I have a BMW i3 BEV and a Mercedes E350 Bluetec (diesel). The i3 does 90% of our local trips, the Mercedes all of our long distance travel. I'd love to replace the Mercedes with a Tesla, but I don't like planning my trips based on the location of Superchargers.
I believe electric cars will continue to take market share and that we're fast approaching the hockey stick growth point where the virtuous cycle of EV purchases and infrastructure deployment come together. But as far as I can tell, there is no bridge between the fast DC charger systems that will be deployed for all other EVs and Tesla's products.
Today, Tesla reminds me of the early Macintosh that used a processor and different standard for every I/O function compared to a PC. Eventually Apple saw the light (helped by Intel finally developing some decent processors and I/O technology) and dumped the unique standards and enjoyed the benefits of commodity I/O interfaces.
My point is that the Superchargers were probably necessary to get things started, but what about 5yrs from now? Will Tesla owners still be beholden to Tesla Motors when they need a fast charge? Or will Tesla owners be able to share high current chargers with the rest of the EV universe?
No trolling here, just trying to figure out if there is a Tesla in my future or not.
The history of this situation is quite interesting, and explains they why. There are better sources than I, but I will give my understanding as a summary.
1. GM is designing EV-1 and VW (maybe others) are considering competition. GM proposes that a committee get together to standardize charging options. Smart. They go thru the Society of American Engineers, and set up a committee. Other companies, like golf cart companies, are also on the committee. The EV-1 'fails' but the committee remains intact.
2. Years later Tesla is about to bring out the Roadster. They send a representative, restart the talks, hit lots of resistance, and make their own standard based largely on the committee's previous work. Roadster is out < 1 year when the president of GM, Bob Lutz, reams out his engineers who have assured him a 200 mile EV is technically impossible. He sends them off to make the Volt, in response to the Roadster (and the Prius). The committee meets, some disagreement and some agreement, and expand the previous standard to include "Level 2" and "Level 3" charging, wherein Level 2 is higher power AC and Level 3 is "DC fast". Tesla is part of the committee and abandons their previous charging mechanism and adopts that of the committee (which btw they call J1772).
3. They work out lots of details of Level 2 but almost all members of the committee see no viable future for high power EVs, so don't actually agree on standards for DC Fast. This frustrates the Japanese members of the committee, as well as the David that is Tesla Motors, who plan on 300+ mile EVs in the near future.
4. Tesla also has a design personality much like Apple Computers/Steve Jobs, wherein they believe form should be more than just function. The committee decides the actual 'plug' for an EV should fit in the same place as a gasoline nozzle, so that they don't need to change any of their design and manufacturing techniques. Tesla goes their own way and designs a light, beautiful, well functioning 'plug' instead, but other than cosmetics, is the same as the committee's plug. As Tesla is finishing their 2nd generation car soon to be called the Model S, they decide that for it to achieve widespread success 200-300 miles on a charge isn't enough- it needs a way to be refilled (relatively) rapidly while in the field. They decide to incorporate DC-Fast into their protocol, by using a switch in the outlet so that it can change from AC to DC. The committee feels that rather than allowing a point of failure in the switch, instead there should be 2 separate circuits, one for AC and one for DC. The Japanese agree and make 2 separate plugs, 1 for AC (using the J1772 design) and an entry separate plug for DC, which they call "go have some tea" in Japanese, which roughly condenses and translates into ChaDeMo. Tesla feels that they can safely make one plug for both AC and DC-Fast, and design it lighter and better than ChaDeMo. They do so. Again, GM is embarrassed that tesla proves them wrong, starts designing the 2nd generation Volt and the Bolt, brings the committee back together, includes VW, BMW, and Mercedes; the committee makes the "Combined Charging System" or CCS that's very much a physical merger of 2 separate plugs(1 J1772 AC and another DC), no switch but in 1 big, bulky, heavy 'plug' kind of shaped like a number 8.
Tesla's way is better in all ways, with the possible exception of the switch failing. Tesla makes their design available to all, free of charge, but the other guys are too proud to adopt it. Tesla then starts building their DC-Fast charging network, call it a Supercharger, and announce the any other manufacturer can use it, so long as they follow a couple of basic rules. Those rules include not charging the end user at point of sale, proportionally paying for it, and making a vehicle that charges at a rate equivalent with the ability of the charger. (i.e. your car can't be sitting in this fast charger for 4 hours, taking 1/4 the Supercharger's capability, and has to be able to achieve a full charge within 60-70 minutes.)
That's my summary, and all is from memory so some of the facts my be imprecise.