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Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

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remember, in the short term the stock market is an irrational voting machine but in the long term it's a more rational value weighing machine
There Is Tesla, And Then There Are Automotive Dinosaurs | CleanTechnica
That quote is somewhat misquoted from the Intelligent Investor by Benjamin Graham. You are using it incorrectly though. The 2nd part is that it acts as a scale ...in relation to fundamentals. This is actually what is happening with Tesla as the price adjust downwards to where the fundamentals lie (non profitable). I would argue that it has been acting as the irrational voting machine until recently where the correction has come in the last few months. You really shouldn't use a value investment quote to defend a decision to buy Tesla stock....it's about 180 opposite of that advice by Graham. Obviously I'm currently bearish on Tesla.
 
I'm with you on this.

I don't think many outlets or reporters spin Tesla news negatively because of Big Auto or Big Oil money biasing them. I think other factors (including ones you mentioned) are the core problem.

More about this in the middle of a long podcast chat with Zac from Now You Know: Tesla Marketing, Consumer Awareness, Tesla FUD, Tesla Communications, Elon Musk, & More — CleanTech Talk with Zac from Now You Know | CleanTechnica

I think the biggest issues are: 1) journalists not really knowing what they are reporting on (not understanding Tesla or the market well), 2) an enormous amount of FUD from "expert" Wall Street analysts who have quite successfully framed the narrative, 3) bias against rich, quirky tech billionaires.
There are quite a few other newspapers you forgot to mention e.g. Washington Post and Business Insider but many others as well. Can you explain why they intentionally misreport the facts with such glee then? I mean if they just have trouble understanding you'd think they could at least report the facts correctly (keeping quotes in context, not altering quotes and claiming that they are verbatim quotes, getting factual numbers wrong etc. etc.) but they very often don't. At the same time there are a significant number of examples where the reporters go on to brag about dinging TSLA on twitter or other forums. I really don't think @tinm 's was able to explain that level of hatred which is pervasive in MSM. It goes deeper and it really seems like a personal fear of loss (of personal livelihood or similar) is better able to explain that sort of tribalism.
 
Hope you are right.

Yes the Leaf only supports Chademo. I


The leaf supports only Chademo. In BC the goverment installations as well as the regional installations are all dual head Chademo and CCS. We are a socialist province and BC hydro is a publicly owned corporation. They are actually doing a pretty good job building out the public network.

Petro Canada also is beginning to add fast chargers to some locations and Canadian Tire has plans for adding Chademo and CCS sites.

CAN YOU PLEASE TAKE ALL THE LEAF TALK TO AN APPROPRIATE SECTION PLEASE!!!

Mod: Agree! --ggr.
 
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Hi, as a shareholder in Tesla I can tell you to worry not the company is so cutting edge it makes Apple look like a water bottle company. We have the smartest people on the planet in the leadership including those who helped shape many modern world technologies. Executive roles have serving terms and after which they can choose to be re-elected or be voted out, etc. That's very normal in all companies (more so in public companies)

Tesla as company (not as public shareholder interest) focuses on long-term success, all this short-term profits and losses are organic behaviours when you re-invest all your revenue back into R&D the demand is pretty high (higher than most American cars) but it doesn't meet Tesla's projections (which aims even higher)

As far as vehicle technology goes. Currently car companies build a crap product, polish it, slap some MVP upgrade and fool-consumers (with marketing strategies) as innovation. The fact that cars are stuck with engines, have low safety rates, a 1970s wiring, and a cheap BT, is ridiculous if not outright a scam!

Middle Class people don't need to be cool and they buy Model X and Model S simply because those are the best vehicles ever built by the human race to date.

The Model 3 brings some of those real achievements in autonomous mobility, energy conservative motor tech, and space-grade energy solutions down to the affordability of the average Joe.

If the question is what do you get for your money when you buy a Tesla car. You are getting your hands on a technology meant for at least 300 years from now.

