2022 Shipping Movements

[Mr Miserable]

.. and i dont see a estimated delivery date on my account.

You can't.
A delivery date may give you a clue but that's it.

 

[mickvdh33]

The constant on the model Y VIN assignment seems to be it are all black units.

 

[Roboface78]

MY LR Blue with black interior with confirmed VIN on Höegh Traveller. Estimated arrival Zeebrugge 12 feb. Order date 23 november.

 

[_SunShine]

GRAND ORION ... -> 27.1. Singapore ...

 

[PeteB]

The only change today is the confirmation that VIKING BRAVERY will also call at Zeebrugge. The date of 16 Feb seems quite late and I would have expected it to be a couple of days earlier which suggests that VIKING BRAVERY might be making a port call in between....

The known Tesla ships on the way at the moment are as follows:
GRANDE CALIFORNIA ETA Southampton 03 Feb, Zeebrugge 04 Feb
HOEGH TRAVELLER ETA Zeebrugge 12 Feb
HYPERION RAY I estimate will arrive Southampton around 07 Feb and Zeebrugge 08 Feb
VIKING BRAVERY I estimate Southampton around 13 Feb (MY shipment to UK) and Zeebrugge on 16 Feb

Their latest satellite positions are shown on the chart below. All the ships are enjoying good weather.
HYPERION RAY has increased speed up to 19kts and I'm expecting her to switch off her AIS within the next 24hrs or so 'as a security measure' as she approaches an area regarded as a high security risk. As a contrast GRANDE CALIFORNIA is using her AIS to advertise that she is carrying armed guards which in my opinion is a much more sensible measure and doesn't degrade a safety system.


View attachment 758346


No changes to the watch list.
GRAND ORION has spent some time loading in Shanghai and so I am keen to find out where she is heading off to. It's another 6 hours until the next high tide there and when we will find out. It's perhaps worth mentioning that I'm expecting MORNING MIDAS to dock then - she should load a large shipment of RHD that will be bound for Australia.

View attachment 758348

Finally don't forget to enter the HYPERION RAY competition! It's free and just for fun. Click HERE to enter.

Hi Mr M, just for interest how long do ships like Hyperion Ray 'disappear' from AIS, is there a history of piracy against vehicle transporters?

 

[Mr Miserable]

Hi Mr M, just for interest how long do ships like Hyperion Ray 'disappear' from AIS, is there a history of piracy against vehicle transporters?

HYPERION RAY will probably switch off tomorrow or Sunday and stay off until she is halfway up the Red Sea. It isn't so much about piracy, the tall slab sides of a RoRo make them a very difficult target, but state-sponsored attacks.
Have a read here https://navalpost.com/israeli-owned-hyperion-ray-vessel-hit-in-attack-near-fujairah-uae/

 

[Mr Miserable]

GRAND ORION ... -> 27.1. Singapore ...

See my post 518

 

[ejxt]

You can check if your car is onboard HOEGH TRAVELLER by entering your VIN here

Thanks! No result for my VIN there, so I guess that pretty much confirms it's on GRANDE CALIFORNIA since EDD is Feb 9-23.

 

[RetiredSideman]

Are this years Q1 shipping schedule similar so far to last years?

 

[tornaldo]

2022 Tesla Model 3 standard, White/black, 18".

Got VIN today, in Norway. No delivery date yet. (No tracking on Hoegh ship)

VIN: LRW3E7FR8NC482XXX

 

[Shehab Mekky]

I thought I would start a new thread for 2022 on European bound ships carrying Teslas.
The first logical question is why on earth would anyone on a Tesla forum be interested in shipping?

The answer is because once you have ordered your revolutionary expensive new car you enter the Tesla blackout zone - a frustrating period of non-communication from Tesla when you have no idea of what is happening with your order. If you call them, they just say they 'are waiting for a match'. What does that mean? Tesla don't build Model 3/Ys to order - they build whatever they want and then match their production to what has been ordered. This 'matching' usually happens around the time the car is loaded on to a ship. Aha! Shipping has suddenly become interesting!

