+170 on closing Friday.

 

[ShortSlaver]

Great quarter. I bought September calls yesterday as we got the dip we needed. Doing well, hopefully there's a steady march up the next couple weeks.

- - - Updated - - -

Also, I'm tempted by the weekly 160 calls. I'm still away so won't be able to really react, but it isn't out of the question TSLA makes a gain above 160 over the next 2 days...

And at like .90, it's a pretty cheap gamble to pick up a few of those contracts. Not in the cards for me right now, but is interesting as short term IV has leveled off.

 

[marvinat0rz]

Hyperloop plans Monday??? Could be a catalyst, esp. if somehow connected to Tesla.

BTW guys: we've already spent too long in the 150's, right

I really hope you're continuing your options plays with smaller amounts. There will at some point be a change from today's massively optimistic sentiment. (And by that I mean what the stock price says, not what a lot of pundits are saying - there is no question that today's sentiment is incredibly optimistic and ignores the risk factors). I don't want to see anyone get slaughtered even as the company as a whole is successful.

I'm long since $34 and am a pure buy-and-hold investor, but this price level gives me pause. Long term I am very bullish on Tesla and the earnings call was reassuring, but the stock price is getting ahead of itself. The Barclays report captures a lot of my feelings, but I'm getting the impression that the forum readers who skimmed it are ignoring the risk factors which are very clearly pointed out.

Believe the stock price, not the pundits. $143 before earnings is a very clear statement that many investors not on this forum assumes that everything will be smooth from here on out. I strongly doubt that it will.

 

[twinklejet]

Lol, what the hell was that? Straight down to 134, then up again.

Did not see anything like that

 

[fjm9898]

Did not see anything like that

It was a ticker glitch. the graphers figured it out and have removed it from the ticker.

 

[Norse]

Did not see anything like that

I didnt see it eighter, but look at todays low.

 

[Citizen-T]

Break out.

 

[Jonathan Hewitt]

Weak longs gone