The business world hates Tesla because it forces them to jump on the innovation train, rather than milk the market for more money re-selling the old again and again. Governments are not super happy with Tesla as it undermines the value of crude oil, and prevents the chance of accidents significantly. The car makers world is very angry with Tesla because it's raises the bar for what a car can be in terms of maintenance free, fuel source independent, lasting an avg of 15 years VS 7. Capable of Autonomy, remote control, access, and configuration for Valet and so on. The Tesla car standard is so high no one has even built something like it since it launched release Model S in 2012

At worse Tesla will remain the maker of the elite Model S marvel. At best Tesla will he the Apple of car-makers.

Remember the day when you though there's no way you'd spend over 200 bucks on a phone? And now you have a 700-1000 smartphone? Tesla isn't a car. It's the next leap in vehicle autonomy and energy like the world has never seen before.

If you love technology like I do and you can come up with the money to leap into future tech, this is your one chance. If you want to get the good-enough re-paint of your current car scam...

May as well stick to your current car until it dies first. Because you'll be buying the same engine, mess with oil change, deal with traffic on rush hours, and so on.

You can buy any other car and you'll be happy for 1 day, you can buy a Tesla and be happy for 15 years.
You can stick to your current car and spend the money on fixing your house?? Hmm Solar Panels?




 
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Too many folks replying to my questions to answer individually on this iPhone so here’s a general reply.

My Occam’s Razor says reporters write poor/negative stories about Tesla because they don’t care or they’re cynical or they resent the elitist Silicon Valley rich-bro vibe that Tesla sometimes gives off or they’re just sloppy reporters or deep down they’re grizzled veteran Detroit gas-car people who love the rumble of an ICE or they can’t stand billionaire Elon or they’ve read too much of and buy into TSLAQ propaganda, or they believe they could never personally afford a Tesla and maybe resent those who can, or they’re sick of the drama and hype that surrounds Tesla and annoyed that the company’s corporate PR people are impossible to work with and don’t give them any useful info, or they’re stuck in the day-to-day/quarter-to-quarter mindset and can’t/won’t take a longer term view, or they’re just chronically skeptical of anything Tesla claims... or a dozen other similar reasons. Or, likely, often some combination of the above.

Does the legacy auto industry have influence over the media? No doubt. Autos are deeply embedded in the culture especially in the US. Historically the auto industry has been one of the largest advertisers in print and broadcast. But a lot’s changed with the rise of the Web.

A lot of TMC folks here seem to have different Occam’s Razors, ones that tell them that obviously the auto industry is directly influencing/ordering media outlets to be negative on Tesla. I disagree it’s that blatant or simple. I think editors and reporters are fully capable of being negative on Tesla for their own reasons without pressure from execs upstairs. And I base this on conversations I’m having with individual reporters some of whom have written infamously negative stories on Musk/Tesla.

So for me, until hard evidence says otherwise, I’ll continue to place the source for the media negativity on Tesla largely on the reporters themselves.

IMO, the turning point was when Musk (rightly) criticized Reveal and Linette Lopez(with reveal clearly acting as propaganda for the UAW and Lopez for TSLAQ) and then suggested Pravduh. Reporters circled the wagons around them and developed a personal hatred for Elon similar to that of Trump, and for similar reasons.
 
I think that you mean that the reporters manipulated it in a very big way. Just look at the headlines (which I would argue is what most of the general public read):

View attachment 409217

Every single one of those headlines completely twists his words.
I agree that the media bias is there. Reasons vary from clickbait, fear of change, lobbying and PR by competitors (from oil, to cars and defense). All that said, knowing that any miscommunication will be run with by shorts who are owning the media, Tesla and Elon need to get control of the message. Saying Tesla needs to remain focused on capital efficiency and drive to be the most productive auto manufacturing company in the world.
As part of our continued drive to improved capital efficiency I (Elon) will be reviewing all of our expenses with Zach. Tesla needs to maintain our current strong cash position to fund continued growth and to do this we need to continue our drive to increase our margins. Monitoring all expenses and treating every company dollar as if it were your own money in]s imperative to our drive to profitability. Our commitment to spending discipline will lead to greater strength in the long run, which is critical to our growth in sales as well as appreciation of our stock.​
 
Did Musk ever claim a million robotaxis next year? I thought he claimed a million FSD capable cars. Musk would be unlikely to claim the former because it’s totally out of his hands, in the hands of regulators.

