Hi Ryan,
In this episode around 22:00 you asked the question, "How many of us [Model 3 buyers] will get the full $7,500 full tax rebate?" According to my calculation, the number is 17,530. This is based on USA registration numbers Tesla released a few days ago for 2014 and 2015 and their 2016 guidance. Discussion topic with more details is HERE. Let's continue the discussion there if somebody wants to comment on this. Full table with data sources is HERE (scroll to the right). Tesla will reach 200,000 in Q2 2018. Full credits will continue until the end of Q3 2018 (only 1 more quarter after the 200,000 number is reached).
My guess is, if you pre-order on 2.nd April or if you pre-order on 31.st March or 1st April but don't select the performance and larger battery when you configure, you have no chance of getting the full credits.
In this episode around 22:00 you asked the question, "How many of us [Model 3 buyers] will get the full $7,500 full tax rebate?" According to my calculation, the number is 17,530. This is based on USA registration numbers Tesla released a few days ago for 2014 and 2015 and their 2016 guidance. Discussion topic with more details is HERE. Let's continue the discussion there if somebody wants to comment on this. Full table with data sources is HERE (scroll to the right). Tesla will reach 200,000 in Q2 2018. Full credits will continue until the end of Q3 2018 (only 1 more quarter after the 200,000 number is reached).
My guess is, if you pre-order on 2.nd April or if you pre-order on 31.st March or 1st April but don't select the performance and larger battery when you configure, you have no chance of getting the full credits.