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2024 MY "Price Adjustment" Math

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Anyone buying without at least a $3500 discount from today’s $2k lower MSRP is overpaying and shouldn’t complain when, not if, the larger discounts return. Clearing out 45,000 extra cars plus probably another 45,000 this quarter will take lower prices. Plus the Fed is not lowering interest rates any time soon so all auto sales are slowing. Welcome to the real world of auto sales where too much inventory always leads to huge incentives.
 
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We have seen recent price drops, APR = 0.99%, and Long Range unlock on RWD MY

We also have seen that Tesla had its first 1Q sales drop in the history of Tesla making cars.
Additionally Tesla's are filling up services centers and even nearby shopping malls (I have seen them).

Conversely there is a known sales slump on ALL BEV's while ICE and HEV sales go up.

How likely is it Model Y will have additional price drops, or price down on some of its options, to stimulate sales? More SuperCharger miles, or longer free FSD?
Perhaps something in June to make 2Q look ok?
 
I don’t think they want to drop Model Y AWD pricing routinely below Model 3 AWD pricing? That’s gotta massively eat into margins…
You can if you compare a refreshed and much better M3 versus a 3 year old MY.
Also possible better production efficiency with MY over M3
And then the $7500 tax discount impacts net price which only applies to MY and expensive M3 Performance.
 
We have seen recent price drops, APR = 0.99%, and Long Range unlock on RWD MY

We also have seen that Tesla had its first 1Q sales drop in the history of Tesla making cars.
Additionally Tesla's are filling up services centers and even nearby shopping malls (I have seen them).

Conversely there is a known sales slump on ALL BEV's while ICE and HEV sales go up.

How likely is it Model Y will have additional price drops, or price down on some of its options, to stimulate sales? More SuperCharger miles, or longer free FSD?
Perhaps something in June to make 2Q look ok?
We shall find out in the next 3 weeks. But I fear there's not going to be discounts the end of this quarter. Because they're reducing output instead to reduce inventory. (They'll probably offer just little freebies like premium connection, supercharger miles, etc.)

The China factory is reducing output by 20%. And they're doing it at American factories too, with the layoffs of thousands.
 
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At least in NJ there is no sales tax on EV's ,however, this year (July) I hear there will be a $250.00 EV fee, like a gas tax alternative and you have to pay 4 years upfront.
Geniuses in NJ. They'll get you one way or another. Trouble with this disincentive tax is that's it's roughly based on you driving about 12,000/yr. So people like me that are retired and driving much less will be grossly overpaying their "fair share".