Hi Bruce,
I'm glad you made it! I recently took the same trip from Harris Ranch to Davis CA, but my trip was very relaxed and easy - we went faster than you did, used more heat than you did (it was during the nasty cold snap in January), and arrived with 82 miles left. I'll explain how in a minute.
First, let's look at the last 204 mile trip you took. A lot of people above have made great comments on this, but I'll say the same thing in the terms I've come to use. The EPA range, like with EPA's MPG on gas cars, is roughly accurate at about 60mph; going 70 adds about 20% to your consumption (again, just like with a gas car). You didn't say what the temperature was; but if I assume 50, running the heater added 7% to your consumption in normal mode; maybe 5% in range mode (guessing as I have not been able to measure that). Lights and radio are too small to matter. So on a 204 mile trip at 125% consumption, I would expect you to use 255 miles of range. You left with 262, and arrived in Davis with 12 miles, so you actually used 250. Your trip is exactly in line with expectations. See
THIS post to see where those numbers came from.
If you had taken a 25mpg car with a 10 gallon tank on the same trip without filling up, you would have been just as tense. (In fact the advice I normally see for gas cars is to fill up at 1/4 tank, so that would be after 188 miles in that imaginary gas vehicle). I was often tense on my first EV road trip when I stretched the range. I ran out of gas once in a gas car while stretching the range. What Tesla is not telling owners is, don't stretch the range! Given that Tesla is not telling owners this (in their defense, no other EV automaker does either), I am trying to get the word out so people don't encounter surprise close calls like you did.
That's how my trip to Davis was so comfortable. I never plan any trip over 177 miles without charging; you can see how I chose that number
HERE. It means that I can drive at the speed I want, and use climate control all I want, and never have to worry about making it to my destination. The 204 mile trip from Harris Ranch to Davis is too far to be sure we will make it without slowing down, so we stopped at the Gilroy Supercharger on the way there. Yeah, it's out of the way; we could have picked a charging station on the way, but the Supercharger is enough faster that it more than made up for the extra time.
Yes, making an extra stop takes more time. But we didn't have ANY stress on our trip. The single disadvantage to an EV is that road trips take more time; if you would rather not make the time tradeoff, then you may be happier using your gas car for road trips even though its tradeoffs are that it costs more, pollutes more, and isn't as nice to drive. Good luck!