Diversified investments.Why faff with solar panels?
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Diversified investments.Why faff with solar panels?
I don’t think it does, actually.Portugal (like UK) has great off-shore wind generation.
Because some people put value in things other than just money.
I, for one, value some level of self-sufficiency and added energy security and quite like the idea of reduced direct carbon emissions…
Hard to translate that into a currency, it’s very much emotional and also some level of gambling, up to a point.
I'm in a similar position to you Dilly, in my forever home. I did do ROI calculations for the PW and extra panels, and the project makes sense. But like, you, in our forever home, it's great to invest in technology for the greater benefit and have fun.Initially, I saw my panels as an “investment”.
Time has moved on and we are are in deep sh*t with climate change.
at 69 and in my forever home, I don’t care about RoI or cost justification, if I did, I wouldn’t have a £60K electric car to pootle about in.
It’s now about doing my bit to help stave off climate change. That it’s saving some money along the way is a bonus!
Will the climate change battle be won? Not a prayer. There is too much greed and corruption in this world. Whatever is done will be too little too late.
Well you, presumably, have a responsibility not to waste your families money !My maths don't work for that (but I dunno what Vangaurd yield is).
I have two choices:
- I make an investment in something, then withdraw the "interest" received to pay my electricity bill each year
... and likely have to pay tax on that withdrawal- I invest in Solar panels, and that reduces my electricity bill
If Capital = €9K, PV saving on electricity bill (this year) is €600, then the investment must make at least 7% (i.e. after tax) to pay the €600 electricity bill.
- Electricity bill will most likely increase over time (lets say in line with inflation)
- If I withdraw the interest from my investment then the capital amount stays the same, so my "interest" is fixed. (If interest exceeds electricity bill then I can reinvest that)
Assuming inflation never exceeds 3% for 20 years and investment manages 8% every year then there is a surplus on the investment (I'll assume reinvested) until year 10 ... after that the electricity bill exceeds the interest and by year 20 an additional €280 annual payment will be needed
So basically inflation has got to stay under 3% and investment has got to do better than 9%, every year, to break even in 20 years
And that is assuming that there is no tax to pay on the [withdrawal off the] income from the investment.
If electricity price goes up unexpectedly for any reason, as at present, then unless the investment is similarly spectacular that year, then PV is going to win.
My view is that:
If likely to sell the house "soon" then PV is a hard decision to make
If approaching retirement then locking in PV-pays-for-X%-of electricity-usage - "forever" - works
Portugal (like UK) has great off-shore wind generation.
I do wonder if the Eco-credentials of "Every house installs PV panels" is better/worse for the planet then "Economy of scale off-shore grid-generation from Wind".
I expect there are some benefits from my PV exporting and supporting the grid locally ...
... but if I just plug into the grid, and the grid becomes greener-and-greener over time, I get the benefit of that improvement without doing anything.
... but I am susceptible to unexpected price increases - e.g. the cost of the Nuclear "background" that UK has chosen to install, and perhaps the capital cost of grid installing batteries in the future.
If I get a car, in a few years time, with a battery which can discharge to run my house, then I will be able to "store" electricity from off-short wind, when it is at its cheapest, and run the house during the time when electricity consumption is high / expensive
Well sadly, I filled the Tesla and Outlander yesterday from the afternoon sunshine. Today, the water’s hot, the Powerwalls are full already, the vacuuming isdone and the Sunday Roast is scrubbed in favour of a picnic. Hence we’re dumping what the main panels are producing and the secondaries have gone back to sleep!I'm in a similar position to you Dilly, in my forever home. I did do ROI calculations for the PW and extra panels, and the project makes sense. But like, you, in our forever home, it's great to invest in technology for the greater benefit and have fun.
Here’s current status, vacuum cleaner just came on.
“So basically inflation has got to stay under 3% and investment has got to do better than 9%, every year, to break even in 20 years”My maths don't work for that (but I dunno what Vangaurd yield is).
I have two choices:
- I make an investment in something, then withdraw the "interest" received to pay my electricity bill each year
... and likely have to pay tax on that withdrawal- I invest in Solar panels, and that reduces my electricity bill
If Capital = €9K, PV saving on electricity bill (this year) is €600, then the investment must make at least 7% (i.e. after tax) to pay the €600 electricity bill.
