SageBrush
REJECT Fascism
And that leaves him the option to invade further when convenient
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Russia/Ukraine conflict
- Thread starter amolina
- Start date
Desperate move that won’t likely change anything, but perhaps one of the clearest signs Russia feels things are going poorly for them in east Ukraine.
I found that story fascinating. Desperation indeed.... "We are holding referendums in territories that 1) have ongoing fighting and 2) we do not militarily control". One would hope even China, Iran, and India will scoff at any "results" from these sham referendums? Right?
petit_bateau
Active Member
My personal opinion is the maps this chap puts together are not terribly well grounded in facts. He tends to draw things that he thinks should be happening and which might perhaps be happening in two weeks time if everything goes right. Same for his commentary. Sometimes they are useful but one needs to be wary. Just my opinion.
jabloomf1230
Minister of Silly Walks
A solution to Crimea is to designate it as a demilitarized recreational area using UN peacekeepers. I realize that this is a pie in the sky result, but I don't see Ukraine being able to reclaim the peninsula without suffering severe losses.
I just finished reading “The Fight of Our Lives” by Iuliia Mendel. Well written, very informative. I learned many things about current day Ukraine.
If you are following this thread, you may want to give it a reading.
If you are following this thread, you may want to give it a reading.
Bloodlands is a great read. The gore will ruin your evenings but it's very informational.
RobStark
Well-Known Member
Putin is also trying to undermine Western electorate's support for sending weapons to Ukraine.
" The Czar just wants peace."
The Pentagon won't be fooled. Anyone with an IQ above 70 won't be fooled. But......
Wonder if Putin will keep doubling down and is perhaps thinking of announcing a partial mobilization in Russia.
He was supposed to give a big televised address today to the Russian public on the new "annexations" of Ukrainian territory but this has been postponed until tomorrow morning.
He was supposed to give a big televised address today to the Russian public on the new "annexations" of Ukrainian territory but this has been postponed until tomorrow morning.
Militarily getting into Crimea would be costly, but cutting the Kerch Strait and starving out the Russians might work. If they don't surrender invading Crimea after a siege would be easier.
At this point the Ukrainians have the same resolve of the Allies around 1944: we're tired but we're not going to stop until this is over and over for good.
I've always liked non-American English speaking humor and the internet has allowed me to get more access to comedy from the Britain, Scotland, Ireland, New Zealand, and Australia (a little bit of Welsh, but they want to do a lot of programming in Welsh these days). I realized how much non-American slang I had learned when I came across a hilarious stand up clip from an Australian comedian and shared it with my partner (who is a language geek and has a staggeringly large vocabulary). I found myself explaining every joke. She said she could see where they would be funny if she understood the slang, but having a joke explained kind of spoils the laugh. I realized I had absorbed a lot of foreign slang without realizing it.
My partner likes murder mysteries and we watch a fair number of foreign programs. When sub-titles aren't available I need to interpret the heavy accents for her.
Many years ago I came across something that in the ancient world it was common practice to put a lot of puns into things people wanted there own culture to understand, but didn't want foreigners to figure out. This wasn't to be funny but to speak in a code only your culture could understand. A more recent example of this is Cockney rhyming slang which evolved to have a code language non-Cockney's couldn't understand. Being able to pun in any language is a sign of mastery of the language and local slang trips up non-native speakers all the time.
SageBrush
REJECT Fascism
Nice up-to-date analysis of the situation regarding the impending false referendum and expected Putin speech in a few hours with possible call for mass mobilization then or in some days after claims of annexation.
(Retired) Lt. General Hertling explains why it will fail.
(Retired) Lt. General Hertling explains why it will fail.
bkp_duke
Well-Known Member
THAT will seriously piss off the Kremlin. If memory serves, that's like 1/4 of the rainy-day funds that they had stored up for this conflict.
Putin Is Cornered
The West faces a simple choice: reduce aid to Ukraine and deliver Russia a victory, or else finish the job it has begun.
www.theatlantic.com
Nothing new here but I loved this quote:
"President Volodymyr Zelensky is playing the role of a Ukrainian Churchill, minus some of the fantastical notions and with an infinitely better workout regimen."
What was wrong with cognac and cigars for breakfast? Didn't he live to be 91?
This may have to do with Russian nuclear doctrine which says they will not use nukes until Russian territory is attacked. Making Ukrainian territory officially Russia enables them to step up the nuclear threats. They attempted to capture all of Luhansk and Donesk before launching these initiatives to give them more of a figleaf.
Nobody outside of Russia is going to believe any of it.
Putin was supposed to have a speech today where he announced general mobilization, but he canceled. The draft is very unpopular in Russia and an announcement of mass mobilization could trigger riots the Kremlin can't contain.
Additionally Russia took apart all mechanisms for mass mobilization over 20 years ago. They would be virtually having to start from scratch with their training and other support infrastructure gutted by the war. Mobilization is going to take six months even if they cut every corner possible. To do it right would take a couple of years with a fully functional training system.
In six months the Russians are going to be in a much worse position, if the war is not over. They need manpower three months ago, now is too late.
Tiger
Active Member
There was a discussion about Crimea being Russia's Florida. It's warm by Russian standards but the monthly temperature profile is closer to Seattle or Vancouver, BC than anywhere in Florida, though it's drier overall
Sevastopol Climate, Weather By Month, Average Temperature (Ukraine) - Weather Spark
Seattle Climate, Weather By Month, Average Temperature (Washington, United States) - Weather Spark
Vancouver Climate, Weather By Month, Average Temperature (Canada) - Weather Spark
Sevastopol Climate, Weather By Month, Average Temperature (Ukraine) - Weather Spark
Seattle Climate, Weather By Month, Average Temperature (Washington, United States) - Weather Spark
Vancouver Climate, Weather By Month, Average Temperature (Canada) - Weather Spark
