I don't think this matters much. I think the main 3 causes of the dip are:
- Profit taking. Happens after pretty much everything earnings. Even after Q3'19, which I consider Tesla's best ER during the 5 years I've followed it from 2015 to 2020.
- Macros. Macros were terrible the last 2 days, and tech/growth stocks were hit particularly hard.
- Delta hedging requirements. This table from @generalenthu shows that the # of shares market makers need to be delta neutral on TSLA, dropped from 42M pre-ER, to 29M right now. Market makers won't delta hedge 100% of this, so they probably didn't sell quite as much as 13M shares over the past 2 trading days, but they dumped at least a couple million shares.
Looking at that delta hedging table, if TSLA rises $200 back to $1,615, market makers will need to buy 14M shares to stay delta neutral, if MMs were short 100% of open interest, and delta hedged 100%. In reality it may only amount to a couple of million shares being bought by market makers, but either way this 14M number is very large.
Considering this, if macros are good at the start of next week and any sort of buying pressure shows up, I think we're in for a very big move upwards.