Agree - it is math and folks need to decide what they are comfortable with. Stock price going from 100 to 1400 in one year is possible resulting in short term gains if sold within 1-year as TSLA has shown, but less likely.It’s math, you can’t disagree with it.
Part 2 is $550k into TSLA at $700 like you said (so 785.7 shares). If if then doubles to $1,400, you have $1.1M with a gain of $550k. Short term tax would be $275k as you laid it out, netting $275k in addition to the net from the first part of the trade, which netted $450k, so total net is $725k.
If the other scenario is also short term, you gain $1.3M and net $650k under the tax rate you presented. Obviously if you change that scenario to long term, you will pay less in taxes. The point is that you should consider the impact of a higher cost basis on your second sale if you are analyzing this type of situation.
Mind-boggling that there were disagrees on this post. Again, it’s just math.
For me, tax planning is more complicated than the examples above, particularly, if you are planning to hold TSLA for the very long term. There were three big changes in the 2017 tax law that had major potential effects.
First was the major change in the deductibility of state tax again the Federal tax. This primarily affects states like CA, which have very high state taxes. You can see that in examples given earlier on paying federal and state capital gains, particularly when CA doesn't have a lower long term capital gains rate.
Second, for people like me who hold our shares in tax free accounts (Mine are all in a Roth IRA). My plan is to have the Roth as an estate planning tool. The law changed the rules so that my beneficiaries can only hold the assets in an inherited Roth tax free for 10 years after my death (or my spouse whoever lives the longest) rather than their lifetime (with some RMD - required minimum distribution). This decreases the value of a Roth (although it still is very good - since it also doesn't require me to take any RMD).
Third, the estate tax limit was doubled (still increasing by inflation each year). This has a huge effect as TSLA shares increase in value. Mine, purchased in the Roth in late 2013 and early 2015, are approaching a 20 bagger, a level where, including our other assets, put estate tax into play. At 40% estate tax is significant (some states also have their own estate taxes on top of federal). However, the big unknown is whether this higher limit will end in 2026, since the increase in the estate tax limit sunsets then. It will take a new law to keep it going.
A fourth tax issue which is currently very advantageous, is that if you keep TSLA or any appreciated asset until your death, the cost basis of the asset is readjusted to the market value at your death. So if you keep TSLA long enough, you may escape any capital gains tax on its growth while you were alive.
Tax laws are definitely subject to change, so as your wealth in TSLA multiplies, you probably need to keep in mind some or all of these complications. At 75, I am probably much more aware than most of you about such things.
We haven't paid much attention to estate planning yet - in our late forties/early fifties now, other than having a living trust created. Our brokerage assigned financial advisor did mention this a couple of months back - since our TSLA holdings in my traditional IRA have grown to a ridiculous level. In addition to advising that I should sell and take profits, which I promptly ignored , he did point out that if we left this as an estate to our kid, with the new laws for RMD etc., a big chunk would be lost to taxes at that point. His recommendation was to start rollover into ROTH IRA - but with our current tax brackets, we would be paying almost half in taxes (yes, first world problems, cry me a river etc etc.). Most of my TSLA assets are in a traditional IRA, my husband does have a Roth IRA, but the holdings are much less - thanks to my super conservative hubby (I have posted that story sometime before - his holdings are mostly in bonds, that he actually pays Fidelity to manage)
Thanks for the mods to direct the discussion to an appropriate thread! Only thing I can add is, keep your shares as-is in your taxable account and use options if you have a high conviction on what the stock is going to do (both direction and timing).
This is exactly what I have been doing with my traditional IRA. Last year Sept - about 30% of my account was TSLA stock, with only about 1-2% call options. As of this morning, my IRA is at 20X of the value from Sept'19 with >90% in TSLA stock or options. After the S&P announcement couple of weeks back, I sold off 40% of the TSLA stocks in this account and converted the amount to call options (posted in the Trading thread).
Back to the original discussion regarding taxable account:
The scenario calculations posted are not entirely hypothetical, since I am trying to decide at what point it would be worth it to just take profit, taxes be damned. I have just over 1000 shares in another brokerage account - half of them are long term, the other half were bought during the March Covid related crash. I also have June'22 LEAPS that were bought about the same time - so still short term. Been trying to work out various scenarios to maximize my returns, keeping taxes in mind. If there is a crazy run up in stock price week of Dec 14-18, what to do?
- Sell all the LEAPS?
- Sell half the LEAPS and get the other half exercised into shares?
- Sell the long term stock and use the proceeds to exercise the LEAPS?
I had pretty much decided to sell half and exercise the 2nd half to add on to the shares. But all these will be now the low cost basis. But now, @Crowded Mind pointed out the advantage of starting with a higher cost basis, so maybe selling everything and buying shares is better option.