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Tesla Europe Registration Stats

Discussion in 'Wiki' started by Wiki, Jan 30, 2016.

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The first post in this thread is a WikiPost, and can be edited by anyone with the appropriate permissions.
  1. Wiki

    Wiki Member

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    #1 Wiki, Jan 30, 2016
    Last edited by Troy: Oct 22, 2016
    This wiki belongs to the thread EU Market situation and outlook. Because keeping the totals up to date in the old wiki table was a pain we moved to a Google spreadsheet. This also has the advantage to produce auto-updating graphs that you see below. You can still participate in data collection.

    Click HERE (CTRL-click to open in new tab) to add new data using a Google form.

    • Any forum member can contribute. We encourage you to do so!
    • Your entry will appear after the data is checked.
    • If the data you submitted has changed, submit a new entry for the same month.
    • You can submit entries of your own estimate or calculations. First, write a forum message in the EU Market situation and outlook thread to describe your method. Then on the input form paste a link to that message as the data source.
    • You can submit a new entry for an existing month if you believe your data is more accurate.
    Thanks for your participation!

    Project Manager: Hobbes
    Technical Manager: Troy



    Troy (6 Apr 2016): The European Alternative Fuels Observatory (EAFO) has started publishing stats HERE, although it is not as up to date as our data.
    Troy (20 Feb 2016): To view this topic better, you can switch to the expanded view. The button is all the way down, in bottom left corner.
    [​IMG]


    2016 Model S & X Registrations in Europe





    2016 Model S Registrations in Europe (Previous years' Model S data is available here: 2013, 2014, 2015)





    2016 Model X Registrations in Europe





    [​IMG]
     
    • Informative x 2
  2. Adm

    Adm Active Member

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  3. Troy

    Troy Member

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    #3 Troy, Feb 3, 2016
    Last edited: Feb 3, 2016
    Hi,

    We need more volunteers to confirm entries. Currently there are many people submitting entries but hardly anybody checking and confirming them. If you want to help, post a message here (or pm me if you prefer) until the end of this month. If you are not always around that's fine. You can help when you have time. That's why we need more people. If there are more volunteers it's less likely that everybody will be away during the same days, weeks or months. There is no additional communication, emailing, reporting back etc. required. I will just add your username to a list and send you a link to a google spreadsheet. It has nice drop lists where you select yes or no to approve entries. No copy-paste required. Everything is automated.

    Why do we need people to confirm entries?
    1. Sometimes the source link is too general. Usually this happens when there is a web page that has links to an excel or PDF file and the user submits the link to the webpage. We want the link to the excel or PDF file if the sales number is inside that file. Of course links to web pages are fine if the number is on the web page.

    2. Sometimes the number is wrong.
    Example 1: Source has February and YTD number. The user incorrectly enters YTD number
    Example 2: Source has January 2016 and January 2015 numbers next to each other. The user incorrectly enters January 2015.
    Example 3: Source has one number for used car registrations and another for new registrations. User incorrectly enters used car registrations.

    What do you need to do?
    Step 1: Look at the wiki article from time to time. For example right now it says "Entries pending approval: 6"
    Step 2: Open the google spreadsheet. (I will send you the link)
    Step 3: Check if the number and source are correct
    Step 4: Select a checkbox from a droplist with the appropriate action.

    Thanks
    Troy
     
  4. schonelucht

    schonelucht Active Member

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    If you'd like I can help out a bit.
     
  5. Troy

    Troy Member

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    Hi schonelucht. I have sent you the details. Thanks

    We are looking for more volunteers, maybe 2 or 3 people more.
     
  6. Atlantis

    Atlantis Member

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    Troy, I'm glad to see that you had improved your chart with the addition of some other countries with low-volume market. If you think that it should be included in your chart, the number of Model S sales in Portugal for 2015 is estimate at 15 as quoted by this interesting blog: http://ev-sales.blogspot.pt/search/label/Portugal,
     
  7. Troy

    Troy Member

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    Hi Atlantis,

    Portugal is a new country that was added to the THIS list recently. Hobbes and I are aware that some users are interested in Portugal stats so we started monitoring it along with other countries on that list. The plan is to check the numbers once a year for all low-volume countries and move them to the main list if they reach 0.3% of registrations in Europe (3 units registered in that country per 1000 units in Europe). If you see this happen let us know. Thanks

    Source websites that could be useful for Portugal:
    aran.pt
    acap.pt
     
  8. mrco

    mrco Member

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    The estimate for UK Q4 15 UK is much too low. Whilst the exact figure will not be released until later by Dept for Transport. The SMMT (society of motor manufacturers) do release monthly numbers but because Tesla do not release the numbers, they are only included in 'Other imports'. See Record year for new car market as registrations hit 2.6 million in 2015 - SMMT - note: click at bottom of webpage for download of detailed data. 'Other imports' excluding Tesla have been in the range 200-400 per quarter for the last couple of years. Other imports in Q4 were 937, so estimate for Q4 MS deliveries is 535-737. This is a lot higher than previous quarters as it's the first full quarter of dual motor cars in the UK.
     
