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If you want to know, I think Elon is acting like a teenager who got grounded and wants to escape through the back window.

I see his behavior in a different light. He wants to keep the putting Teslas on the road. Everybody is trying to stop him. In the past he has found ways around obstacles, but he's really struggling this time. So he is acting very much like the government, that is, he is trying to scare people into submission. "TSLA is overvalued" = Scare the crap out of shareholders to get them to apply pressure to politicians. "I'm selling everything, I have no need for earthly possessions!" = I don't care if the stock tanks. "I'm siding with the lunatic fringe" = TSLA is a rudderless ship, it's leader is nuts.

Or he can just kick back and:


Animal House (1978)
 
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Yes, but that was basically a summary of what a scientist would say, and I wanted to make it clear that they were not making any claims about efficacy with respect to COVID-19. None of their statements were in regards to efficacy on COVID-19 (even the pneumonia one).

False. They said efficacy is "a distinct possibility," and subsequent clinical success in China, NY, and five other academic or major hospitals in the US make it very likely.

Exactly, we don't know. That was my point. We will see. Doctors who treat patients I am sure are extremely aware of the possibility of vitamin-C being helpful, and it would not surprise me if its use was common in some areas already, where it would not be contraindicated, if those treating physicians thought it was a good idea. (But to be clear I have no idea.)

Indeed, you have no idea about much of what you are posting. If doctors were "extremely aware of the possibility of vitamin-C being helpful," then a few hospitals starting to use it would not be news (in a tabloid and small local paper).
New York hospitals treating coronavirus patients with vitamin C
Local hospital using experimental drug treatment in hopes of saving lives of COVID-19 patients

Would it surprise you to learn that most doctors trust the CDC, which does not mention vitamin C (or anything about nutrition) in their COVID-19 Fact Sheet?
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/downloads/2019-ncov-factsheet.pdf
 
I have bkp_duke on ignore so I just gotta ask out of curiosity. Has he recently tried to convince anyone how smart he is by touting 2 degrees and then also reassuring them with what a family man he is? I know it was about every 10 pages or so before. Just checking because, like I said, things haven't changed here much from what I can tell. If he is still doing that then I can be assured I really haven't missed anything. Thanks in advance.
 
I have bkp_duke on ignore so I just gotta ask out of curiosity. Has he recently tried to convince anyone how smart he is by touting 2 degrees and then also reassuring them with what a family man he is? I know it was about every 10 pages or so before. Just checking because, like I said, things haven't changed here much from what I can tell. If he is still doing that then I can be assured I really haven't missed anything. Thanks in advance.
What is this crap? We gotta set a date to hash out a new path here.
 
efficacy is "a distinct possibility,"

Possibility is not a claim of efficacy. It's a possibility of efficacy.

you have no idea about much of what you are posting

In what way, specifically, can you help inform me on the use of vitamin-C in hospitals? It doesn't sound like you know anything other than the two articles you cite? I don't view a couple of articles as an indication that these treatments are not being tried elsewhere (which is what I said I don't know). By the way, at United Memorial Medical Center, as of May 2nd, they have 0 fatalities out of 50 patients treated. (This is not a large enough sample size to draw any conclusions about efficacy, and it's not randomized or controlled either. But a success rate of 100% with >1000 patients across the age spectrum would be enough to pique my interest.)

I have bkp_duke on ignore so I just gotta ask out of curiosity.

You realize you can see posts from people you have ignored, right?
 
I have bkp_duke on ignore so I just gotta ask out of curiosity. Has he recently tried to convince anyone how smart he is by touting 2 degrees and then also reassuring them with what a family man he is? I know it was about every 10 pages or so before. Just checking because, like I said, things haven't changed here much from what I can tell. If he is still doing that then I can be assured I really haven't missed anything. Thanks in advance.
He's provided more useful data than anything you've ever posted. All you do is complain about the forum, in multiple threads, but you've added zero helpful content. Not sure what's driving you to keep posting the same tired garbage but give it a rest. And Duke and I have gone at each other hard in the past but at least I respect his knowledge.
 
