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I'm the type that gets over a flu quickly. A severe flu for me is a couple of days of severe discomfort sleeping 12-18 hours per day and then getting over it faster than the average person. If the shot works it'll be less than 24 hours for me to get over it, if not it might take me a day or two longer.
Like the worst flu I've had in the past 4 decades has never had me "down" with severe symptoms for more than 3 days in a row.
So if it lasts more than 2 days I know it didn't sync up with the flu shot. If I have something that lasts for more than 3 or 4 days I know it isn't the flu.
I can't say the same for others in my family, I'm always the one with the shortest bout.
edit: I'd like to point out during a bout like that a day feels like forever. 1 day vs 2 vs 3 vs 4 is a world of difference if you are wondering if it is going to be life threatening. that's why I used the "Is this Flu or is it Covid?" wording.
5 deaths now linked to Millinocket-area wedding COVID-19 outbreak, Maine CDC says - now it's 5 deaths and 176 cases linked to it.Now the count's up to 161 known cases linked to the wedding: Maine CDC updates outbreaks in Millinocket, Madison, York County | newscentermaine.com.
Thanks to a Trump appointed judge Pennsylvania is looking good to give other states a run for best superspreader events.
Judge strikes down Pennsylvania virus policies
The most testing you could practically do is everyone with symptoms and everyone with even the most remote contact with know cases. After that you'd have to start testing a significant percentage of the population randomly for any improvement. I'm surprised you even found that many people to test with only 3 cases per day!
My county of 3.3M is averaging about 260 cases and 8000 tests a day. Here is the zip code where San Diego State University is:
View attachment 588319
Looks like the reopening is going well, they're certainly living up to their reputation as a party school!
5 deaths now linked to Millinocket-area wedding COVID-19 outbreak, Maine CDC says - now it's 5 deaths and 176 cases linked to it.
Todd Bell Sanford Maine church pastor hires lawyer | newscentermaine.com
So the newest potential solution to sports may be to just get everyone infected and then they can all play. Will be interesting to see how this plays out.
Orgeron: Most LSU players have had, recovered from COVID-19 | WTOP
I asked my dentist what they were doing, and besides the usual wipedowns and not letting people in until it was time for their appointment, they also have put some kind of disinfectant mist in the HVAC system.
The most testing you could practically do is everyone with symptoms and everyone with even the most remote contact with know cases. After that you'd have to start testing a significant percentage of the population randomly for any improvement. I'm surprised you even found that many people to test with only 3 cases per day!
In NSW they've got 3 cases a day out of 8000 tests in a population of 8 million. It just seems extremely unlikely that they would find any cases by random testing. I guess I'm thinking the benefit would not be worth the inconvenience to all the people you'd be testing and of course the cost to the government.Not sure how you mean this, since it sounds untypical for you.
In any case, after known cases and their contacts, you can continue testing not randomly but with people who come in contact with many other people: health care professionals, airport personnel, restaurant waiters, first responders, bus drivers, security personnel at Trump rallys, and so on.
In NSW they've got 3 cases a day out of 8000 tests in a population of 8 million. It just seems extremely unlikely that they would find any cases by random testing. I guess I'm thinking the benefit would not be worth the inconvenience to all the people you'd be testing and of course the cost to the government.
The whole country of Australia was down to < 20 cases a day for a long time, and then it went up to 500/day again. Similar stories in South Korea and Germany, for example, even if to a lesser degree.
So the question is not "How much testing do you need for 3 cases/day?",
but "How much testing (and mask-wearing etc) do you need to prevent a new outbreak as long as there is no vaccine?".
The second number is much higher, and not directly related to how many cases/day there currently are.
They had an outbreak in June with 25% of the team quarantined. And I'd interpret Coach O's "most" to mean "a lot". He's a (very good) football coach, not a statistician.So the newest potential solution to sports may be to just get everyone infected and then they can all play. Will be interesting to see how this plays out.
Orgeron: Most LSU players have had, recovered from COVID-19 | WTOP