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Poll: How many Model 3s did Tesla deliver in October
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BobbyKings
S85D > M3P > S Plaid
Garlan Garner
Banned
ElecFan
Member
0-100
I think Tesla is at present keeping hundreds/thousands of model 3s in stock until the seats/battery or whatever bottlenecks are solved and then delivers them at the end of november and december. That's why Elon said december will be the month to look forward to (or words to that extent).
I think Tesla is at present keeping hundreds/thousands of model 3s in stock until the seats/battery or whatever bottlenecks are solved and then delivers them at the end of november and december. That's why Elon said december will be the month to look forward to (or words to that extent).
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Dr. J
Active Member
Since Tesla doesn't release monthly delivery (or production) numbers, we won't have any way of knowing this, will we? Still, as an eternal optimist, my guess is more than 1,000. 
Since Tesla doesn't release monthly delivery (or production) numbers, we won't have any way of knowing this, will we? Still, as an eternal optimist, my guess is more than 1,000.
We should know at the next earnings call, Tesla does release this information.
Waiting4M3
Active Member
Zero is impossible since we have confirmed deliveries in OH (VIN531), NY, OR, and one on a truck yesterday.
Based on the frequency of VIN sighting I think it's likely significantly below Sep. I saw ~30 VIN sightings in Sep, and ~24 so far in Oct. Considering VIN sighting frequency should scale with cumulative deliveries, most of these 24 in Oct may be from those 260 delivered by the end of Sep.
WileyTheMan
Peanut Gallery Member
It's got to be at least the same number as the previous month. If it's not, then the sourcing issues are worse than I thought.
Waiting4M3
Active Member
Not necessarily, once an issue is discovered, it wouldn't make sense to keep making cars with the defective parts/process. The main reason Tesla would want to keep making cars is that they need to keep the line moving to troubleshoot other suspect steps. If nothing else they should be able to maintain their Sep production pace. The fact that the line could be stopped could mean that they've identified the fixes for all the problems, so now they can wait for the fixes to roll out, and not waste time/money making more cars with defective parts/processes.
Thomas Edison
Active Member
Yes, I think that's probably correct... even if those vehicles were built last month they would still be considered October deliveries.
Good point. I will be gobsmacked though if analysts on the earnings call don't hold their feet to the fire and try to get this information anyway.
Musk saying they have things handled might not be enough.
We don't have that information really although one Tesla employee who tweeted the various stages of his car from ordering to build to final delivery indicates it was somewhere around 4-6 weeks from the time they started building his car to the point where it was delivered to him. At one point it site for 3 or so weeks, probably having something to done to it before it was ready.
Dr. J
Active Member
Buddyroe
Active Member
The one on the truck probably didn't get delivered in October. My guess is around 10 M3s were delivered in October - and those were just ones that got built in September, but delivered in October for whatever reason. I believe production is on hold right now for a few reasons - a) supplier issues, b) perfecting the production process so the service centers won't be overwhelmed like they were with the X, c) allow infrastructure to grow as much as possible before the sudden delivery of thousands of M3s - avoiding a major customer satisfaction issue due to waits at superchargers and service centers.
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Barklikeadog
Active Member
Waiting4M3
Active Member
In that case, I wonder how many were produced at all. Tesla doesn't have infinite storage space, and people would be taking pictures if there were lots fulled of Model 3s waiting for delivery.
Waiting4M3
Active Member
Barklikeadog
Active Member
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