TMC is an independent, primarily volunteer organization that relies on ad revenue to cover its operating costs. Please consider whitelisting TMC on your ad blocker and becoming a Supporting Member. For more info: Support TMC

I can't imagine - What will part 2 bring?!

Discussion in 'Model 3' started by Bimbels, Apr 2, 2016.

Tags:
  1. ikjadoon

    ikjadoon Member

    Joined:
    Aug 23, 2013
    Messages:
    326
    Well, LG is sourcing the 15" screen. They are the biggest manufacturer of OLED's, too, including massive flexible, plastic, transparent OLEDs. But, that does sound hella pricey--way more expensive than an instrument cluster
     
  2. Jleafs

    Jleafs Member

    Joined:
    Mar 31, 2016
    Messages:
    47
    Location:
    Toronto
    Not to rain on anyone's parade, but the #1 thing I want to see in part 2 is that they've made significant progress on production.
     
    • Like x 4
    • Helpful x 1
  3. ikjadoon

    ikjadoon Member

    Joined:
    Aug 23, 2013
    Messages:
    326
    #103 ikjadoon, Apr 5, 2016
    Last edited: Apr 5, 2016
    Edit: wrong numbers, from 2015! Now, in early 2016, they're already up to 15k per quarter. Thanks to @dhanson865 for the correction. Sorry for the slip.

    Agreed. At current rates (~40k cars per year), it will take 7 years just to fulfill 3 preorders.

    If they double that, only 3.5 years.
     
  4. Boourns

    Boourns Active Member

    Joined:
    Mar 9, 2016
    Messages:
    1,531
    Location:
    Dallas
    It would be amazing and a truly unique feature. I would love to see it but I am not holding my breath.

    Agreed. I want my car in 2018.
     
  5. ikjadoon

    ikjadoon Member

    Joined:
    Aug 23, 2013
    Messages:
    326
    True. Maybe only parts of the windshield will have embedded OLED displays, like a HUD sort of deal. That would fit the spaceship vibe.
     
  6. dhanson865

    dhanson865 Active Member

    Joined:
    Feb 16, 2013
    Messages:
    3,417
    Location:
    Knoxville, Tennessee
    What the heck are you a talking about 40,000 cars per year?

    Tesla cumulative global sales
    • 2012 2,600 cars
    • 2013 25,000 cars total (22,400 cars in 2013 + prior year)
    • 2014 57,000 cars total (32,000 cars in 2014 + prior years)
    • 2015 107,000 cars total (50,000 cars in 2015 + prior years)
    2016 forecast in the last earning call is 80,000 to 90,000 cars.

    40,000 a year rate was only accurate some time in 2015. We are in 2016 now and they are pumping out Model S/X in high numbers trying to catch up on all the preorders for the X.

    In addition they will install more assembly lines for Model 3 and they'll pump those out by the hundreds of thousands per year. Model 3 takes less equipment/time to go through the assembly line so if they had the parts in stock and the design finalized they could pump out twice as many Model 3 with the same amount of robots/employees if they stopped making S/X temporarily. They won't do that but it's just another reason I think "current rates" are misleading.
     
    • Helpful x 1
  7. ikjadoon

    ikjadoon Member

    Joined:
    Aug 23, 2013
    Messages:
    326
    Oh, whoops! That's totally my bad. I read an article from January 2015, not January 2016.

    You're right. It's closer to 80k/year. Wow, that sounds a million times better. I had been getting worried.

    Tesla missed guidance with only 14,820 vehicles delivered in Q1 2016, blames Model X supplier parts shortages

    The old article I read: Tesla Motors Releases Quarterly Sales: 10,030 Cars Sold Globally Jan-Mar
     
  8. AB4EJ

    AB4EJ Member

    Joined:
    Feb 25, 2015
    Messages:
    772
    Location:
    Tuscaloosa, AL
    I vote for that - although, with current service centers, the car would have to stop to charge itself halfway in each direction from my home location. (I guess that's the point of the snake-like automatic charging robot).
     
  9. Garlan Garner

    Garlan Garner Banned

    Joined:
    Mar 31, 2016
    Messages:
    9,931
    Location:
    Chicagoland
    Any Speculation as to WHEN the second reveal will be?
     
