Running the equipment dry is different than actual production and you don’t think at all the other factories they did similar dry runs? There will be issues with initial production. Those get worked out with time. Until there are producing 1000s of cars per week, we won’t know what the final build quality will be.
They weren't running this dry, we know there were cars on the line back in september.
LOL, over 5 months ago. Reading that article, there is no reason why they should not be in full production right now. And given that the tweet was deleted, frankly, I'm not convinced that was a even picture from Texas. I mean, look at the video I posted that is a MONTH later.
It’s cool that you drani the cool aid and bought it. Optimism is great. But at this point, the ”they’ve been building vehicles for ,on the and storing them inside” crowd has to start worrying when they have rolled out about 100 vehicles total. If they started in September, that’s 5+ months and they only have 100. There is still a long way to go before you see any real production from Austin. They have 100 so they’ll do a few customer deliveries as promised but until those get into customers hands, we don’t even know if they have 4680 in them. Just because Elon drove one inside the factory doesn’t mean they are producing customer vehicles with them. As a new vehicle design it has a lot of testing and certification to go through.
electrek.co
Here is some more current speculation..... I still don't think we have seen any Austin VIN's posted yet.
Dozens of new Tesla Model Ys spotted being prepped for deliveries at Gigafactory Texas
Dozens of new Tesla Model Y vehicles have been spotted apparently being prepped for deliveries at Gigafactory Texas. It looks...
No one can guess on a percentage right now. Is there a chance? Yes. Could be high if they have enough battery production and factory capacity to match orders, but could be low if either of those fails to meet demand. If we knew how many of the 100,000+ waitlist orders were east of Texas it would help know how much production was needed from Austin.
I'll guess 11.111(repeating of course)%.
Likely higher chances if you order performance. Likely higher chance for people that take delivery in December. And of course, higher chance for people who take deliver next year.
I am firmly in Camp #1, it allows them to make more cars using fewer batteries, I don't think there will be any appreciable difference seen by the consumer. But if they do go with #2, how would they do that.? Would you have to reorder? Would they offer you both and you had to pick one and if you went with the long-range would you just have to pay the higher price? What if there were price changes while you wait, which would you get? Too many variables, IMO. Same range, same 2 options, better margins for Tesla.
Yes, way too many variables. As stated by others, the goal of 4680 is to lower manufacturing costs. All the other benefits are secondary.
The Tesla Plaid uses the original
why does the Tesla S Plaid still using the smallest original battery (18650)while getting over 400 miles and over 1000K HP, the Model X using the 2170 also getting 400 mile range and about 700+ HP.. Range will always be controlled by Tesla regardless of what battery cells and the HP dictated by the Motors.
While the individual cells are smaller the total pack capacity is larger which allows for more range. How come you keep bringing Model S and other cars into the discussion? 4680 will only be going into MY for the short term until production ramp on cells can meet demand and then be used for Semi and Cybertruck. 4680 was not developed for increased power or range, strictly to save Tesla money at comparable pack capacities to other cell formats.
The end result, bottom line is that the 4680 will save Tesla mega bucks, and future flexibility to charge more if you want more range in the MY’s