All Model 3s for Europe are currently made in the Shanghai Gigafactory and are shipped to Zeebrugge, Belgium or Koper, Slovenia through the Suez Canal in a journey taking about 30 days. All Model 3s for the UK are currently shipped from Shanghai direct to Southampton.
Normally Tesla fully charter ships to transport their cars but during 2021 they supplemented the charters by using available space on scheduled services too. For 2022 Tesla have contracted Hyundai Glovis to supply a number of ships to deliver cars produced by the Shanghai Gigafactory.
Model Y for the UK will come from Shanghai in Q1 (Q2 onwards is meant to come from Berlin).
At the time of writing this, Berlin has yet to produce anything, nevermind ramped up, and so I expect Model Ys for Europe to continue to be shipped from Shanghai for Q1 and possibly in to Q2 too.

If you are in Auz/NZ, shipments have so far been made on scheduled services from Shanghai. I will announce the departure of likely vessels on this thread but won't track them.
If you are in Dubai, your Model 3 will be loaded on to a ship that heads to Jebel Ali. Currently there is one shipment per quarter.
If you are in Israel, your car will be shipped to Ashdod and again currently there is one shipment per quarter.
If you are in Ireland your car is now shipped via Zeebrugge.

I mentioned Q1 earlier- this is because Tesla work in quarters with Q1 running from Jan to Mar. The Tesla business model requires as many cars as possible produced in a quarter to be paid for (delivered) in that same quarter.
This means that in Q1 the last ship will leave for Europe no later than around 18 Feb in order to allow for a 4 week transit to Zeebrugge and then a (hectic) delivery push in the last 10 days or so of March. (A little later if shipping to Koper) It is logical then to expect to see a large number of export models for the UK/EU market to be clogging the Chinese production lines in January and early February. This explains the feast or famine nature of Tesla logistics. Elon has promised his staff that he will try to suppress the end of quarter wave. To an extent he has already succeeded in this - by moving all export production to China, the US domestic supply is now much more even throughout the quarter. For Europe, had Berlin come online when originally planned, the sombrero would have been flattened by 2022 Q1. Sadly, Berlin is late and so as a result I think the end of quarter push will continue to be a feature in Q1 (and probably Q2).

There is an excellent spreadsheet populated with the latest (and historical) confirmed shipping information from a variety of sources - Tesla Carriers. It may be more of interest to you later as you become more engrossed in this subject! Did I mention it can become addictive?

Anyway, I think we can expect to see about 13 boatloads to Europe in Q1.
That begs the next question - how big are the boats? The standard ocean going vehicle carrier is 200 metres long and 32 metres wide and can fit about 5000 - 5500 cars onboard. A Tesla is larger and significantly heavier than a standard car and so a maximum of about 4000 - 4500 cars are in each shipment. There are larger vessels that can transport more and I will make a point of mentioning it if a larger vessel is being used.

Anyway the plan is to post details of the latest Tesla shipping news for 2022 to this thread.

I expect at some time, possibly even later this year, Model S/X to resume shipping from the USA. Previously these models had a tortuous delivery route to UK and Europe by container to Tilburg in the Netherlands where they were reassembled for onward distribution.
Quite how they will be shipped when exports to UK/Europe is resumed is unknown but I think it likely that they will be shipped complete on a RoRo possibly from Pier 80 in San Francisco. We shall see...

There are a number of ship trackers you can use to follow the ships and www.marinetraffic.com is one with perhaps the best free coverage but there are plenty of others. The ships transmit a signal which is picked up by shore based receivers (mostly hosted by amateurs) and forwarded to the website. The trouble is that the signal is a VHF signal meaning the receiver has to be within line-of-sight and once the ship goes over the horizon to the receiver that's it, unless you pay for satellite coverage which is not cheap. With the aid of satellite tracking I will provide a daily update on exactly where each 'Tesla' ship is and provide an estimated time of arrival to Zeebrugge and Southampton (the UK port of entry for Tesla). I'll also try and add some background info which you may find interesting.

Correctly identfying Tesla ships from Shanghai is not easy and quite often a 'suspect' ship turns out to be a false alarm. There are other sites that claim to track Tesla ships but actually just track every possible ship that departs Shanghai, which is not particularly helpful. I at least try and rule out the improbable ones based on my experience. It helps enormously if when you 'chat' to Tesla about your order that you ask what ship your car is on or if they won't tell you the name, at least ask when it will arrive in Zeebrugge/Southampton. Please post your info to the thread or PM me!

