The essence of your good post in so many ways is indicative of living in a place called mystery land.
I fully understand your desire to keep out. And I very much appreciate the little bits of info you give out, and the helpful nudges in the right direction. And I appreciate why you cannot be specific. I do find it reassuring.
Of course for many of us, the not knowing is the problem. It only leads to speculation. As you say, sometimes wild speculation.
This whole ordeal of batterygate/chargegate and the lack of direct, accurate and honest communication from the manufacturers to the impacted owners are disturbing in so many levels.
The impacted owners are forced, in their quest for truth, to either speculate, sometimes wildly - it's human nature after all, and/or to rely on the available third party best efforts to shed some light on the mystery, only to find that info as well to be vague and speculative due to the third party's well-understood limitations on disclosure. Not unheard of, but not acceptable either. Like life in the mystery land.
I read into your comments that Tesla ARE working on a fix, and certainly when one appears, eventually, I think I will be happy to update. But I am VERY nervous about doing it now.
Let's assume that Tesla has been working on a fix for the infamous condition Z and releases the fix tomorrow. How do we know the update that pops up on your screen is it? After all, Tesla has never acknowledged the existence of condition Z, let alone an available fix for it. Furthermore, we will only know about the purpose of the update through the carefully chosen blurbs in the release notes, that is if you are lucky and get a non-blank release note,
after you update. You have no idea what you are updating to. Yes, I know you probably would need to hear from the update guinea pigs on TMC in advance to know what's in that update. Life in the mystery land.
I am also reassured that my car probably isn’t going to burst into flames one night
I hope so, but as others have commented, I believe this assurance should officially come from Tesla, and not only from the third party best efforts to feed their good faith but guarded information out of their good hearts. Again, life in the mystery land.
PS:
I'm not a novelist, but this whole topic makes a reasonable draft script for one (more than enough materials in ~5000 posts). Let's called it:
Batterygate, Chargegate
The agony of living in a mystery land