2017 Investor Roundtable: TSLA Market Action

[Zhelko Dimic]

Days like this remind me why I decided to never seriously leverage again, and more importantly, why is that a good decision for me. With my (only) 102% exposure to TSLA, I'm cool as a cucumber, and ready to ride it down to $250 if needs be (hope not!!!)

I'm likely to increase my exposure to 110% between now and $300 if I have opportunity.

For anyone confused and thinking I'm saying two different things, long time ago I used to be 200% and more exposed to TSLA through options

 

[elasalle]

Days like this remind me why I decided to never seriously leverage again and more importantly why is that a good decision for me. With my (only) 102% exposure to TSLA, I'm cool as a cucumber, and ready to ride it down to $250 if needs be (hope not!!!)

I'm likely to increase my exposure to 110% between now and $300 if I have opportunity.

For anyone confused and thinking I'm saying two different things, long time ago I used to be 200% and more exposed to TSLA through options

Model X -- Deja Vu .. All Over Again

 

[dc_h]

that 1.5m block trade in premarket was probably part of a large investor trimming or closing... and they followed through the rest of the day.

Would the seller have sold it to a Fidelity or a market maker, who in turn sold it through the day?

 

[bdy0627]

Well, the Model X experience filter might prove to be the right way to respond to the current Model 3 hell. Who knows. It could be an outlier. But, it is definitely smart not to leverage beyond comfort. It's just not worth it. I'm still learning about my comfort zone. I can say I'm cool as a cucumber some days and other days, not so much. I'm not emotionally purchasing stock on dips like I used to, but I am getting pretty leveraged at this point so that an additional huge prolonged dip would be very painful. I think that's probably the case for most of us investing in call options though. I remain VERY confident a deep and prolonged dip (ala Model X ramp) will not happen at this time for Tesla.

 

[elasalle]

Well, the Model X experience filter might prove to be the right way to respond to the current Model 3 hell. Who knows. It could be an outlier. But, it is definitely smart not to leverage beyond comfort. It's just not worth it. I'm still learning about my comfort zone. I can say I'm cool as a cucumber some days and other days, not so much. I'm not emotionally purchasing stock on dips like I used to, but I am getting pretty leveraged at this point so that an additional huge prolonged dip would be very painful. I think that's probably the case for most of us investing in call options though. I remain VERY confident a deep and prolonged dip (ala Model X ramp) will not happen at this time for Tesla.

Yes, based on all we know and has been said this should not be like a Model X ramp. Given that they haven't been any new deliveries for Oct - best hope is that a new batch is released at end of Oct.

Someone had made a comment earlier, than during the Model X ramp, the assembly line was stopped, tuned and iteratively improved. So best case scenario is for that to play out here as well.

 

[Reciprocity]

(i'm aware I'm replying to my own thread)

$316 is conveniently the 200 MA tomorrow... that looks like a good pre-ER target to me... RSI will be technically oversold at that point.

Enough people have you on ignore that you are pretty much replying to yourself most days anyway.

 

[3Victoria]

Enough people have you on ignore that you are pretty much replying to yourself most days anyway.

Who are you talking to????

 

[D-egg-O]

myusername is a bear, a bit stubborn and set in his own way, but I've found bits of interesting technical insights, more than most. Whenever he's not rallying with conspiracy theories about manipulation, or even when he is.
My point is, for you who pay attention to technicals, I think there is value in checking his posts.

His/her post you quoted is the only sane thought I've seen that individual convey. There may be hope for him/her after all.

 

[elasalle]

myusername is a bear, a bit stubborn and set in his own way, but I've found bits of interesting technical insights, more than most. Whenever he's not rallying with conspiracy theories about manipulation, or even when he is.
My point is, for you who pay attention to technicals, I think there is value in checking his posts.

Don't want to dig through a whole coal mine to find a gem, so for me there is really no value

 

[jhm]

Don't want to dig through a whole coal mine to find a gem, so for me there is really no value

What? You'll just pass up all that rich coal? Just think about all the miles your Tesla could go on that stuff.

 

[JRP3]

My point is, for you who pay attention to technicals, I think there is value in checking his posts.

Not exactly a ringing endorsement of technicals.

 

[generalenthu]

Damn, this thread is too gloomy. Let me throw a bone.

TMC and Reddit are lit with the new 17.42 firmware talk. Go there and spread some love. Also please don't decrease the signal to noise ratio there.

 

[Waiting4M3]

Real or just old photo rehashed?
Instagram post by ELECTRODRIVE • Oct 26, 2017 at 4:11am UTC

 

[larmor]

What? You'll just pass up all that rich coal? Just think about all the miles your Tesla could go on that stuff.

And all the coal that you could sell to NK...

 

[EinSV]

Real or just old photo rehashed?
Instagram post by ELECTRODRIVE • Oct 26, 2017 at 4:11am UTC
View attachment 256238

.moscow.russia — hmmm

 

[LargeHamCollider]

My delivery window has moved since last time I checked (a week ago ish?) used to be Oct-Dec 2017, now is Nov.-Jan.

A one month delay is implied, no big. I bought two more j19s today, three days in a row I've done that now.

 

[Waiting4M3]

My delivery window has moved since last time I checked (a week ago ish?) used to be Oct-Dec 2017, now is Nov.-Jan.

A one month delay is implied, no big. I bought two more j19s today, three days in a row I've done that now.

I hope this is a sign that they have confidence that they will be able to hold the Nov-Jan window, otherwise moving it back again will look really bad.

 

[Bgarret]

My delivery window has moved since last time I checked (a week ago ish?) used to be Oct-Dec 2017, now is Nov.-Jan.

A one month delay is implied, no big. I bought two more j19s today, three days in a row I've done that now.

Mine is still Oct - Dec: Midwest Tesla owner reserved first day after noon.

 

[ValueAnalyst]

Y'all gotta see this:

Instagram post by Elon Musk • Oct 26, 2017 at 9:29am UTC

 

[Earlian]

Thx!

One has to love him.

If you ever needed a sign, here is it.