Where do you get the idea that most people on the forum are stating FSD is 99%+ done and working on the "long tail of 9's"? That just isn't correct.I think this is another "lie" being told by Elon that the media (and most forum posters) repeat constantly - this idea that, as far as approaching "fully autonomous," FSD is working in "the long tail of 9's," i.e. currently capable of 99.99...% of the driving task. You may say they are referring to percentage of miles driven, perhaps (and I don't know if I even believe that), but as far as counting by situational transitions faced while driving, they are nowhere near 99%, or 90%, or 80% for that matter. As @Gilliland said above, it still can't handle school zones, school busses, railroad crossings, "do-not-block-the-box" intersections, multiple-lane left turns, and at least up to 10.8.1, left turns on flashing yellow arrows, just to name a few - things I encounter on my commute every day. And that's not even broaching the subject of phantom braking or staying in its own lane on a windy two-lane road.
I don't mind testing the FSD software and I hope my contribution is moving the feature(s) forward for me and other Tesla owners, but I just can't see how Elon's take on where it is and where it will wind up can be considered rational or honest.
Simply take a look at the poll where over 90+ are critical of Elon's statement. There is significant push back by forum members on FSD.
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