Im basically going to ignore battery day numbers, as they have never seemed trustworthy.The principle difference that we know of between AWD and LR is range. That ratio is 84.5% (279/330).
That would indicate a price for the AWD at about $53,250.
But that would be too logical.
The battery is essentially what changes, so the rough calculation should be the percent reduction in the cost of the battery, not the whole car. In theory the 4680s should be less expensive to produce for a given capacity since they’re doing them in house.
Then the changes with the casting and structural pack SHOULD make a commensurate reduction in the cost of producing the rest of the car. They should obviously make it cheaper to produce but...
I’m also guessing Tesla will shoot high with the price because of the ongoing hikes in the cost of raw materials, parts etc and that will wipe out gains in production efficiency. the $59,990 may be BS right now but that sounds about right.