Tough call, because the three factors are in conflict.A sensible TSLA bull has 10% of his/her portfolio in TSLA shares. Lets give that a risk / opportunity score = 1 (although a good investor will make it a 5)
All in TSLA shares = score of 10
100% TSLA DITM calls = score 20
90% TSLA ATM calls = score 30 (me)
Do I start moving to a score of 25 now or post battery day? I was going to hang on for S&P inclusion but this recent surge has made me think that I should deleverage a bit just in case. Also, inclusion looks a little further away.
1) Tesla, the business : increase leverage ahead of potential big drivers like Battery Day, China expansion, Berlin construction progress, profitability and S&P inclusion
2) TSLA, the stock: decrease leverage as SP surges towards ATH
3) Macros: decrease leverage ahead of risk of second large market drop as economic shockwaves of pandemic occur
Personally, I think the combination of a higher TSLA SP while we are still in an elevated macro risk environment dictates decreased leverage.