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Image, we pass a law Jan 1 to permit Eco EVs (freeway capable, airbag EVs, 2 seats). After Federal and and California rebates, they are $<4000 after taxes. Do you think they would sell to commuters?
You no longer have to meet Federal safety standards! In addition to all that stuff about rebuilding highway bridges and paving over potholes, a provision of the just-passed Motor Vehicle Safety Act exempts low-volume carmakers from crash-test standards. That means no more expensive finite element analysis and high-speed scientific crash testing. Just create the shape you want -- usually a ’65 Cobra or a ’32 Ford -- slap an engine in it and voila, you’re a carmaker, albeit a low-volume one.
That's $0.05 a mile. At $2.50 a gallon for gasoline, that's getting 50 mpg. With the large number of pickups dragging down the average, the average MPG for the US light vehicle fleet in 2014 was 21.4 mpg. The Department of Transportation breaks down new vehicles into cars and trucks. Cars average 36.4 mpg and light trucks 26.3 mpg.
So the cost to drive 100,000 miles is closer to $10,000 at current gas prices with the current US fleet. If they go back up, it could easily be 50% more in a year or two. EVs do cost more than ICE cars and they are a luxury upgrade now. As the price of batteries fall, the cost premium is going to approach parity over time. We aren't quite there yet, but the Model 3 is going to push than envelope between the lower cost of "fuel" and the lower cost of maintenance.
The Bolt isn't there though. It's cheaper per KWh than most EVs produced thus far, but it's still an $18K GM econo box car with a $19K premium for an electric drive train. The Model 3 will still be a premium over equivalent cars. A stripped Model 3 will be on par with a $25K ICE as far as size and features. Still a premium, but only about $10K.
You appear to be quoting CAFE numbers which are calculated differently than EPA window sticker numbers that are arguably "real-world" these days.Cars average 36.4 mpg and light trucks 26.3 mpg
DOH!! I had subtracted the EV cost of electricity. My bad. It costs on the average $5000 more per 100,000 miles to drive with gasoline.
In any case, you get the advantages of driving with an EV powertrain in the Bolt for relatively little money.
It has both more power, and more range than the existing affordable EV's.
But yes, it will NOT save anyone money. Nor will a Model 3 in the USA, even if they meet their target price.
As many have said, a Honda Fit will do the same thing for far less money.
Don't forget to add the cost of oil changes, tranny flush, spark plugs, timing belts, accessory belts , differential fluid smog checks etc.It also assumes that "American's, right now" are averaging 40 mpg in their cars which seems dubious. Maybe 25 mpg is more likely which would consume 4,000 gallons of gas in 100,000 miles for $8,000 at $2 per gallon.
At $4 per gallon it would balance the assumed ~$15,000 added cost of a BEV drivetrain. Non-plugin hybrids bridge that mpg vs manufacturing cost gap.
So, a lot of this hinges on the price of gasoline -- either it's raw commercial price set largely by international petroleum supply vs demand or with the added component of future substantial carbon taxes.
As others have noted, EV drivetrain costs are dropping rapidly however battery capacity and EV range expectations are rising. The cost of typical gas drivetrains is also rising due to higher mpg targets and emissions regulations.
But yes, it will NOT save anyone money. Nor will a Model 3 in the USA, even if they meet their target price.
As many have said, a Honda Fit will do the same thing for far less money.
This is a specious argument every time it's used. It's like saying a used beater from Craigslist will do the same thing for far less money than any new car. It's a true statement but irrelevant. In reality if you intend to spend X amount of money on a vehicle, and that amount of money allows you to choose between similarly priced ICE's and EV's, the EV will save you money. Many people buying Model S and X were previously buying similarly priced vehicles in the past. In some cases they were buying more expensive ICE's to have similar performance levels now provided by the S and X. Even at a somewhat higher purchase price an EV can potentially cost less over time because of reduced operating costs.
This is pretty odd: Chevrolet Bolt EV Equipped With 80 kW DC Fast Charging, Owner's Manual Now Online
So we have confirmation that the bolt will accept a 80KW CCS charger, but they're only claiming 90 miles in 30 mins. Are they being ultraconservative by starting at the 50% mark when starting the charge?