  10. S3XY

    S3XY Active Member

    Joined:
    Nov 24, 2015
    Messages:
    1,415
    Location:
    Buffalo, NY
    To me its seems obvious that Part 2 is going to be about Autopilot and the steering system as well as all the other details we want to know (battery sizes, 0-60, options and pricing, etc.). Elon said that Part 2 will take it to the next level, i.e. Level 4 Fully Autonomous Driving. Why else would he specifically say "next level"? And the reason it's in Part 2 is because they need the time to perfect it and they want to be sure it can be included in production models before they disclose it. I also agree with those that think in Part 2 they will reveal a steering wheel with multiple controls, Indicator lights and possibly a small display. I also expect a HUD. What I don't expect is Augmented Reality. I think that adds too much cost and complexity.
     
  11. MP3Mike

    MP3Mike Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Feb 1, 2016
    Messages:
    9,252
    Location:
    Oregon
    June, 2017.
     
  12. Garlan Garner

    Garlan Garner Banned

    Joined:
    Mar 31, 2016
    Messages:
    9,931
    Location:
    Chicagoland
    Do you also think that June 2017 will be the first opportunity to possibly configure our cars?
     
  13. MP3Mike

    MP3Mike Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Feb 1, 2016
    Messages:
    9,252
    Location:
    Oregon
    No, I think that won't happen until September, 2017. (With the first deliveries in December, 2017.)
     
  14. Garlan Garner

    Garlan Garner Banned

    Joined:
    Mar 31, 2016
    Messages:
    9,931
    Location:
    Chicagoland
    #114 Garlan Garner, Apr 5, 2016
    Last edited: Apr 5, 2016
    That's a long long time from now. What a shame.

    That's a long time to part with $1K with nothing to show for it - just for a place in line.

    I wonder how many bolts will be sold by the time the first ≡ shows up.
     
    • Like x 1
  15. MP3Mike

    MP3Mike Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Feb 1, 2016
    Messages:
    9,252
    Location:
    Oregon
    I agree, I wish it was sooner, but I just can't see it... But, if I plan on that schedule and it happens sooner I will be happier than if I plan for sooner and it is later. (Well other than having less time to save up for extra options.)
     
  16. Thomas Edison

    Thomas Edison Active Member

    Joined:
    Apr 3, 2016
    Messages:
    1,481
    Location:
    Portland-ish
    Is this confirmed or just speculation ?


     
  17. ohmman

    ohmman Maximum Plaid Member

    Joined:
    Feb 13, 2014
    Messages:
    8,469
    Location:
    North Bay, CA
    ^^^
     
    • Like x 1
  18. yesup

    yesup Member

    Joined:
    Oct 13, 2014
    Messages:
    322
    Location:
    Toronto
    Everything in this thread is speculation! LOL
     
    • Funny x 1
  19. Johan

    Johan Funds for M3 secured. Contingent on wife aproval.

    Joined:
    Feb 9, 2012
    Messages:
    7,191
    Location:
    Drammen, Norway
    Here's wild, wild idea:

    What if the reveal part 2 pertains to the presence, function and design of cup holders?!?
     
    • Funny x 1
  20. ecarfan

    ecarfan Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 21, 2013
    Messages:
    17,013
    Location:
    San Mateo, CA
    Who knows. We are all speculating. But I doubt it will be that early. Elon has stated that 3 production will start in "late 2017". Based on Tesla history, that likely means December 2017. So if your car is one of the first thousand or so, perhaps you will be configuring by fall 2017. If your car is after the first few thousand you might not be configuring until very late in 2017.
     

Share This Page

  • About Us

    Formed in 2006, Tesla Motors Club (TMC) was the first independent online Tesla community. Today it remains the largest and most dynamic community of Tesla enthusiasts. Learn more.
  • Do you value your experience at TMC? Consider becoming a Supporting Member of Tesla Motors Club. As a thank you for your contribution, you'll get nearly no ads in the Community and Groups sections. Additional perks are available depending on the level of contribution. Please visit the Account Upgrades page for more details.


    SUPPORT TMC