There is no requirement that they match when the car is new.
At delivery, on spec battery should match or exceed rated advertised range.
In general, you're right, but the context of my comment is important - and the word "requirement" above.
As a specific example: Right now the 3P & 3P+ do not match the rated range numbers on the Tesla website. Nor do they match the EPA numbers. Nor do the AWDs match. But this does not necessarily indicate any funny business on Tesla's part, or under-delivery of range.
I emphasize the "requirement" here...and I stand by what I said - that it is not REQUIRED that the
number match. Historically, it certainly has matched the EPA rating. But all that is required is that the available
energy match the EPA results within some margin (don't know the variance allowed). So, you need to know the constant - always. When there are changes to the constant taking place, that can lead to poor conclusions. I said the above because there is often a sole focus on the rated miles. But that simply is not enough information on its own. The thing you can know, which you should keep track of, is available energy - and it's not enough (there are at least two counter examples with Model 3 showing this) to keep track of miles.
So you don’t find it odd that at 90% SOC I am at exactly 90% of the previously stated EPA estimate?
No, that's normal. First, not sure which software you're on. It's possible that the AWD constants have not yet been updated (we've had a lot of reports of changes from Performance vehicles). My point was that this is a software issue, and just telling us the number of rated miles does not allow us to assess whether your car is in good shape or not. We also need to know the charging constant.
If your car is a 2020, I think it's likely your car has 76kWh available currently, but that in the near future you will get updated to 77.6kWh. It's not clear what displayed range you will have at that point. And we won't know if your efficiency matches that of Tesla's article used for their range testing done in Tesla's Fremont lab (but I think we have to assume it does - and it's essentially unknowable so we should put that aside).
4) Tesla software changes can impact the parameters of the estimation,
Yes, and that's what has happened here. It sounds like they have NOT updated the 3D (Dual Motor) software yet (only the 3P/3P+). Or,
@jfinephilly has not updated to 2019.40.50.x yet. As we know, they are changing the constants on the 2020 vehicles based on wheel selection, and in addition they appear to have unlocked a bit more energy from the battery as compared to prior model years (about 1.7kWh - OR, they have rescaled their kWh... no way to know. What we know is the calculated number is about 1.7kWh larger.)
My recommendation is that if you are seeing a 100% number less than 10% below new, do not worry.
Agree that you should expect loss of capacity of less than 10% in most cases in the first year. But for a brand new car I would be concerned - and to allay that concern:
I would recommend for ANYONE with a brand new car, taking a picture of the Energy Consumption screen,
with a warm battery, at a
relatively high SoC, and capture (in the same image) recent efficiency, projected range, and the remaining miles on the battery gauge (or do this all with kilometers for more accuracy). You can take another picture simultaneously capturing the %.
And keep this for your records. This information alone (those three numbers along with the projected 100% miles), will provide you the information on where your battery
started.
Const = Proj Range * Recent Efficiency / Rated Miles remaining.
Battery capacity = Const * rated miles @ 100%
The other issue with the focus on the "miles" displayed in the car is that people might get the impression that if they drove the EPA cycle they would consume the EPA cycle length number of rated miles. This is not true. In fact, the rated miles displayed in the vehicle are about 4.7% less energy content than the true EPA rated miles, because of the buffer. When you get to 0 rated miles, you can drive further (it is absolutely not recommended to ever test this, and results may vary). But the buffer on a new vehicle is about 3.6kWh, and you will be able to consume close to all of that, if you are very careful and drive very slowly. That's what they do in the EPA test.