Your Model S Sequence

[clea]

How many Sigs are planned?

FAQ (Model S | Frequently Asked Questions | Tesla Motors) states that there will be 1000 US, 200 Canadian, 500 left hand drive in EU and 500 Right hand drive (this includes EU, Australia and Hong Kong). I think that covers all the sigs that will be offered ...

 

[LST]

Just checked, moved from SS Nr.5 to S Nr.2 i guess some cancelled their reservations

 

[Joel]

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post the 1) reservation number 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
S 282 (April 29, 2011)
P 3,779 (May 2, 2011)
R 218 (January 2011)

Canada
S 73 (April 15, 2011)
P 104 (April 26, 2011)

Europe/Asia
S 52 (April 25, 2011)
P 338 (May 2, 2011)

Hong Kong
S 2 (April 27, 2011)
P 1 (March 23, 2011)

Australia
S 9 (April 10, 2011)
P 17 (January 21, 2011)

S = Signature Series (Model S)
P = General Production (Model S)
R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family

 

[bonnie]

I just put down a deposit on an S - my reservation was assigned today: Production #260 (US - Roadster owner)

 

[Adm]

Congratulation Bonnie! I wish I could say: now come and suffer with the rest of us while we wait, but you at least have a Roadster to drive every day. (Not jealous or anything ;-) ).

That said, you have R260 which means that about 1 in 4 Roadster drivers also ordered a Model S. I guess that says something about customer satisfaction.

 

[Cobos]

That said, you have R260 which means that about 1 in 4 Roadster drivers also ordered a Model S. I guess that says something about customer satisfaction.

You mean 1 in 4 Roadster Drivers ordered a Model S but didn't want it bad enough to order a Model S Signature

Cobos

 

[markwj]

You mean 1 in 4 Roadster Drivers ordered a Model S but didn't want it bad enough to order a Model S Signature

Maybe the other 3 ordered signatures ;-)

OK, the numbers don't add up, but there are 282 US signatures ordered...

 

[bonnie]

You mean 1 in 4 Roadster Drivers ordered a Model S but didn't want it bad enough to order a Model S Signature

Cobos

I'm waiting to see what the Signature options are & may upgrade to the Signature then. The $40k reservation fee is a bit hefty.

 

[Joel]

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post the 1) reservation number 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
S 282 (April 29, 2011)
P 3,779 (May 2, 2011)
R 260 (May 6, 2011)

Canada
S 73 (April 15, 2011)
P 104 (April 26, 2011)

Europe/Asia
S 52 (April 25, 2011)
P 338 (May 2, 2011)

Hong Kong
S 2 (April 27, 2011)
P 1 (March 23, 2011)

Australia
S 9 (April 10, 2011)
P 17 (January 21, 2011)

S = Signature Series (Model S)
P = General Production (Model S)
R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family

 

[Joel]

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post the 1) reservation number 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
S 282 (April 29, 2011)
P 3,807 (May 6, 2011)
R 260 (May 6, 2011)

Canada
S 73 (April 15, 2011)
P 104 (April 26, 2011)

Europe/Asia
S 52 (April 25, 2011)
P 338 (May 2, 2011)

Hong Kong
S 2 (April 27, 2011)
P 1 (March 23, 2011)

Australia
S 9 (April 10, 2011)
P 17 (January 21, 2011)

S = Signature Series (Model S)
P = General Production (Model S)
R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family

 

[kgb]

That's 4,945 reservations so far. With a minimum deposit of $5,000, that is over $24,725,000 in deposit money!

 

[neroden]

That's 4,945 reservations so far. With a minimum deposit of $5,000, that is over $24,725,000 in deposit money!

And about 413 Signature reservations (though I suspect there are still blanks/refunded reservations in the list); if you value each of those at an additional $35,000, that's $14,455,000 more in depost money, for a total of $39,180,000. A nice chunk of change.

 

[Joel]

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post the 1) reservation number 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
S 282 (April 29, 2011)
P 3,853 (May 10, 2011)
R 260 (May 6, 2011)

Canada
S 73 (April 15, 2011)
P 104 (April 26, 2011)

Europe/Asia
S 52 (April 25, 2011)
P 338 (May 2, 2011)

Hong Kong
S 2 (April 27, 2011)
P 1 (March 23, 2011)

Australia
S 9 (April 10, 2011)
P 17 (January 21, 2011)

S = Signature Series (Model S)
P = General Production (Model S)
R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family

 

[Todd Burch]

Is it me or is Tesla possibly seeing about 10 reservations per day? Looks like it might be if the rate of change of MichiganModelS's numbers are decently close. If so, that's outstanding!

 

[dsm363]

Is it me or is Tesla possibly seeing about 10 reservations per day? Looks like it might be if the rate of change of MichiganModelS's numbers are decently close. If so, that's outstanding!

I think these numbers will probably be close to what final order numbers will be. I'm sure a decent percentage of people will ask for their deposits back for various reasons but putting down $5,000 over a year in advance is a much bigger commitment than the $99 Nissan Leaf reservation.

 

[Joel]

@Todd Burch -
I calculated it is just above 7 reservations per day. Also, on the May 4th Earnings call, Elon Musk stated there were more than 4,600 reservations through the end of April. My total was something close to 4,800. So, there is a margin of error (at least, if not more) of +/- 4%.

@dsm363 -
I agree with you. Also, consider this: according the earnings call Elon Musk and Deepak Ahuja stated the reservations are 100% "consumer interest-driven, and Tesla has not actively pursued reservation holders." Compare that to the television ads Nissan and GM run for the Leaf and Volt, it is an impressive feat that speaks to a strong interest in EV ownership.

 

[bonnie]

I don't think that the number of reservations/per day will hold at this level. I've heard more than one person say they weren't going to bother, because the current number of deposits means they'd have to wait a long time. As that number climbs, I expect the rate of reservations will slow, with a few exceptions (like new announcements, first car shipped, etc.).

 

[Joel]

I'd agree with that except: once reservation holders (and potential reservation holders) are offered the opportunity to test drive the Model S, it could up the pace. That and a marketing campaign.

 

[markwj]

I think these numbers will probably be close to what final order numbers will be.

20,000 cars a year is about 55 a day, 365 days a year.

 

[vfx]

I... I'm sure a decent percentage of people will ask for their deposits back for various reasons but putting down $5,000 over a year in advance is a much bigger commitment than the $99 Nissan Leaf reservation.

We had a Roadster depositor who was quite TMC active here way back when (30k? 50K?). He pulled out before they started delivering. (all chronicled in these pages) There will be many mind changes all the way up to Model S delivery.