...The question I have is are there anything that will likely to break and cost more than $2,000 to repair...
In a letter to NHTSA,
Tesla claims its MCU only lasts 5 to 6 years.
"During the Preliminary Evaluation phase of NHTSA’s investigation, and as NHTSA acknowledged in its letter, Tesla presented the agency with evidence that the eMMC flash memory device is rated for 3,000 Program/Erase (“P/E”) cycles, which is an industry standard. While the wear rate is heavily influenced by the active use of the center display system, even more so when the vehicle is in drive or charging, given a reasonable average daily use of 1.4 cycles, the expected life would be
5-6 years. NHTSA has not presented any evidence to suggest that this expected life is outside industry norms or that the eMMC flash memory device itself does not comport with that average lifetime estimate."
What else that Tesla knows that we don't?
Air Suspension for
$4,000
Air Conditioning used to cost
$4,000 in 2016 but decreased to
$3,800 in 2018
Cabin Heater for $3,000 in 2017
Half Shaft
$3,480 in 2017
Control Arm $3,300 (actually needs $7,100 for proper repairs but a minimum of $3,300 would do temporarily)
12V DC Converter & battery
$3,342
Onboard charger
$2,800 in 2019
It's now 2021, those above prices might get cheaper as time goes by.
It's not unusual that your A/C would die in summer then heater would die in winter and that would easily be $7,000 for 1 year. If you are do-it-yourself, you might be able to fix those above issues for a very small fraction of the posted prices: A $2,800 Onboard Charger could be fixed with a $20 fuse. Same with A/C & Heater, it could just be a very cheap fuse in the AC-to-DC or DC-to-DC (I am not sure what the terminology is) converter module.
