Can't really say. We don't drive the Roadster long distances very often. Normally, its just used for fun little jaunts locally where we don't stress the battery.It just started happening on the roadster at 16 years old or did you noticing it happening before then?
Again, I think you're trying to overthink it. There isn't enough data available and it's too early to really know.
Besides, once the Planned Obsolescence folks at the major OEMs get a hold of EVs, all bets are off. The batteries and cars will have a life that is as short as they think they can get away with, just like with ICE. Do you really think that alternators and water pumps really have to go out at 3 years, 4 months and 40,000 miles?