couldn't figure out how this post got "disagrees," then I remembered, the past few days have brought us some new high volume, end of days, posters. as Curt pointed out yesterday, in the past, has been the event with the highest correlation to a Tesla bottom (full disclosure, agnostic on short-term price movements, very very bullish on long-term value and price).
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couldn't figure out how this post got "disagrees," then I remembered, the past few days have brought us some new high volume, end of days, posters. as Curt pointed out yesterday, in the past, has been the event with the highest correlation to a Tesla bottom (full disclosure, agnostic on short-term price movements, very very bullish on long-term value and price).
Massive numbers of major EV players in the 2020-2025 period?
What year do you predict Tesla will fall below 50% of global long range (over 200 miles of range) EV sales market share (excluding Chinese automakers sales within China)?
Since nothing made on Thursday could be delivered in Q1 2018 this makes sense. Tesla will report "deliveries" in early April i.e. cars in the hands of their new owners. What Tesla says about production rates is another matter. They could say that in a given seven day period - last Thursday to Wednesday i.e. today they produced 2500 Model 3...but it doesn't really matter.
I'm going by the handle - TSLA EE. I don't see that he says anywhere that he's not an employee (or that he is). As I said, I don't know the guy.
Krugerrand
Meow
Don’t care. Won’t matter. Not falling for the negativity others like to spawn, spread and wallow in like pigs in mud. I know how this movie ends. I win. The world wins, all the while dragging certain unsavory types kicking and screaming ‘The sky is falling, the sky is falling!’
Checked his Twitter page and looks like one of M. Spie buddies, so ya I think we should ignore
More like this is the end of days for the bear narrative. If Tesla is anywhere near 2,500/ week at this point the bear narrative is left with
1. Ramping from 2,500 to 5,000 is harder than 0 to 2,500
2. Tesla picks up little to no cost reduction in ramping from 0 to 2,500/ week to 5,000 week
3. Yes, Tesla is selling 100,000 X + S at average sales price of $90,000 plus but not very many people want a $50,000 version
4. The limited 2018 / 2019 competition from Jaguar & Porsche, which may get up to 30-40,000 units next year are going to have a substantial negative impact on Tesla sales.
5. Tesla will continue to invest in product & capacity expansion which no one will want to fund because VW and GM have secret plans to sell 500,000 EVs each in 2020
1. Ramping from 2,500 to 5,000 is harder than 0 to 2,500
2. Tesla picks up little to no cost reduction in ramping from 0 to 2,500/ week to 5,000 week
3. Yes, Tesla is selling 100,000 X + S at average sales price of $90,000 plus but not very many people want a $50,000 version
4. The limited 2018 / 2019 competition from Jaguar & Porsche, which may get up to 30-40,000 units next year are going to have a substantial negative impact on Tesla sales.
5. Tesla will continue to invest in product & capacity expansion which no one will want to fund because VW and GM have secret plans to sell 500,000 EVs each in 2020
Why would they shut down the line knowing that they can make a few cars before the end of the week.
My technical analysis:
The last time market action thread got longer than the general thread, tsla turned around.
We are there now. It's happening!!
The last time market action thread got longer than the general thread, tsla turned around.
We are there now. It's happening!!
This seems as logical as any other stock predicting method. But I am going to stick to my method. I did not stub my toe this morning, so I am buying.
Of course but I wouldn't shut down a line knowing that I have a few days left to hit a Target or get as close as possible.
at this point I'm waiting for 243 - 245 resistance. may not happen today (or never at all), but it's the next obvious thing to look for in my opinion. I'm not jumping in until I see some some evidence of significant support.
That's fine. They won't be able to deliver those cars this quarter, the factory employees have just had a huge production push (relatively) and it's Easter weekend. They deserve the time off.
tinm
2020 Model S LR+ Owner
bdy0627
Active Member
@option_snipper
be prepared for $tsla. almost there to 50ma on monthly. not yet but wait. then could be great opportunity.
the last bonds are trading at 86% now. that would mean well over 7%, maybe 8% interest for new bonds. they can no longer issue debt, that is gone
How do you factor in purchase commitments? Might Panasonic be willing to let Tesla off the hook?
bdy0627
Active Member
With a current low of $254, this is now the 2nd largest dip in the last 3 years at 26.8%. Number one of course was in early 2016. If you bought on that dip at 27%, you would have bought at $177. At that level, you would have had to wait 12 trading days to make a gain. It is safest to assume this dip will be different.
Tesla cash position looked fine to me after my refreshed look last night. Not sure why you are asking about actions a company under distress would contemplate.
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