The text from the manual is: "it will take approximately 30 minutes to recharge from a depleted battery to an estimated 145 km (90 mi) of driving range."Are they being ultraconservative by starting at the 50% mark when starting the charge?
The peak voltage of the CCS specification today is 500V, not 600V. So, 80,000 / 500V may well mean 160A (not 133). The Bolt pack average voltage is 350V so it is closer to 310V near empty and closer to 390V near full or something like that.I think it said "from depleted".
It does seem weird but I think it might be that CCS ratings are at 600V. Max is/was 200A at 600V.
80kW/600V = 133A.
So what they're saying is that the Bolt can take up to 133A.
Bolt pack is 400V. (I think).
The typical CCS chargers that have been installed at 125A chargers, so the Bolt could charge on them at 125A x 400V = 50kW. So, it looks like they've gone a _little_ above the old 50kW.
133A x 400V = 53.2kW. That would be consistent with the 90 miles in 30 minutes and it'd basically doing a bit more than 50kW.
But we won't let that keep us from speculating!we don't know the charge curve so it's hard to say what the peak charging power might be.
Too high. I doubt that the Bolt EV will charge at higher than 400V and by then it will likely be ramping down sharply.But we won't let that keep us from speculating!
I'm guessing a peak of 67kW (160A x 420V) from a 80kW/500V/160A charger. This might be similar to the "100kW" Soul EV that peaks at ~72kW.
That was my "out of the charger" voltage. I do expect the battery to be absorbing about 90% of that or a peak around 60kW.Too high. I doubt that the Bolt EV will charge at higher than 400V and by then it will likely be ramping down sharply.
If the amperage limit really is 160A then I would guess the peak is closer to 56-60 kW.
I don't think there are any public ones yet in California but there are in Europe where the Opel will show up in mid-2017 and there may well be public 80 kW chargers in CA by then also. So, I think we will know by then at the latest.Do you know of any in California?
The peak voltage of the CCS specification today is 500V, not 600V. So, 80,000 / 500V may well mean 160A (not 133). The Bolt pack average voltage is 350V so it is closer to 310V near empty and closer to 390V near full or something like that.
That would imply that it is still very much current limited when charging near empty but we don't know the charge curve so it's hard to say what the peak charging power might be and at what SOC it might occur at.
While 160A (if that is correct) is better than today's typical 125A, it is still fairly low given the fact that the rest of the battery pack, cabling, fusing, and contactors are rated for closer to 450A. Perhaps they are being conservative initially and will open up the software limits later on when they have more experience (and need to for competitive reasons).
As a Bolt EV customer, I would like to see faster charging but in real-world situations it probably means taking 50 minutes to charge on a suitable CCS charger instead of 35 minutes in a 2013 Model S60 on a Supercharger and it may not be a big experiential difference to an individual driver if they are off eating lunch etc. and have to walk a few minutes to and from the restaurant.
GM will have to step up their game soon if the Germans deliver anything close to their 2018-2020 charging speed claims.
The peak voltage of the CCS specification today is 500V, not 600V. So, 80,000 / 500V may well mean 160A (not 133). The Bolt pack average voltage is 350V so it is closer to 310V near empty and closer to 390V near full or something like that.
That would imply that it is still very much current limited when charging near empty but we don't know the charge curve so it's hard to say what the peak charging power might be and at what SOC it might occur at.
While 160A (if that is correct) is better than today's typical 125A, it is still fairly low given the fact that the rest of the battery pack, cabling, fusing, and contactors are rated for closer to 450A. Perhaps they are being conservative initially and will open up the software limits later on when they have more experience (and need to for competitive reasons).
As a Bolt EV customer, I would like to see faster charging but in real-world situations it probably means taking 50 minutes to charge on a suitable CCS charger instead of 35 minutes in a 2013 Model S60 on a Supercharger and it may not be a big experiential difference to an individual driver if they are off eating lunch etc. and have to walk a few minutes to and from the restaurant.
GM will have to step up their game soon if the Germans deliver anything close to their 2018-2020 charging speed claims.