neroden
Model S Owner and Frustrated Tesla Fan
Buffet's actually great at squeezing the last profits out of a shrinking company. *Particularly* in insurance, where he routinely reinsures or takes over insurance operations which are *already* in run-off (not issuing new policies). He made a lot of money taking over asbestos claims and stuff like that (the other company pays him up front, he pays out the claims over decades, and they probably turn out to be less than the other company feared).Not many smart investors will think that's a good prospect and continue to invest once the writing is on the wall. Would you invest in GM or Shell or a gas station? The market moves a head of the curve.
Most certainly he will just keep operating GEICO. If it turns out that the business has poor future prospects, he'll discourage them from chasing volume growth and instead run off the business in a profitable fashion.