The article is a down then up style, and it appears the down is based on poor listening.
Correct, he claimed a million cars that will be fully equipped to be a robotaxi. They will just need to be "turned on" by an OTA update. And it of course depends on regulators. He believes there will be at least one locality next year that approves it.
 
Correct, he claimed a million cars that will be fully equipped to be a robotaxi. They will just need to be "turned on" by an OTA update. And it of course depends on regulators. He believes there will be at least one locality next year that approves it.
Florida. Just needs governor's signature. Passed both senate and house unanimously, so don't see a governor's veto happening.

Autonomous Vehicles; Exempts autonomous vehicles & operators from certain prohibitions; provides that human operator is not required to operate fully autonomous vehicle; authorizes fully autonomous vehicle to operate regardless of presence of human operator; provides that automated driving system is deemed operator of autonomous vehicle operating with system engaged; authorizes Florida Turnpike Enterprise to enter into agreements to fund & operate facilities; provides requirements for insurance & operation of on-demand autonomous vehicle networks; revises registration requirements for autonomous vehicles; provides for uniformity of laws governing autonomous vehicles.
House Bill 311 (2019) - The Florida Senate

Gators, Sun and… Self-Driving Cars? Yes, Florida Just Legalized Driverless Vehicles
 
IMO, the turning point was when Musk (rightly) criticized Reveal and Linette Lopez(with reveal clearly acting as propaganda for the UAW and Lopez for TSLAQ) and then suggested Pravduh. Reporters circled the wagons around them and developed a personal hatred for Elon similar to that of Trump, and for similar reasons.

The Pravduh tweets got a lot of pushback, but, I think things had already jumped the shark years before.

Been following the company quite closely since 2012.

At that time, about 10-15% of the media seemed to have some very intense bias to talk down Tesla (Corey Johnson, a Bloomberg regular at the time, for example). The general media coverage was pretty typical superficial fare, with no intense bias... to the point that the 10-15% that I mentioned stood out like a sore thumb.

Shortly after Tesla's stock price shot up in the Spring of 2013 I noticed Jim Cramer pounding a few phrases- "cult stock," "you can't value the darn thing," "no way to justify price on fundamentals" with an ad campaign level of repetition. It was so striking that I remember thinking at the time that it seemed like he was trying to sow the seeds for creating the false impression over time that these falsehoods were all 'givens.' I still suspect that is what he was doing, and with some considerable success over years of repetition.

The first sign I saw of a sharp change was after Elon Musk's Spring 2013 "5 part trilogy," during which his tweets got the media to breathlessly build up interest and report on a series of 5 Tesla announcements. Some were pretty interesting announcements, some quite anti-climactic, like introducing a pretty uninspiring leasing offer for the Model S. I suspect a fair amount of the media felt 'used' by this...

By the Fall of 2013 the media generally speaking was intensely irrational and inflammatory in their coverage of 3 Model S fires in a very short period of time. After Tesla weathered that storm, the media as a whole seemed to have some FUD bias, but, generally not blatant.

From 2013 through 2015, there was a growing move towards a general attitude of skepticism about Musk, the company, and the stock.

c. 2015-16 as the Model X ramp struggled things seemed to kick into a much stronger gear. This was also the time Jim Chanos was making the rounds about his short position, and Bob Lutz was saying the Model X attempted ramp would fail and bankrupt the company. Very basic distortions and falsehoods would go unquestioned in nearly all the media. An attitude of intense skepticism and some distaste for Tesla, and the view that the stock was wildly overpriced were pretty much taken as givens in most media discussions. There was an enormous amount of, "Is this a company headed for bankruptcy" chatter, that seemed designed to create a self-fulfilling prophecy.

Since 2016, things have only gotten more intense.