Interesting article saying European strain of virus more contagious.

A mutant coronavirus has emerged, even more contagious than the original, study says


Summary from Trevor on his thoughts. There could be something to it. Too early to say. The research group presenting this finding is a reputable one, from what I understand, but it is a pre-print. In any case, further observation & analysis of how these D & G variants in the spike protein behave over time is needed. Note there is no difference in clinical outcomes observed, so far.

Trevor Bedford on Twitter
 
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He's provided more useful data than anything you've ever posted. All you do is complain about the forum, in multiple threads, but you've added zero helpful content. Not sure what's driving you to keep posting the same tired garbage but give it a rest. And Duke and I have gone at each other hard in the past but at least I respect his knowledge.

You feel better now. Is this a full time job for you?
 
Summary:
Mt. Sinai hospital NYC, serology draws, two groups, one group confirmed positive by PCR, and the other "likely COVID" but not PCR confirmed. ELISA testing for antibodies, that correlates well with actual neutralizing assays.

1) Only 40% of the people with likely COVID were antibody positive (other 60% probably had something else), while 99.5% of PCR positive were antibody positive
2) Looks like nearly everyone makes antibodies; can take some time.
3) PCR positives can occur 28 days after symptom resolution; probably just RNA particles.

Florian Krammer on Twitter
 
Wasn't really paying attention to the Pennsylvania guidelines for when each county can reopen. Then I noticed an Instagram post where someone was counting the daily positive cases, because they need less than 40 new cases a day for 2 weeks to open up. We've gone from no testing, to incentivizing people to avoid testing. Well done America! Amazing.
 
To be fair, they aren't really going back to normal, and they are still increasing test & trace capacity.
I am not so sure. Obviously there's going to be an increase in cases, but if testing and tracing is scaled up in parallel, it's possible this will result in an optimal outcome (not optimal for the additional people who will die, however) - commerce opened on a limited basis, while public health catches up.

Test & trace will definitely help, but so far I don't see it scaling up as fast as necessary: We are still at a very high level, and just a modest increase can result in an upward trend at a level that is at quite a distance from being reached by test & trace so far.
 
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We've gone from no testing, to incentivizing people to avoid testing. Well done America! Amazing.

I'm fairly confident that the recommendations from the CDC and other doctors and epidemiologists was to have a decreasing number of positives in the face of increased testing. It looks like it got watered down or something with the first criteria:

"CASES
Downward trajectory of documented cases within a 14-day period

OR

Downward trajectory of positive tests as a percent of total tests within a 14-day period (flat or increasing volume of tests)"


Test & trace will definitely help, but so far I don't see it scaling up as fast as necessary: We are still at a very high level, and just a modest increase can result in an upward trend at a level that is at quite a distance from being reached by test & trace so far.

Yep, could definitely go either way. No disagreement there. I'm staying positive! If we're hitting 500k+ tests daily nationwide in week, I think we could be on a good path. Tracing personnel hiring will continue to ramp up rapidly, is my understanding.

That being said, the CDC says we are still in the "acceleration phase" of the pandemic. And they played "Live and Let Die" at the mask factory Trump visited today. Appropriate, I guess. So they probably know more than I do.
 
