Hi. Based on survey data, the average energy consumption of the Model S is 316 Wh/mi in the USA (source: see cell Q1
here). The Model 3 consumption is expected to be 79.7% of Model S consumption based on the following calculation:
EPA highway dyno test efficiency:
Model 3 80: 172.2 Wh/mi (454.64 mi / 78,270 Wh = 172.2 Wh/mi, Source for 454.64 mi and 78,270 Wh:
Page 7)
Model S 100D: 216.1 Wh/mi (455.37 mi / 98,400 Wh = 216.1 Wh/mi, Source for 455.37 mi:
Page 27, source for 98,400 Wh:
WK057)
Model 3 80 vs Model s 100 consumption= 172.2 Wh/mi /216.1 Wh/mi = 79.7%. Therefore we can use 316 Wh/mi*79.7%=
252 Wh/mi as the Model 3 average.
Usable battery capacity of the Model 3 is expected to be as follows when the car is new:
55 kWh pack: 53,963 Wh (This is my estimate based on 55.5*78,270/80,500=53,963)
80 kWh pack: 78,270 Wh (This was confirmed in an EPA document. See page 6 footer
here)
The average range numbers would be like this when the car is new:
Model 3 55: 53,963 Wh/252 Wh/mi= 214 miles
Model 3 80: 78,270 Wh/252 Wh/mi= 311 miles
However, we need to consider battery degradation too. Based on survey data, the capacity drops to 94% at 80K miles (see the image
here). So, the remaining usable capacity at 80K miles would be as follows:
55 kWh pack: 50,725 Wh
80 kWh pack: 73,574 Wh
Therefore the average RWD Model 3 range would be as follows after 80K miles:
Model 3 55: 50,725 Wh/252 Wh/mi=
201 miles
Model 3 80: 73,574 Wh/252 Wh/mi=
292 miles
However, these are average numbers throughout the year. It will be lower in winter. Btw, dual motor versions will have 8-12 mi more range.