- Electricity bill will most likely increase over time (lets say in line with inflation)
- If I withdraw the interest from my investment then the capital amount stays the same, so my "interest" is fixed. (If interest exceeds electricity bill then I can reinvest that)
Assuming inflation never exceeds 3% for 20 years and investment manages 8% every year then there is a surplus on the investment (I'll assume reinvested) until year 10 ... after that the electricity bill exceeds the interest and by year 20 an additional €280 annual payment will be needed
So basically inflation has got to stay under 3% and investment has got to do better than 9%, every year, to break even in 20 years
And that is assuming that there is no tax to pay on the [withdrawal off the] income from the investment.
If electricity price goes up unexpectedly for any reason, as at present, then unless the investment is similarly spectacular that year, then PV is going to win.
My view is that:
If likely to sell the house "soon" then PV is a hard decision to make
If approaching retirement then locking in PV-pays-for-X%-of electricity-usage - "forever" - works
Portugal (like UK) has great off-shore wind generation.
I do wonder if the Eco-credentials of "Every house installs PV panels" is better/worse for the planet then "Economy of scale off-shore grid-generation from Wind".
I expect there are some benefits from my PV exporting and supporting the grid locally ...
... but if I just plug into the grid, and the grid becomes greener-and-greener over time, I get the benefit of that improvement without doing anything.
... but I am susceptible to unexpected price increases - e.g. the cost of the Nuclear "background" that UK has chosen to install, and perhaps the capital cost of grid installing batteries in the future.
If I get a car, in a few years time, with a battery which can discharge to run my house, then I will be able to "store" electricity from off-short wind, when it is at its cheapest, and run the house during the time when electricity consumption is high / expensive
I would seriously be crying if I was giving the grid 6.2kW. I resent giving the grid more that 1kW a day!Well sadly, I filled the Tesla and Outlander yesterday from the afternoon sunshine. Today, the water’s hot, the Powerwalls are full already, the vacuuming isdone and the Sunday Roast is scrubbed in favour of a picnic. Hence we’re dumping what the main panels are producing and the secondaries have gone back to sleep!
My stats look a bit sad.View attachment 801760
I don’t think anyone is disputing the accuracy of your thinking.Hello Dily, thanks for participating…
I’m very curious though … what did your PV cost?
Genuine question… how would you have fared if you had popped the money in a decent fund?
I’m prepared to accept my thinking is wrong… if anyone has any evidence !
I’m afraid the short answer is that I already had all the income I needed when I retired at the age of 45. Cost was circa £25K. The panels and Powerwalls and indeed, the Tesla, were bought with ‘fun’ money.Hello Dily, thanks for participating…
I’m very curious though … what did your PV cost?
Genuine question… how would you have fared if you had popped the money in a decent fund?
I’m prepared to accept my thinking is wrong… if anyone has any evidence !
You’d be drowning in your tears. I’m at 16kWh export and counting today! Even the pyroclastic oven doesn’t need cleaning!I would seriously be crying if I was giving the grid 6.2kW. I resent giving the grid more that 1kW a day!
Oh dear, well now my PW is full, the hot water tank is full and very hot, and in an hour my Tesla will be full. I may be able to squeeze a few more kWh into our Smart car before that is full; tears will be shed tomorrow though.You’d be drowning in your tears. I’m at 16kWh export and counting today! Even the pyroclastic oven doesn’t need cleaning!
long drive for a picnic and washing day tomorrow. I’ll be keeping the power in house.
Hello Dily, thanks for participating…
I’m very curious though … what did your PV cost?
Genuine question… how would you have fared if you had popped the money in a decent fund?
I’m prepared to accept my thinking is wrong… if anyone has any evidence !
Oh dear, well now my PW is full, the hot water tank is full and very hot, and in an hour my Tesla will be full. I may be able to squeeze a few more kWh into our Smart car before that is full; tears will be shed tomorrow though.
It is @Dilly that has 6kW spare that he is donating to the Grid. Besides, I won't have enough spare power for your return trip. But, next month, I'll be driving to Scotland and using a supercharger for the first time, but I may call in off the M40/M6 for some free electrical juice.Call me... I'll bring my Tesla over for some free juice
Tesla Party at your house
Yep, situation unchanged. Still 3.2 going in the grid now. If the secondary panels were alight it would be nearer 6 Now and 10 earlier.It is @Dilly that has 6kW spare that he is donating to the Grid. Besides, I won't have enough spare power for your return trip. But, next month, I'll be driving to Scotland and using a supercharger for the first time, but I may call in off the M40/M6 for some free electrical juice.