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Wasn't really paying attention to the Pennsylvania guidelines for when each county can reopen. Then I noticed an Instagram post where someone was counting the daily positive cases, because they need less than 40 new cases a day for 2 weeks to open up. We've gone from no testing, to incentivizing people to avoid testing. Well done America! Amazing.
Read more carefully, I sincerely doubt your proposed "loophole" would work.
The target data goal is not the only metric to be met before reopening a region. Additionally, the commonwealth must ensure there is:
  • Enough testing available for individuals with symptoms and target populations such as those at high risk, health care personnel, and first responders.
  • Robust case investigation and contact tracing infrastructure is in place to facilitate early identification of cluster outbreaks and to issue proper isolation and quarantine orders.
  • Identification of area’s high-risk settings including correctional institutions, personal care homes, skilled nursing facilities, and other congregate care settings, and assurance that facilities have adequate safeguards in place such as staff training, employee screening, visitor procedures and screening, and adequate supplies of PPE to support continued operations.
Process to Reopen Pennsylvania
 
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there's just no rebuttal at all to the facts that there is an undercount and not an overcount. and that labeling deaths as caused by covid is not some nefarious thing

If they were only counting deaths in hospitals and not those at home or in other care facilities, sure there was undercounting. I’m actually surprised there isn’t some uniform code of reporting out there not just among Counties but also across States, ie. national. Too much to hope I guess. BTW this also reminds me I was going to ask how they ID the person as far as where they are reported. Is it by where you live, where you die? Lots of variables across categories.
 
If they were only counting deaths in hospitals and not those at home or in other care facilities, sure there was undercounting. I’m actually surprised there isn’t some uniform code of reporting out there not just among Counties but also across States, ie. national. Too much to hope I guess. BTW this also reminds me I was going to ask how they ID the person as far as where they are reported. Is it by where you live, where you die? Lots of variables across categories.
Where I'm at the Coroner is now getting tests for bodies removed from homes and nursing homes, but for weeks there were no tests to be had here in our county except for people in hospitals, so at several possible pneumonia cases weren't tested. And he tried both the PA Department of Health and the CDC. My guess is the true death numbers will never be known. Why has the CDC been so behind on this the entire time? They had several months to prepare. Not enough tests the entire time until just recently. It's shocking to me.
 
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I'm a board-certified physician, and I have a Ph.D. in molecular biology. I've had to use viruses in the lab to further study of metabolism (adenovirus, to be exact). I know scientific method, I know how to parse the junk science from the legitimate science.

You are trying to say just because there isn't evidence AGAINST Vitamin C working, that it COULD work.
No, doctor. I am saying there is strong preliminary evidence that it works for COVID-19... so strong that clinical trials were launched immediately in China, and Chinese health authorities (Shanghai Medical Association, Guangdong Province Expert Panel) recommended it in the meantime, and the largest hospital system in NY is using it, and a group of eight distinguished critical care doctors around the country published an urgent press release about it, to try to do what the CDC has failed to do.
Cheng Integrative Health Center Blog
https://nypost.com/2020/03/24/new-york-hospitals-treating-coronavirus-patients-with-vitamin-c/
https://covid19criticalcare.com/wp-...seTreating-Covid-19-in-ER-April-15-2030_3.pdf

On the scientific grading scale, that's not evidence in favor of your conclusion. But in psychology it is called a "rationalization" - i.e. coming up with a borderline plausible argument to try to justify one's viewpoint instead of looking objectively at the evidence.
This is the coal mine calling the kettle black. Your post indicates you haven't looked at the evidence I linked at all, much less objectively.

One month ago this forum was ABUZZ with the same arguments regarding hydroxychloroquine. And to be blunt, there was a lot more evidence that it could be a viable treatment against COVID-19 than what you have laid out for Vitamin C. One month later, we see how that has turned out (overwhelming evidence that it does NOT help, and that there are a large number of people with significant side effects).

I would LOVE for something as stupid simple as Vitamin C to be a cure-all for COVID-19. The problem is this is the proverbial "boy that cried wolf" story. Over the past 20 years Vitamin C has been proposed as a treatment for many many different infections. Different groups and governments have poured hundreds of millions of dollars into research into Vitamin C (and D, for that matter). The overwhelming conclusions are that . . . it's a Vitamin. You don't have enough, you have a MILD predisposition toward infection. You are WAY under on Vitamin C, you get scurvy. These are not new findings. We have know this for decades, and all the money spent did not further that knowledge base.
Yet again we have a self-declared authority appealing to his/her authority, without offering a single piece of credible supporting evidence, much less linking it. Sorry, that does not cut it scientifically.

