Yeah I hear you and I'm exacting the same thoughts. Osborne affect very much in view, the AMD upgrade IS worth waiting for if you're in the know. The laminated glass should help quieten the car a bit more and the heated wipers / Li-ion battery are nice to have... Remember you're likely in a minority that actually cares / knows anyway... this can end up in one of FOUR scenarios. Me personally have psyched myself up for scenario 3.I'm really torn about what to do with this. I really do want the AMD processor, but I am currently without a car and while I can get by on public transport for a while, it isn't ideal. Deferring to Q2 doesn't necessarily mean I'll get it in April either presumably, I could be waiting until June depending on when the ships come in?
And if the cars that are coming in during Q1 end up being a random mix of some AMD cars and some Intel cars, it will be a total lottery which you get, so how can you know whether to defer or not? Presumably I won't know whether mine actually has AMD or Intel until collection day, and at that point it's too late to defer anyway.
Part of me thinks I should just get a cheap runaround 2nd hand ICE car to tide me over for a few months, tell Tesla right now that I want to defer until Q2, then sell the ICE car when my AMD Model 3 shows up sometimes between April and June.
I hear what has been said about there being no point in waiting, as rumours will start coming out about another enhancement you'll want and you'll end up waiting forever. But I really do think the AMD processor is a significant upgrade. Things like bigger batteries... meh... another 10 or 20 or whatever it is miles of range isn't a huge deal. But the infotainment system is something you interact with multiple times, every single time you drive the car. Would be so frustrating to miss out on it but for being patient another couple of months...
Scenario 1. You roll the dice.
Shanghai is producing the 2022 updated as we type. However, the factory will be furnished with original stock. It's highly reasonable to assume February's shipment will contain mostly December stock. Some hybrid of December and 2022 updated hardware.. i.e. you may get cars with laminated glass, Li-ion battery and Atom CPU.. or any combination... finally perhaps the very front end of the FULL updated 2022 model and you hit gold.
If you go ahead right now, you end up on pick up day getting anything. Don't get me wrong the car will be INSANE and it'll be everything you test drove and everything that put that permanent smile on your face, and ultimately what got you to sign up anyway... But if your heart is set on the 2022 updates, this could end up turning a really exciting day to a disappointing one. And that is MY own personal greatest fear. I can't help but to fear how I may feel regardless of the awesomeness presented to you as I know IF what people are saying and the AMD will not be retrofit, it aches even more IF they're already producing the cars right now and it's just a case of a little more time.
Scenario 2. Schmooze the reps at Tesla.
Yeah this one is also a lottery. Explain that the reason you ordered a MARCH end of Q1 order was to ensure your car captured the 2022 updates. Explain you're in the know, savvy on the importance of these updates, and ask very politely IF when the inventory comes through, and IF you're listed as a candidate for a car on this shipment (so as to not assume), someone can check the car specifications and match according to you specifically instead of a random allocation. Now, if Tesla will do this I have absolutely no clue. This is what I'm trying, and in a position to immediately accept the car if they do (why would they not?). It depends on how much they want to match and release cars before Q2. Keeping in mind a lot of people with cars on order simply aren't bothered either way, so they may be able to allocate if requested. Who knows. Anyway likely a lottery to which is why I am prepping for scenario 3.
Scenario 3. No cars match your spec against inventory from the ship or scenario 2 is a no go, or Scenario 1 is just not the lottery for you.
This would be the more gutting option, knowing you were an inch away from driving off in your new Tesla. But something made you hang on in there with some more patience. Q2 is likely when the new batch will start to filter through. Most likely you will be matched with a car. BUT keep an eye out on what people are reporting to get during that Q1 delivery you decided to skip on. I know I will. I'm very curious. You may have to once again explore scenario 2, but if the consensus is that the newer ones are indeed hitting our shores, you should have no issue. I personally would still be a little anxious, but having come this far and into production you'll most likely finally get a home run.
Scenario 4. You weren't allocated anyway, and they ETA you to Q2 regardless. It happens, unlikely; but the Musk works in mysterious ways. Who knows.
Naturally this is all my take, but logical. You just have to follow your heart. This is a great investment and life milestone. You SHOULD live the dream, even if in your heart of hearts you have to make peace with waiting a month or two more. I guess only you can make that call. If you're like me, and can sit it out just a tad longer, it'll be a super summer
You can watch this thread for shipping intel whilst you anticipate your Q2 shipping.. It's super interesting if curious!
2022 Shipping Movements
I thought I would start a new thread for 2022 on European bound ships carrying Teslas. The first logical question is why on earth would anyone on a Tesla forum be interested in shipping? The answer is because once you have ordered your revolutionary expensive new car you enter the Tesla...
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