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Do you think Tesla prices will go up, down or stay the same?

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My guess is that they will slowly rise up like they have previously in the short term.. then in 2-3 years when the backlog of orders has caught up and Austin/Berlin/China/??? are printing cars like matchbox cars then the price will slowly comes down.

Demand is through the roof and delivery is 6-9 months out, there is zero reason to lower prices.
 
...market cools down?
It depends on the demand and supply.

The price hike will continue if:

1) Ukraine war persists
2) Covid-19 persists (Tesla China has been shut down since 3/28/2022).
3) People still buy despite increasing prices...

The demand for Tesla might go down if there are alternatives. Lucid is a good one but it is so expensive for now $169,000 (cheaper versions will come out later).
 
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Hasnā€™t that already happened? Rate hikes?

Interest rates have been at historic lows for so long, there is an entire generation of people who think that a "good" rate on a car loan is <2%, and that home loan rates are "supposed" to be in the 3-3.5% range.

Historically, these things are in the 5-6% range, so anyone thinking that "the past few rate hikes are all that is going to happen" is either not aware of historical rates, or never experienced "normal" interest rates.
 
I don't see Tesla dropping prices till commodities costs go down (so not soon), and they don't have year-scale backlogs (also not soon).

Maybe in a year or two. Not anytime soon.

Even if prices go down in a year or two, interest rates are likely to be such that the total cost to a person is the same or more than it is right now, unless they are paying cash.
 
There is currently 8% inflation.. anyone thinking that prices 'might' go down in the near future doesn't understand how inflation works
Interest rates have been at historic lows for so long, there is an entire generation of people who think that a "good" rate on a car loan is <2%, and that home loan rates are "supposed" to be in the 3-3.5% range.

Historically, these things are in the 5-6% range, so anyone thinking that "the past few rate hikes are all that is going to happen" is either not aware of historical rates, or never experienced "normal" interest rates.
Youā€™d be right, Iā€™m only 30 so I have only experience this really. Haha.
 
Interest rates have been at historic lows for so long, there is an entire generation of people who think that a "good" rate on a car loan is <2%, and that home loan rates are "supposed" to be in the 3-3.5% range.

Historically, these things are in the 5-6% range, so anyone thinking that "the past few rate hikes are all that is going to happen" is either not aware of historical rates, or never experienced "normal" interest rates.
There really is no ā€œrangeā€ rates are supposed to be in. As a matter of fact, historically speaking (for the last 30yrs) interest rates have been dropping. We always see slight upward corrections here and there, but the trend is a downward one.
 
There really is no ā€œrangeā€ rates are supposed to be in. As a matter of fact, historically speaking (for the last 30yrs) interest rates have been dropping. We always see slight upward corrections here and there, but the trend is a downward one.


(cut and paste from this article)

Mortgage Rates​

Tracking interest rates over the last 51 years with data provided by Freddie Mac shows that the last decade has had the consistently lowest rates with every single monthly average remaining under 4.5% interest on a 30-year fixed rate mortgage.1


While rates have been climbing from their record breaking average low of 2.68% in December 2021, we are still seeing very low mortgage rates compared to past decades. From 1971 to 2002 rates never dropped below 6% interest and fluctuated between 6.05% to a record high of 18.45% in October 1981. In fact, rates maintained a yearly average above 10% for the entire period from 1979 to 1990.1

Auto Loan Interest Rates​

Auto loan interest rates over time have fluctuated more than credit card interest rates, but less than mortgage rates. Data goes back to 1998 on 48-month new car interest rates. They have fluctuated from an all time high of 9.64% in the fourth quarter of 2000 to an all time low of 4.00% in the fourth quarter of 2015. Rates have remained between 4.00% and 5.5% interest for the entirety of the last decade.

The Bottom Line​

While interest rates on mortgages and auto loans are climbing, they are still historically low when considering data from the last 51 years. Credit card interest rates have remained dramatically higher over time relative to other loan types, largely due to the unsecured and transactional nature of that type of revolving loan product.

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Or

Historical Auto Loan Rates​

Auto loan rates are at historically low levels as a result of an overall low interest rate environment. Over the last decade, the average interest rate on a 48 month auto loan from a commercial bank has fallen by over 40%. This is largely a result of the 2009 financial crisis, after which interest rates were lowered to incentivize consumers to stimulate the economy by spending on items like cars rather than saving.

Loans from auto finance companies have historically carried lower rates than loans from commercial banks. The large car manufacturers have "captive finance" arms (e.g. Ford Finance, Chrysler Capital, GM Financial) that exclusively provide loans for consumers purchasing the parent companyā€™s cars; this enables automakers to provide lower rates, as the car purchase, rather than the interest, is the manufacturerā€™s primary revenue stream.

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I believe when I used the word "range" it was to describe a generation of people who think that auto loans are "supposed to be under a certain percentage number". Interest rates are not going to stay where they have been, was my point, they have been historically VERY VERY low for long enough for someone who is 30 to only remember them being this low.
 
the gap between MYP and MYLR is too small at 5k, and the gap between MYP and Model S is too big at almost 40k. IMHO the most likely scenario is Tesla adding more MYP exclusive functionalities or add-on to further distinguish it from MYLR, and to allow it to compete at 70-80k market. I think MYP will hit 70k+ range soon.
 
THe price will keep going up as Tesla has more orders than production capacity. Once capacity exceeds orders, they will lower prices to drive demand. That probably wont' happen til 2023/2024. That being said i doubt you'll have a $80k Model 3 or Model Y so it will eventually cap.