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Wow!

Tesla Q4 2021 Vehicle Production & Deliveries​

BUSINESS WIRE
Jan 2, 2022
AUSTIN, Texas, January 2, 2022 – In the fourth quarter, we achieved production of more than 305,000 vehicles and deliveries of over 308,000 vehicles. In 2021, we delivered over 936,000 vehicles.
Thank you to all of our customers, employees, suppliers, shareholders and supporters who helped us achieve a great year.

Q4 2021​

ProductionDeliveriesSubject to operating lease accounting
Model S/X13,10911,75017%
Model 3/Y292,731296,8505%
Total305,840308,6005%

2021​

ProductionDeliveries
Model S/X24,39024,964
Model 3/Y906,032911,208
Total930,422936,172
 
Wow!

Tesla Q4 2021 Vehicle Production & Deliveries​

BUSINESS WIRE
Jan 2, 2022
AUSTIN, Texas, January 2, 2022 – In the fourth quarter, we achieved production of more than 305,000 vehicles and deliveries of over 308,000 vehicles. In 2021, we delivered over 936,000 vehicles.
Thank you to all of our customers, employees, suppliers, shareholders and supporters who helped us achieve a great year.

Q4 2021​

ProductionDeliveriesSubject to operating lease accounting
Model S/X13,10911,75017%
Model 3/Y292,731296,8505%
Total305,840308,6005%

2021​

ProductionDeliveries
Model S/X24,39024,964
Model 3/Y906,032911,208
Total930,422936,172
19DC512A-0C7C-49CD-BE9C-1AE257FB2D96.gif
 
IIRC, batteries are the major structural limitation. Short term things such as airbags, various control modules and mundane pieces tend to be the bottlenecks. Thus, day to day, it's logistics. In every part and completed vehicles, logistics.
That's the name of the game in our business as well. We fully mechanized just last week (ok, still need some training but our machinery is on site) and it increases production by 600% and the logistics challenge just shifts from one aspect to another. Still logistics is the key to profitability. There is always a bottleneck.
 
That is such a blowout number that the market should move pretty heavily… I didn’t expect nearly that much.

Not only does that impact q4, but the 22 estimates of ~1.2-1.3m are comically low at this point. All firms are going to have to raise 22 production to at least 1.4m and should be in the range of 1.5-1.6m. That should be worth ~200 to the share price by Wall Street’s own valuation. The setup is here for ~1400 after earnings.