I don't have a good feeling for Wednesday..
I do. I want the stock to stay low for the next few months while I continue to accumulate. I want the run-up, when it comes, to be quick and violent like in 2013, to extract maximum dollars from shorts and manipulators.
I doubt that such a violent pop will come from Wednesday. More likely is next year after Battery Day or self-driving breakthroughs or some other game-changing announcement. The longer the wait, the better for me.
I don't mean to be flippant about the stress of watching your brokerage account shrivel for no good reason. It sucks. But I'm confident that Tesla is out of danger now, and will reward patient investors in a stupendous way. To reduce the stress of red days, I recommend what I have done:
1) Look at the quality of the analysts who have high conviction in TSLA (Ron Baron, ARK Invest, and many folks here) vs the intellectual and ethical quality of the bears (Spiegel, Chanos, etc.) and volatility milkers (Jonas, etc.).
2) Look at the quality of Tesla's products: their intelligence, creativity, and astonishing rate of improvement.
3) Look at the size of the markets Tesla is disrupting and plans to disrupt.
4) Look at the quality of the management and employees they are attracting. (SpaceX and Tesla are the most desirable employers for engineers, and are hiring only 1% of job applicants.)
5) Look at the boldness of Tesla's ambitions and innovations (new products and patents, vertical integration, "thinking from first principles", etc.).
6) Look at the environmental and social conditions favoring Tesla's growth (worsening climate change, tightening pollution regulations, rising populations of environmentally and computer savvy, etc.).
7) Look how far ahead of the competition Tesla is, as estimated by experts and proved by competing products.
I don't have time and skills to analyze balance sheets, shipping and sales reports, or technology details. I rely on the talented folks here for that. But I've seen enough to know that Tesla is a growth and innovation juggernaut unlike any company in modern history, including Apple. That is the forest that gives me confidence. The daily drama is fun to speculate and commiserate about, but it is trees and shrubbery.