The difference between a trained scientist, and a lay person is that a scientist knows how to read ALL the literature on a subject, evaluate both sides of the argument, and weigh the evidence accordingly and plan out experiments to answer any questions that are unanswered. The lay person just reads one article (or more likely, one TITLE of an article) and forms a ROCK-SOLID opinion based upon that single piece of information, that most likely confirms some bias they already have.
I quoted and linked statements from two trained scientists who are specialists in vitamin C:
Professor Margreet Vissers, Our people, Centre for Free Radical Research, University of Otago, New Zealand
Associate Professor Anitra Carr, Our people, University of Otago, Christchurch, University of Otago, New Zealand
Their statements, including references to the scientific literature, directly contradicted the claim you posted without evidence. Yet you have failed to reply with anything except Disagree ratings and ad hominem attacks.

I STRONGLY get the "holistic medicine is better" vibe from you, and that taints anything you could possibly say here.
Clearly.

What is worse is that the "studies" you have presented really are not very good in their design. They are either case series (the weakest of all evidence in medical field because they are small in number of subjects) or on-going studies that are not double-blinded and randomized.
Show us evidence that the ongoing Chinese clinical trials "are not double-blinded and randomized."

Regardless, scientific evidence for the safety and efficacy of vitamin C for numerous conditions goes far beyond the recent case series and ongoing trials. According to Dr. Cheng, a distinguished scientist and consultant to Chinese expert panels...

Do you know Vit C (or ascorbic acid) is one of the most studied molecules in the world? There are over 65,000 scientific papers written in the world's biggest medical library, the National Library of Medicine, hosted at the NIH (better known as Pubmed.gov or Pubmed.com). So next time when someone tells you that there is not enough research on VC, tell them to do their homework better.
Covid-19, Vitamin C, Vaccine and Integrative Medicine (2) | Cheng Integrative Health Center Blog

Yes, I too can play the game of appealing to authority.

And before you tell me that I'm in bed with "the man" and paid off by big pharma, etc. I'll stop you right there.
This too is a mischaracterization of my position. You don't have to be "paid off" (currently or otherwise) by Big Pharma to have prejudices shaped by the Pharma-dominated system that trained you (including with classic thought-control techniques such as sleep deprivation during Internship).

I have found that conventionally trained doctors fall into two broad categories: those who trust their training and sneer at alternatives, and those who discovered to their shock that drug-based medicine failed them or loved ones, and were forced to consider alternatives. Apparently you escaped the latter trauma. Lucky you.

I left medicine after the *sugar*-show that it turned into due to Obamacare. I am still board certified, licensed, and keep up with the latest research, but I do NOT take a penny from anyone for anything medically-related. I run a business, un-related to the health sciences, and my home life is all the better for it.
I don't doubt it, since conventional doctors are condemned to watch their patients slowly worsen on drugs prescribed for the rest of their lives, instead of getting off the drugs and fixing disease causes instead of symptoms.

If you want to super-juice on Vitamin C, have at it. I won't recommend against it because (unlike hydroxychloroquine) there are no harsh side effects like hydroxychloroquine had. You might get some flushing, headaches, nausea, vomiting, diarrhea, etc. but your heart will keep ticking and you will keep breathing. Just don't pimp it out UNTIL the HARD DATA is in. And contrary to what you are saying the HARD DATA is definitely NOT in to support this as a COVID-19 cure-all, preventative, or treatment.
Again, the data is sufficient to support use (call it compassionate use) in people with no alternative while harder data is pending. If you or your loved ones get seriously sick, you will want every chance you can get.

Thank you for your long and detailed reply. I prefer it to endless Disagree ratings.