You can help me and others by keeping any posts on this thread strictly to shipping related matters - questions about when to expect delivery, VINs and panel gaps have their own threads, which I have been known to visit and contribute to also.

I am posting this now because I think I may have in my sights the 1st ship of 2022 .....

Any idea about potential vessels to Dubai? I placed M3LR order back in October. and my SA says there is a big shipment expected in early Feb. No vin allocated tho. Thank you

 

[D-Lim]

Here a VIN as well, 479xxx, but no delivery date in the app/account. It’s a rwd. EDD used to be March.

Does anyone know if this is an indication that the car is still in Shanghai or could it already be on a ship?

 

[Mr Miserable]

Are this years Q1 shipping schedule similar so far to last years?

No.
We were still receiving cars from Fremont back then. Much easier to spot and not so many shipments.

 

[Mr Miserable]

Any idea about potential vessels to Dubai? I placed M3LR order back in October. and my SA says there is a big shipment expected in early Feb. No vin allocated tho. Thank you

Spotting the Tesla Dubai shipments leaving Shanghai is not easy since there are several ships a month heading to Jebel Ali, often routing via Singapore.
If the ships route via Singapore we have a fair chance of spotting them (eg DAEDALUS LEADER) but it becomes a little harder if they route via South Korea (eg GRAND SAPPHIRE).
The best thing is for you to tell me when your expected delivery date is and then I can search for a likely vessel or just keep an eye on ships that depart Shanghai to Singapore (eg SUNRISE ACE) which invariably end up on my watch list in any case.

 

[Mrklaw]

Ooh a couple of RWDs starting to show up - exciting

 

[Mr Miserable]

The known Tesla ships on the way at the moment are as follows:

GRANDE CALIFORNIA ETA Southampton 03 Feb, Zeebrugge 04 Feb
HOEGH TRAVELLER ETA Zeebrugge 12 Feb
HYPERION RAY I estimate will arrive Southampton around 07 Feb and Zeebrugge 08 Feb
VIKING BRAVERY I estimate Southampton around 13 Feb (MY shipment to UK) and Zeebrugge on 16 Feb

Their latest satellite positions are shown on the chart below. All the ships continue to enjoy good weather conditions.

Dont' forget to enter the free HYPERION RAY competition!

GRAND ORION departed Shanghai for Singapore and has been added to my watch list. The latest positions of the vessels on my watch list are shown below:

These ships are not identified as Tesla ships and their itineraries are unknown however the possibility that they may be carrying Teslas has not yet been ruled out. Having said that, if VIKING SEA and PAGNA were Tesla vessels I think we would have found out by now and so their days on the watch list are numbered.

Looking ahead, the next ship I'm keeping an eye on is RCC ASIA. She should turn up alongside Shanghai in the next day or two and I'm keen to learn where she is bound for.

 

[sruday]

Spotting the Tesla Dubai shipments leaving Shanghai is not easy since there are several ships a month heading to Jebel Ali, often routing via Singapore.
If the ships route via Singapore we have a fair chance of spotting them (eg DAEDALUS LEADER) but it becomes a little harder if they route via South Korea (eg GRAND SAPPHIRE).
The best thing is for you to tell me when your expected delivery date is and then I can search for a likely vessel or just keep an eye on ships that depart Shanghai to Singapore (eg SUNRISE ACE) which invariably end up on my watch list in any case.

Mr M, Any news of the next ship headed to Australia?

 

[Mr Miserable]

Mr M, Any news of the next ship headed to Australia?

Yes
Loading at the moment we have MORNING MIDAS (Brisbane 04 Feb and Port Kembla 07 Feb) and then on Tuesday MORNING CRYSTAL should turn up (BNE 10 Feb, PK 13 Feb, MEL 15 Feb).
@Vedaprime will know more on which ship is most likely to be carrying Teslas or if both are involved.

 

[Mr Miserable]

Another ship which has caught my eye and worth monitoring is LAKE COMO.
It looks like she intends to dock at Shanghai South tomorrow.

 

[mattydebie]

MY LR midnight silver, black interior, gemini wheels order 22nd of November for Belgium is currently confirmed to be on hoegh traveler as wel!