  9. Adm

    Adm Active Member

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    It seems even without the Swiss numbers that sales are up compared to january 2015 despite the crazy december sales last year.
     
  10. Troy

    Troy Member

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    Hi mrco,

    At the beginning of the wiki, there are two messages that are relevant here:

    Like it says, if you want you can post your calculation in the EU Market Situation and Outlook thread, then submit an entry using the input form (link is in the wiki). To support your exact calculation, if you can show that Tesla numbers are consistently around the same percentage of Other import in SMMT, I don't see a reason why your method wouldn't be considered. For example if Tesla sales were always between 50-70% of Other imports, you could calculate an exact number based on 60%, post your calculation in that topic and submit an entry. Somebody else had an idea about using reservation numbers to estimate UK sales. That could be another approach.

    I want to clarify that this thread is about the technical aspects of the wiki project. My job is to make sure the google spreadsheet, the graphs, the input form work correctly. Discussions about numbers and estimates belong to the other thread.

    Cheers
    Troy
     
  11. Atlantis

    Atlantis Member

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    Thanks to the reply Troy. I will be monitoring the numbers for Portugal with the sources you have posted and the blog that I have quoted.
     
  12. Toastmastern

    Toastmastern New Member

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  13. schonelucht

    schonelucht Active Member

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    I don't know if we are registering the numbers for Finland correctly. We take them from the tab 'Passenger cars registered to organisations' yet it is unclear what those numbers really mean. When you compare with the tab '30 most registered passenger cars by make' the numbers also don't correspond. For example in April for Volkswagen we get two different numbers (1855 vs 1105). Which is the real number?!? For Tesla it's even weirder, it's not in the top 30 yet the bottom brand is Jeep with just 7 cars yet Tesla is listed in the cars to organisations tab as 20. Presumably, Tesla should then fall in the others category which shows 25. Clearly Tesla should be in the top 30?!? For May it's even weirder still. Others (of which Tesla is part) are listed as 23 but how come then Tesla is listed as 24 in the organisations tab? Anyone who can shed a light on this?
     
  14. Troy

    Troy Member

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    @schonelucht,

    I had a look at Finland numbers. They appear correct. On the excel file "Pc organisations" tab column D shows YTD numbers. For example the latest file HERE shows 49 units in 2016 at the end of June which matches our YTD number. The "PC 30 makes" tab (top 30 passenger cars) shows monthly numbers. By the way instructions on how to read data from each data source can be found HERE. Let me know if you notice any other issue. Cheers
     
  15. Atlantis

    Atlantis Member

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    #15 Atlantis, Jul 12, 2016
    Last edited: Jul 12, 2016
    Strange, there is no Tesla X deliveries registered in June in Switzerland. But, I think that some owners in Switzerland had posted photos of their cars in the dedicated thread for EU Tesla X deliveries. Lack of data from authorities, confusion between Tesla x and total Tesla S figures or something else?
     
  16. Bladerunner

    Bladerunner Member

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    Some X Models have been delivered in Switzerland, but they do not yet show up in the official registration statistics. They are lumped into the "Other cars" category probably until they reach more significant sales number.
     
    • Informative x 1
  17. Atlantis

    Atlantis Member

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    It makes sense. Thanks.
     
  18. Atlantis

    Atlantis Member

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    I twitted to Auto-Schweiz about Tesla X registrations for June and they answered me that there were 3 Tesla X registered in Switzerland for June and that they will add them in their statistics.
     
  19. Troy

    Troy Member

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    Hi everybody. I started a new topic you might find interesting. The data collected in this wiki has been very useful in the new topic as well. Cheers

    Tesla Supercharger Stats
     
  20. Troy

    Troy Member

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    Hi @bonaire,

    You submitted a new entry today for Norway, July 2016. It says 66 units for Tesla. However, the first table above shows 43 units. Let me explain why. The blue table is for Model S only. The pink table is for Model X. Then we have the purple table that shows both. Here you can see 66 units. You might say, how do we know that Model S is 43 units? Simple, on the source page HERE change the drop list to "Modelfordelt" and it will show the Model S number.

    By the way, under the table, there is a link for instructions on how to read data from each source. I update this file regularly with the latest info. Thanks for checking the data and submitting new entries. Cheers
     
    • Informative x 1
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