I was working out today that it will be more like 5 weeks to assess the effectiveness of the current measures, and that is assuming most of the population follow them. I would not mind if it was only stupid people were not protecting themselves when they could that got the results of their behaviour - natural selection at it's best, but if they get infected and end up in ICU that is a critical resource they are denying someone else, someone who could be a front line worker putting themselves in harms way to look after others, not to mention the others they could pass it on to on the way.They have said they will reassess in 3 weeks so I’d agree, no changes in the short term.
5 weeks calculation comes from: 5-7 days incubation, so anyone infected before lock down could take a week to show, then a week to get bad enough to be hospitalised, and then another week after that to recover or die (that sounds so harsh said out loud).
But...the people on lock down now are typically going to be sharing their space with others and will be infectious before symptoms show if they have it. There are 8 people in our house but lets say an average of 3-4 people per household who will be a week or two behind the primary infected person = 5 weeks before any real impact on the number of tested cases and outcomes, and as I said, factor in key workers who are MORE at risk because of the roles they carry out and the lack of PPE, those numbers could continue to rise even without the reckless people who think it's 'not real' or they will just bounce back from it, irrespective of the other people they will infect in the process.
Rant over, yes I want my car, mainly before I decide the gloomy economic outlook makes it so much of a bad decision that I persuade myself to cancel it (and have you seen the effect on used car prices - ouch), but no, I would not want to put anyone at risk to get it...if they can safely arrange for me to have it in a safe environment and won't be offended by the full face snorkelling mask and thick rubber gloves I will be wearing then fine, but I'm not getting within 2 metres of anyone and will be bleaching (diluted) all the surfaces before touching anything - not even a Tesla is worth dying over!
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