I was really excited until the last part. No idea what that means....Yes, I can see if I can export just that sheet and share it. It’s google sheets and It uses a free plugin. You will also need to get an api key from TOS.
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I was really excited until the last part. No idea what that means....Yes, I can see if I can export just that sheet and share it. It’s google sheets and It uses a free plugin. You will also need to get an api key from TOS.
TOS = Think or Swim. You can get an API key here: TD Ameritrade for developer | APIsI was really excited until the last part. No idea what that means....
I guess you weren't playing this game back in May? This is nothing by comparison, at least not yet!We feel rational until the market feels irrational.
First week I have to roll Puts 1-2 weeks down to avoid getting assigned. Twice on one position . They were small positions, 5 and 10 contracts -p1045 and -p990. However this is brutal.
Assignment's just another word for got a bunch more shares...I guess you weren't playing this game back in May? This is nothing by comparison, at least not yet!
Good thing is that experience from then puts one in good stead for now, and what is that learning?
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Here's a weird one. The 1500 strike call I sold Wednesday before the drop, is worth 22% more today (I'm in the red). It is 131% higher at close today than close yesterday, despite the stock dropping almost 7%. Must mean there is increased demand for calls, which is supposed to mean MM will have to buy shares at some point to hedge - right?
Hopefully next week brings a nice pop to 1100 or 1200.
Posting my recent activity as I hope it helps some, but I’d also like feedback if I’m missing something in my “strategy”.
I sold 12/17 cc1000 back in October before the recent run and watched as the SP ran but I only gained the difference in delta between the DITM leaps and the CCs, which was less than satisfying to say the least.
So I used the hedge from these CCs to get more aggressive with my BPS and it has worked out rather well. Instead of more conservative 20% OTM strikes, I have been doing mostly 10% OTM strikes, bringing in more premium.
I have only had to roll a couple of BPS positions over the Elon sell phase, but as the SP has declined, I found a new opportunity. The cc1000 that were left for dead just weeks ago, can now be rolled for a decent strike improvement (cc1000 to cc1075 with a $5 premium for Jan 21).
Add in the fact that by rolling these CCs, I’m taking losses to offset BPS gains for 2021 and it’s win win. Of course, I expect the Jan 21 cc1075 to be DITM by expiration, but I’ve seen this movie before and since the positions they are covering are Jan 2023 and Jun 2023 leaps, I see no reason to not rinse and repeat a few more times!
Enjoy the weekend and looking forward to my newly sold CCs to be ITM on Monday.
The only problem is margin. If the cc was using LEAPS, and he flip rolls to Puts, now he needs margin/cash for the Puts.On a pullback like this - if you're still bullish and expecting your next CC to go ITM, and you have the collateral - you might consider flipping the short call to a short put instead.
E.g., BTC 12/17 1000c @ 72 and STO 12/17 1035p @ 72
One nice thing is that the short call lost a lot and the short put gained a lot today. If you had opened this position in the morning, you'd have had to buy the short call back at $121 and sell the short put at $44 (a difference of -$7700 per contract vs. an even trade right now).
The only problem is margin. If the cc was using LEAPS, and he flip rolls to Puts, now he needs margin/cash for the Puts.
Oh I was thinking about rolling today - I very much wasFound the wrong week to reverse roll my 12/10 ~930s to 12/3 ~1040s. Had to roll them back to 12/10 ~950s for a small credit. These are all the short legs of a bunch of BPS. No harm no foul, and I I am giving myself a NiceTry for that attempt to shed the BPS quicker.
Anyways, I did think about going out a week or 2 like several here are doing, but my main concern is with the macro. QQQ / NDX are still in a negative gamma territory where downside vol can feed on itself. I have shifted a bit into capital preservation mode rolling for strike improvement and not necessarily the best returns.
While the premiums are appealing, rolling out for time reduces the management flexibility. So decided to just sit on 950s for next week until that strike is threatened (if it does). Unlike @adiggs I am rolling by wide bps as soon as my short strike is threatened and not waiting till it goes ITM. Just a bit less risk / reward as these are margin backed BPS.
I do think the time is getting ripe to roll up the DITM strikes (at 300) and add more contracts in our IRA.
GLTA.
I may try a flip roll on a smaller amount of contracts, but I like the downside risk protection of the CCs balancing out the risk of the BPS going ITM. This is in a brokerage account, so margin isn't the issue.Agreed. I got rid of some of my Hertz CCs by closing one ITM CC/selling 100 shares for the collateral to do a flip roll, but it's in an IRA and I wanted to cash out some for BPS anyway.
I may try a flip roll on a smaller amount of contracts, but I like the downside risk protection of the CCs balancing out the risk of the BPS going ITM. This is in a brokerage account, so margin isn't the issue.
For those that have done the flip roll, how did it work out? While I'm bullish longer term, anything can happen short term, which is why I like my current hedging strategy.
Yeah, this grasshopper is still in broken wheel-land (flat tire ville?) where I sell puts at strike-premium points where I'd buy the stock anyway (and sell calls to keep them). Though closing them yesterday or even this morning would have been more profitable, the sold calls balanced it out.Assignement? Only by choice...
Back in may, when I was knee-high to a grasshopper, we dropped and we dropped, my portfolio shrank and it shrank (oblique film reference there...), and I just plain crapped my pants, closed all my DITM puts and started reselling ATM - there was blood in the water, I can tell you
And then a funny thing happened, a couple of weeks later, the SP was back above those closed-out strikes...
So to conclude, roll, roll, roll, wait...
This current froth isn't even $TSLA related, it's all macro nonsense, maybe with some Elon sales to grease the pole a bit
And I say this having bought $1.7million worth of Jan 24 c1100's on Monday, which are currently ~$300k down, patience...
Margin calls? As the proverb says - he who waits for the axe to fall, will surely lose his head - be proactive, act before it happens. Roll out for more credit, roll out for less contracts, trim the position at the current expiry if necessary
If you can roll for the same strike for a few weeks, likely you'll gain enough premium to close the positions out, break-even
Be vigilant, be aware, be analytical
IV goes up hard if so tanks. That is Vega working against you. But that's should overpower it in some days/weeks + IV will stabelizeHere's a weird one. The 12/10 1500 strike call I sold Wednesday before the 12.4% drop, is worth 22% more today (I'm in the red). It is 131% higher at close today than close yesterday, despite the stock dropping almost 7%. Must mean there is increased demand for calls, which is supposed to mean MM will have to buy shares at some point to hedge - right?
Hopefully next week brings a nice pop to 1100 or 1200.