I think fundamentally, one of key ingredients in this drift from some sprinkled in bias, to, near universal distaste and talking down of Tesla, is that virtually no one in the media calls it out. If the NY Times called out when the WSJ engaged in this with utter falsehoods, or vice versa, the potential hit to the author/publication's reputation would act as something of a brake to the distortion and falsification pedals. But, with virtually all actors in the media seeing that no one gets called out for extraordinarily tilted coverage, the miscoverage has been more and more emboldened. Doing a review of the new Leaf (test car sticker $38K)? Adamantly say the Model 3 is not in its class because there is no $35K Model 3, it is a $55k car, period. See excerpts of Elon's email Thursday, write headline, "Elon Musk: Tesla Broke in 10 Months WIthout 'Hardcore' Cost Reduction." Both of these are from the last week... the headline is an exact quote on the top of my TSLA Google search.

When none of the other media companies call out the BS re Tesla coverage by any of their peers, it's like a "police escort" for as much twisting and falsifying re Tesla's reality as you'd like.

Tesla could really use some major public figures who cannot simply be tarred as "cultists" to get curious about Tesla and use their platforms that actually can be heard amid the rest of the media, to talk about the nature and extent of the misinformation.
 
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Re: negative stories about Tesla.

My theory is more benign and challenging:

It's all clicks.

People who consume online media are generally more technologically savvy and generally more intrigued by Tesla.

Positive headlines don't get clicks. Negative headlines do. That's just the way the internet works.

Journalists have always been compensated by their ability to cover news that readers care about.

Online media measures that by clicks.

It's hard to fight that trend.
 
Re: negative stories about Tesla.

My theory is more benign and challenging:

It's all clicks.

People who consume online media are generally more technologically savvy and generally more intrigued by Tesla.

Positive headlines don't get clicks. Negative headlines do. That's just the way the internet works.

Journalists have always been compensated by their ability to cover news that readers care about.

Online media measures that by clicks.

It's hard to fight that trend.

Are you game for having the, re negative Tesla stories, "it's all about clicks" narrative, utterly obliterated?
 
Re: negative stories about Tesla.

My theory is more benign and challenging:

It's all clicks.

People who consume online media are generally more technologically savvy and generally more intrigued by Tesla.

Positive headlines don't get clicks. Negative headlines do. That's just the way the internet works.

Journalists have always been compensated by their ability to cover news that readers care about.

Online media measures that by clicks.

It's hard to fight that trend.

No. All of these media people are not benign. Many are outright lying, like with this latest email fiasco.

They are consciously lying and turning as much as they can into a negative stance.

@SteveG3 outlined perfectly what has transpired the last 7 years.

The bigger and more successful Tesla has become, the bigger and more concentrated the media/WS negativity and lies.
 
Re: negative stories about Tesla.

My theory is more benign and challenging:

It's all clicks.

People who consume online media are generally more technologically savvy and generally more intrigued by Tesla.

Positive headlines don't get clicks. Negative headlines do. That's just the way the internet works.

Journalists have always been compensated by their ability to cover news that readers care about.

Online media measures that by clicks.

It's hard to fight that trend.
I think it’s a mixture of both. We see negative headlines from Fred on Electrek, those are for clicks. Then we have negative headlines from Jabba the Hutt Linette, who actually wants to move the stock. The only thing she can move faster is a Big Mac... and the way the stock is moving, I’ll be flipping burgers soon :)
 
No. All of these media people are not benign. Many are outright lying, like with this latest email fiasco.

They are consciously lying and turning as much as they can into a negative stance.

@SteveG3 outlined perfectly what has transpired the last 7 years.

The bigger and more successful Tesla has become, the bigger and more concentrated the media/WS negativity and lies.

Exactly. The doing-it-for-clicks explanation cannot explain the crescendo where FUD is proportional to Tesla car sales.

And it’s easy to write a balanced article and lead it with a click bait headline. They don’t. They write misleading articles and lead with misleading headlines. Fear is the driver.

The word you never read is ‘disruption’. The louder the FUD, the more certain we can be that this is disruption. Say it, post it, often. Somebody has to.

Once the word gets out that BMW and Audi are more likely to bankrupt than Tesla, the FUD factor reverses.
 
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