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You spent a 50 years getting to phones, that's what Tony misses. In most countries phone ownership was still frightfully low. Internet connections non existent. So they moved to cell phones in 1990. Every wealthy Thai had a cell phone in 1990. 17 years later we had smart phones and it was not that it was that big a jump. People had already moved to cell phones. We were in a 5 year upgrade window or even 4 years. Altogether it took over 20 years to move from landlines to smart phones. This is where Tony glosses over things. It wasn't overnight. It also was exactly counter to the phenomena he expects to see with TaaS. He expects people to share cars like they shared phones. I suspect he is missing societal nuances there. We'll see in 10 years. I think people will pay for FSD and own cars. I think most RT use will only occur when forced by travel, substance abuse, and physical network friction (parking). Some people sure, not most.It will be a lot like how we slogged through those many decades in order to transition to smart phones then?
Once something makes most people's life easier and more enjoyable it is very likely to result in a faster shift than most would have expected. Add in something that makes them safer too and it might amplify this effect.
There's always that one person in the groupMarket seems to like the Fed remarks
Well that didn't age wellMarket seems to like the Fed remarks
There is nothing quite as inspiring as seeing a post about an adult responding emotionally to an absence of conclusive data.
/s
No doubt, but could you afford it? It will be charged by the hour plus the distance.I think you'll simply be able to reserve an RT for a period of time or even by the day, so your RT would park at those places and wait for you.
Long dist charges had nothing to do with cell phones, it had to do with monopoly busting, careful careful. Yes, TaaS is ...going to evolve.I think it is nearly impossible to know what robotaxi services will be like in the future, nor predict the business model.
Before modern phones I recall paying long distance charges (and hence 800 numbers) and also a per text and data usage fees. No one predicted all the uses of a smart phone.
AVs will profoundly change cities and society I believe in ways we cannot model.
And just like that, we were green again.
You know, the more I think about the ROF of the SC staff, although I question how it was done (at least as far as I know), may be part of a planned strategic move by Elon and Tesla. Think about it, they spent the last year convincing all the EV manufacturers in world to use your NACS plugin, which in the short term forces most of not all of the new (and some existing) EV's being produced to use the existing SC network.
But now that means that an ever increasing amount of EV's using SC's will not be manufactured by Tesla.
So any additions to the SC network by Tesla (at least in NA) will not be revenue neutral, they now become an expense.
By slowing down the build out of fast charging stations by Tesla alone, if the Feds want to accelerate the use of EV's, they will be forced to pay for accelerated build out, plus now that all EV's use NACS, the most efficient and effective way to do it quickly is by building more SC's rather than any competitive solutions. The build out could be performed by Tesla or licensed to others but paid by the Feds.
An alternative would be to make a profit center and charge more for SC use for build out, akin to selling printers but forcing people to buy the ink cartridges from the manufacturer. But that goes against encouraging widespread adoption of EV's if it costs as much or more as gas or diesel.
Pfft! I don’t nap.It's a cat! Wait a few mins it will be napping in the greenhouse.
@Krugerrand hey...that reminds me did the greenhouse get built? Hope you are enjoying the mntn.
Not here, it has only come once in ten tries. My experience with Uber is it's junk.But they still use Uber.
Pfft! I don’t nap.
I have it. Not yet erected. I went with a Riga. Comes with the required German How To Assemble text book of 200pgs. I’m going to see if I can assemble it by just reading every 4th page.
As a matter of fact I am. Already been working in the forest for a couple of weeks. It’s where you’ll find my body when the time comes. It’s snowing a tiny bit right now (quick! everyone look at satellite weather maps to find me), while I have a snack and swap out my chainsaw battery. Yeah, I have Starlink all over the place up here.
Maybe 4680 development is not where Elon thinks it should be.
When you go to a public pool, do you also sit in the no-peeing section?
Not here, it has only come once in ten tries. My experience with Uber is it's junk.
Agreed! A lower price point will open a new demographic, and costs will be kept in check by using existing lines. Seems like a recipe to sell more cars, to my pea brain.So, a pivot toward a vehicle with two castings, offering the flexibility to offer several models with a variety of wheelbases from the same two castings is considered a "retreat" is it?
Whatta bunch of yahoos.
Yeah, high mileage drivers aren't the target market. Robos will initially target urban, where annual miles average more like 500-800/month and parking can easily hit $1/mile by itself. 2nd/3rd cars in suburbia is the other big target.If somebody is spending, say, $500 a month for a car, and they driver 1,500 miles a month, its already only costing them 33 cents a mile.
Anyone know when China SuC factory is coming online?